Attachment 1. d USAID_FY_2021_Honduras_Country_Roadmap_en_US.pdf

Honduras

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

Capacity 0-1 Score

0.8

0.7

0.6

0.5

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

C o m m it m en t

-1

S co re

Honduras's Score 0-1, least to most advanced globally

Other Low- and Middle-Income

Countries' Scores

Average Score for Low- and Middle- Income Countries

HONDURAS

JOURNEY TO SELF-RELIANCE:

FY 2021 COUNTRY ROADMAP

LOW- & MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRY SNAPSHOT

LEGEND

0-1 Score

COMMITMENT

0-1 Score 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0

OPEN AND ACCOUNTABLE GOVERNANCE

Liberal Democracy

0.22

Open Government

0.30

0-1 Score 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0

INCLUSIVE DEVELOPMENT

Social Group Equality

0.47

Economic Gender Gap

0.72

0-1 Score 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0

ECONOMIC POLICY

Business & Investment

Environment 0.41

Trade Freedom 0.72

Environmental Policy

0.33

RISK OF EXTERNAL DEBT DISTRESS

CAPACITY

0-1 Score 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0

GOVERNMENT CAPACITY

Government Effectiveness

0.39

Tax System Effectiveness

0.35

Safety & Security 0.49

0-1 Score 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0

CIVIL SOCIETY CAPACITY

Civil Society & Media

Effectiveness 0.78

0-1 Score 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0

CITIZEN CAPACITY

Poverty Rate ($5/Day)

0.53

Education Quality 0.39

Child Health 0.89

0-1 Score 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0

CAPACITY OF THE ECONOMY

GDP Per Capita

(PPP)

0.40

Information & Communication

Technology (ICT) Adoption

0.22

Export Sophistication

0.40

Low Moderate High In Debt Distress

Honduras's Most Recent Score

0-1, least to most advanced globally

Honduras's Prior Year Scores 0-1, least to most advanced globally

Average Score for Low-and Middle-Income

Countries

HONDURAS

JOURNEY TO SELF-RELIANCE:

FY 2021 COUNTRY TRENDS

LEGEND

0-1 Score

0-1 Score

COMMITMENT

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

OPEN AND ACCOUNTABLE GOVERNANCE

Liberal Democracy

0.26 0.29 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.24 0.22

Open Government 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.30 0.30

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

INCLUSIVE DEVELOPMENT

Social Group Equality 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36

0.47 0.47

Economic Gender Gap

0.62 0.59 0.59 0.66 0.66 0.72

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

ECONOMIC POLICY

Business & Investment

Environment

0.41 0.42 0.43 0.42 0.42 0.41

Trade Freedom

0.81 0.72 0.72

Environmental Policy 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33

FY 2021 Country Roadmap results (darker shaded points) and prior year results (lighter shaded points) are normalized in the same manner to ensure comparability. In some instances, USAID has taken several additional measures to maximize comparability of results across time, including adjusting source reporting year to actual year of measurement and removing historical data that are no longer comparable due to methodological revisions. For more detail, please see the USAID J2SR Country Roadmap Methodology Guide.

METHODOLOGICAL NOTES

CAPACITY

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

GOVERNMENT CAPACITY

Government Effectiveness 0.37 0.35 0.35 0.37 0.42 0.39

Tax System Effectiveness

0.26 0.30 0.31 0.35

Safety & Security 0.55 0.48 0.49 0.50 0.49 0.49

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

CIVIL SOCIETY CAPACITY

Civil Society & Media

Effectiveness

0.82 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.82 0.83 0.78

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

CITIZEN CAPACITY

Poverty Rate ($5/Day) 0.48 0.49 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.53

Education Quality Trend data unavailable

Child Health Trend data unavailable

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

CAPACITY OF THE ECONOMY

GDP Per Capita

(PPP) 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.40

Information & Communication

Technology (ICT) Adoption 0.18 0.20 0.22

Export Sophistication 0.40 0.46 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.40 https://selfreliance.usaid.gov/docs/FY_2021_USAID_Journey_to_Self-Reliance_Country_Roadmap_Methodology_Guide.pdf

SELF-RELIANCE

ROADMAPS

INDICATOR DEFINITIONS AND SOURCES

COMMITMENT

Liberal Democracy: Measures freedom of expression, freedom of association, suffrage, elections, rule of law, judicial constraints on the executive branch, and legislative constraints on the executive branch. Source: Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem).

Open Government: Measures the degree to which a government shares information, empowers people with tools to hold the government accountable, and fosters citizen participation in public policy deliberations. Sub-factors include:

publicized laws and government data, right to information, civic participation, and complaint mechanisms. Source: World Justice Project, Rule of Law Index.

OPEN AND ACCOUNTABLE GOVERNANCE

Social Group Equality: Measures political equality with respect to civil liberties protections across social groups as defined by ethnicity, religion, caste, race, language, and region. Source: Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem), Social Group Equality in Respect for Civil Liberties.

Economic Gender Gap: Index comprising five components: (1) wage equality between women and men for similar work; (2) the ratio of female estimated earned income to male income; (3) the ratio of female labor force participation to male participation; (4) the ratio of female legislators, senior officials, and managers to male counterparts; and (5) the ratio of female professional and technical workers to male counterparts. Source: World Economic Forum, Global Gender Gap Report, Economic Participation and Opportunity Sub-Index.

