HR001117S0011_2_Attachment_5_Accelerator_THC_clean.DOCX

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OFFensive Swarm Enabled Tactics (OFFSET) Amendment 5 - Swarm Sprint 4 Federal contract opportunity
Solicitation number
HR001117S0011
Issued by
Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency

About this file

This document provides a template for tasks and milestones to be completed under Stage 1 of the Transition Accelerator portion of the OFFSET BAA. Applicants may optionally propose tasks within the Statement of Work including associated timing and funding up to roughly half of a Full Time Employee to perform the work. The template outlines Milestones A through C including developing a transition hypothesis, testing and refining the hypothesis through primary and secondary market research and customer engagement, and developing a transition plan and business case evaluating commercial viability. Details include requirements to identify target applications and customers, conduct competitive analyses and market sizing, develop product descriptions and cost models, secure necessary intellectual property, and establish go-to-market strategies and partnerships. The goal is to evaluate the potential for a compelling business case to commercially transition technologies developed under the OFFSET program.

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HR001117S0011-2 OFFSET BAA

Attachment 5 OFFSET Transition Accelerator Tasks Template Stage 1 – Milestones A, B, and C:

Applicants may optionally provide proposed tasks within the SOW and include associated timing and funding of each. It is expected that participation in Stage 1 of the Transition Accelerator will financially support roughly half of a Full Time Employee (FTE) to perform the work listed below. This employee should have the skills, experience, and availability for carrying out the activities listed above, including business experience within the target industries of interest, experience commercializing technology, and the ability to effectively interact with technical and non-technical stakeholders.

(A) Transition Hypothesis Creation: Develop a detailed hypothesis for the technology transition, which includes the following elements:

· Application Identification: List all potential applications and who you would expect the customers to be for these applications. List key parameters by which you will evaluate the potential of your technology to succeed in each of those markets, e.g., return-on-investment, market size and growth rate, regulatory barriers, ease of customer acquisition, existence of entrenched players, etc.

· Initial Competitive Analysis: Scan the landscape of existing products as well as early stage technologies, still in the lab, that have potential to fill similar end-user needs as your technology

· Early Market Analysis: Identify the top two most promising markets. Collect basic information, including: market size, projected growth rate, key drivers, major and minor players, typical business models, and associated margins.

· Initial Product Hypothesis: Describe what you would make and sell, including features, performance characteristics, and, if relevant, the size and shape of the product or service.

· Basic Cost Model: Build a basic, system-level cost model showing early estimates of how much it would cost to produce each end unit or service. A good place to start is costing associated with an early Bill of Materials. If the system design and architecture are not yet fully defined, roughly estimate the costs of each potential design.

· IP Securement: Identify any roadblocks in regards to access to Intellectual Property. Does the entity that will take the technology forward have access to all required pieces of the IP?

· Hypothesis Go-to-Market Strategy: Describe the vision for getting the technology to the end-user. Will the technology be licensed to a larger player? If so, to whom? Will a startup be formed? If so, what sources of funding would it go after and at what level? Will the technology be taken to market through an in-house business unit? If so, estimate the level of funding that would be required. Describe expected partnerships that would need to be obtained for manufacturing, scale- up, IP acquisition, or to provide source funding. What is the expected time to impact?

(B) Transition Hypothesis Testing and Refining: Test and refine the initial hypothesis by performing primary and secondary research.

· Customer Engagement Plan: Interview 5-8 potential customers in each market of interest. Use this forum to test the product description, its features, and their value to customers. How important is the product to them? How much are they willing to pay for it? What specifications are required for adoption?

· Application Identification for Entry Market: For each potential application identified in Section A above, gather data on the associated market related to the key parameters listed. Based on this data, identify the most promising initial market(s) of entry and longer-term markets of entry.

· Refined Competitive Analysis: Further develop an understanding of the incumbent technologies being used, including strengths, weaknesses, performance characteristics, and pricing of each, as well as future competitive technologies. Utilize customer interviews to fill in this data.

· Refined Value Chain and Market Analysis: Complete this analysis for the top two most promising markets of entry. Include a map (see example in Figure 1) of the value chain from raw materials through end consumption. Identify the players within each segment and how they are partnered with each other.

Figure 1: An example value chain map (From https://www.slideshare.net/CiscoSP360/the-cloud-value- chain-exposed-takeaways-for-network-service-providers)

Use this map to analyze opportunities for strategic partnerships or new business models, which incumbents will be displaced, which companies would make displacement decisions, and who the decision makers are within these companies.

· Refined Product Hypothesis: Based on customer interviews and a better understanding of the market, what would you make and sell? Include features, performance characteristics, and, if relevant, the size and shape of the product or service.

· Refined Cost Model: Understand which elements of the manufacturing process are likely to cost the most by building a spreadsheet to calculate production costs per unit. This spreadsheet calculation should include costs associated with raw materials, purchased parts, labor, equipment, etc. Once this spreadsheet is built, use it to understand where manufacturing cost variations can come from and were opportunities exist to minimize costs. This could include cost changes with production volume, raw materials cost variation, tradeoffs in automation and labor costs for different processing methods, etc.

· Updated IP Securement Strategy: Identify any roadblocks in regards to access to Intellectual Property. Does the entity that will take the technology forward have access to all required pieces of the IP?

· Updated Go-to-Market Strategy: Describe the vision for getting the technology to the end-user. Will the technology be licensed to a larger player? If so, to whom? Will a startup be formed? If so, what sources of funding would it go after and at what level? Will the technology be taken to market through an in-house business unit? If so, estimate the level of funding that would be required. Describe expected partnerships that would need to be obtained for manufacturing, scale-up, IP acquisition, or to provide source funding. Describe the timeline and steps to impact.

(C) Transition Planning (Go to Market Strategy): Evaluate the results of the hypothesis testing to determine if a compelling business case exists. It is okay if the answer is “no” and, therefore, an alternative transition pathway to military impact must be determined. The Transition Plan should include a business model, financial plan demonstrating a viable rate of return to investors, customer acquisition plan, a scaling plan, an IP strategy with risk assessment, an operations and scale-up plan, a partnership plan and funding plan, and a timeline associated with each of the above.

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