GSA ETSNext Cost Benefit Risk Analysis Final v7.pdf

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E-Gov Travel Service Next Generation (ETSNext) Request for Information
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47QMCB23N0003
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Most Likely Max ROM Likelihood of Risk Cost Impact

31 53.6 20% 6.1

41.8 73.2 35% 14.6

4.1 7.2 50% 2.1

122.2 214 10% 12.2

1.5 2.6 15% 0.23

200.3 35.3

ROM Estimate (+75% to -25% of upper & lower boundary) 350

Most Likely Max ROM Likelihood of Risk Cost Impact

35 61 15% 5

41.8 73.2 30% 12.5

4.1 7.2 50% 2.1

122.2 214 10% 12.2

1.5 2.6 10% 0.15

204 32

ROM Estimate (+75% to -25% of upper & lower boundary) 357

Most Likely Max ROM Likelihood of Risk Cost Impact

1.6 2.7 40% 0.6

3.4 5.9 20% 0.7

596.6 1044.1 50% 298

Cost Risk Analysis with Risk Drivers

Project Date

GSA ETSNext 11/30/2022

1.1

3.1

GSA.CNT.DA.2 - Integration and production deployment of an API Gateway solution with a Standard Integration Data and Service Crosswalk

Cost + Cost Risk

GSA.CNT.SA.1 - RFI and pre-award transition to a single vendor option 23

Cost Estimate WBS Min ROM

1.1

GSA.CNT.SA.2 - Integration and production deployment of an API Gateway solution with a Standard Integration Data and Service Crosswalk31.4

3.1

Decentralized: Single Award

Total

Centralized: Single Award

56.4

AGY.CNT.SA.1 - Shared service agreement

GSA.CNT.SA.3 - Change management, policy guidance and training

236.4

54.3

Cost Estimate WBS Min ROM

GSA.CNT.DA.1 - RFI and pre-award transition to a multi-vendor option 26

Cost + Cost Risk

894.9

GSA.DNT.SA.2 - Change management, policy guidance and training 4

AGY.DNT.SA.1 - Transistion to ETSNext single vendor option

2.5

6.2

134.4

AGY.CNT.SA.2 - Third party contracts

150.2

Cost Estimate WBS Min ROM

GSA.DNT.SA.1 - RFI and pre-award transition to a single vendor option 1.2

31.4

GSA.CNT.DA.3 - Change management, policy guidance and training

AGY.CNT.DA.1 - Shared service agreement

AGY.CNT.DA.2 - Third party contracts

153.2

Dollars in Millions

Dollars in Millions

Dollars in Millions

6.2

134.4

Cost + Cost Risk

2.2

1.65

36.7

447.5

Centralized: Multi Award

Total

1.73

601.5 299.6

ROM Estimate (+75% to -25% of upper & lower boundary) 1052.7

Most Likely Max ROM Likelihood of Risk Cost Impact

1.9 3.3 25% 0.5

3.4 5.9 20% 0.7

596.6 1044.1 10% 60

601.9 60.8

ROM Estimate (+75% to -25% of upper & lower boundary) 1053

AGY.DNT.DA.1 - Transistion to ETSNext multi-vendor option 656.3

Decentralized: Multi Award

Cost Estimate WBS Min ROM Cost + Cost Risk

Dollars in Millions

Total 901.1

451.1

451.4

Total 662.7

447.5

GSA.DNT.DA.1 - RFI and pre-award transition to a multi-vendor option 1.4

2.5

2.4

GSA.DNT.DA.2 - Change management, policy guidance and training

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