INCLUSIVE DEVELOPMENT

Business & Investment Environment: A composite measure gauging the conduciveness of a country’s (1) enterprise conditions—the degree to which market, entrepreneurial, tax, labor, and other regulations enable businesses to start, compete, and expand—and (2) investment environment—the extent to which investments are protected adequately through the existence of property rights, investor protections, and contract enforcement, as well as the availability of domestic and international capital. Source: Legatum Institute, Prosperity Index.

Trade Freedom: Measures a country's openness to international trade based on average tariff rates and non-tariff barriers to trade. Source: Heritage Foundation, Index of Economic Freedom.

Environmental Policy: Gauges the soundness of environmental stewardship and natural resource management, factoring a wide array of macroeconomic policies with environmental consequences, such as energy and tax policies, and incentives at the firm and household levels. The metric also factors whether legislation and regulations are effectively executed, as well as the influence of societal stakeholders beyond the government, including the private sector and civil society. Source: Bertelsmann Stiftung Transformation Index (BTI).

ECONOMIC POLICY

Rates a country's risk of public sector debt distress on a four-tier scale: "low risk", "moderate risk", "high risk", and "in debt distress". Ratings are based on countries' debt and market structures, fiscal and macroeconomic outlook, and institutional capacity to manage debt burden. Ratings help guide the borrowing decisions of lower-income countries to meet development needs while reducing the chances of excessive debt build-up. Ratings are shown for 66 lower-income countries for which the IMF prepares risk ratings and are not scored components of Commitment or Capacity. Source: International Monetary Fund, Debt Sustainability Analysis for Low-Income Countries.

RISK OF EXTERNAL DEBT DISTRESS

CAPACITY

Government Effectiveness: Measures the quality of public services, the quality of the civil service and its independence from political pressure, the quality of policy formulation and implementation, and the credibility of the government's commitment to its stated policies. Source: World Bank, Worldwide Governance Indicators.

Tax System Effectiveness: Ratio between a country's actual tax collection and the estimated level of tax revenue that a country could achieve, given its macroeconomic, demographic, and institutional features. Source: USAID, Collecting Taxes Database, Tax Effort Indicator.

Safety & Security: Measures the degree to which individuals and communities are free from war and civil conflict, terrorism, politically related terror and violence, violent crime, and property crime. Source: Legatum Institute, Prosperity Index.

GOVERNMENT CAPACITY

Civil Society & Media Effectiveness: Measures the range of actions and mechanisms that citizens, civil society organizations, and an independent media can use to hold a government accountable. The mechanisms include using informal tools such as social mobilization and investigative journalism. Source: Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem), Diagonal Accountability Index.

CIVIL SOCIETY CAPACITY

Poverty Rate ($5/Day): Measures the percent of the population living under $5/day in purchasing power parity (PPP) terms. Source: World Bank, PovCalNet.

Education Quality: Gauges both the quality of education—using harmonized scores across major international student achievement testing—and the quantity of schooling received—using age-specific enrollment rates—to evaluate the relative performance of educational systems worldwide. Source: World Bank, Human Capital Index, Learning-Adjusted Years of Schooling Indicator.

Child Health: A composite measure that aggregates child mortality, access to at least basic water sources, and access to at least basic sanitation facilities. Source:

Columbia University Center for International Earth Science Information Network

(CIESIN).

CITIZEN CAPACITY

GDP Per Capita (PPP): Measures the flow of resources available to households, firms, and government to finance development as the country's total Gross Domestic Product (PPP) divided by the country's population. Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators.

Information & Communication Technology (ICT) Adoption: Index comprising: (1) mobile-cellular telephone subscriptions; (2) mobile-broadband subscriptions; (3) fixed-broadband internet subscriptions; (4) fiber internet subscriptions; and (5) internet users. Source: World Economic Forum (WEF), Global Competitiveness Index.

Export Sophistication: Measures the diversity and ubiquity of a country’s exported goods, key markers that can help gauge economic sophistication and resilience. Source: Center for International Development at Harvard University, Economic Complexity Index.

CAPACITY OF THE ECONOMY

The FY 2021 Country Roadmaps draw on the latest data available as of July 1, 2020, with latest results typically covering the 2019 or 2018 period. All source data are derived from third-party institutions. All indicators are weighted equally in the calculation of the overall Commitment and Capacity scores. Map boundary representations are not necessarily authoritative.

For more information on definitions and sources, please visit selfreliance.usaid.gov.

https://www.v-dem.net/en/ https://worldjusticeproject.org/our-work/wjp-rule-law-index/wjp-rule-law-index-2017%E2%80%932018/factors-rule-law/open-government-factor-3 https://www.v-dem.net/en/ http://reports.weforum.org/global-gender-gap-report-2020/ https://www.prosperity.com/ https://www.heritage.org/index/ https://bti-project.org/en/home.html https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/dsa/lic.aspx http://info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi/#home https://idea.usaid.gov/domestic-revenue-mobilization https://www.prosperity.com/ https://www.v-dem.net/en/ http://iresearch.worldbank.org/PovcalNet/povOnDemand.aspx http://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/human-capital https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/nrmi-natural-resource-protection-child-health-indicators-2019 https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD http://reports.weforum.org/global-competitiveness-report-2019 http://atlas.cid.harvard.edu/ https://selfreliance.usaid.gov/