GSA ETSNext_Cost Benefit_Risk_Analysis_Final_v13.pdf
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Most Likely Max ROM Likelihood of Risk Cost Impact
23 39.6 20% 4.5
41.8 73.2 35% 14.6
4.1 7.2 50% 2.1
38.2 67 10% 3.8
1.5 2.6 15% 0.23
108.2 25.3
ROM Estimate (+75% to -25% of upper & lower boundary) 189
Most Likely Max ROM Likelihood of Risk Cost Impact
25 44 15% 4
41.8 73.2 30% 12.5
4.1 7.2 50% 2.1
38.2 67 10% 3.8
1.5 2.6 10% 0.15
111 22
ROM Estimate (+75% to -25% of upper & lower boundary) 194
Cost Risk Analysis with Risk Drivers
Project Date
GSA ETSNext 1/13/2023
1.1
3.1
GSA.CNT.DA.2 - Integration and production deployment of an API Gateway solution with a Standard Integration Data and Service Crosswalk
Cost + Cost Risk
GSA.CNT.SA.1 - RFI and pre-award transition to a single vendor option 17
Cost Estimate WBS Min ROM
1.1
GSA.CNT.SA.2 - Integration and production deployment of an API Gateway solution with a Standard Integration Data and Service Crosswalk31.4
3.1
Total
Centralized: Single Award
56.4
AGY.CNT.SA.1 - Shared service agreement
GSA.CNT.SA.3 - Change management, policy guidance and training
54.3
Cost Estimate WBS Min ROM
GSA.CNT.DA.1 - RFI and pre-award transition to a multi-vendor option 19
Cost + Cost Risk
6.2
AGY.CNT.SA.2 - Third party contracts
81.2
31.4
GSA.CNT.DA.3 - Change management, policy guidance and training
AGY.CNT.DA.1 - Shared service agreement
AGY.CNT.DA.2 - Third party contracts
Dollars in Millions
Dollars in Millions
6.2
1.65
27.1
Centralized: Multi Award
Total
1.73
Most Likely Max ROM Likelihood of Risk Cost Impact
1.6 2.7 40% 0.6
3.4 5.9 20% 0.7
506.6 886.6 50% 253
511.5 254.6
ROM Estimate (+75% to -25% of upper & lower boundary) 895.2
Most Likely Max ROM Likelihood of Risk Cost Impact
1.9 3.3 25% 0.5
3.4 5.9 20% 0.7
506.6 886.6 10% 51
511.9 51.8
ROM Estimate (+75% to -25% of upper & lower boundary) 896
Decentralized: Single Award
AGY.DNT.DA.1 - Transistion to ETSNext multi-vendor option 557.3
759.9
GSA.DNT.SA.2 - Change management, policy guidance and training 4
Decentralized: Multi Award
AGY.DNT.SA.1 - Transistion to ETSNext single vendor option
2.5
Cost Estimate WBS Min ROM Cost + Cost Risk
Cost Estimate WBS Min ROM
GSA.DNT.SA.1 - RFI and pre-award transition to a single vendor option 1.2
Dollars in Millions
Dollars in Millions
Cost + Cost Risk
2.2
Total 766.1
383.6
383.9
Total 563.7
GSA.DNT.DA.1 - RFI and pre-award transition to a multi-vendor option 1.4
2.5
2.4
GSA.DNT.DA.2 - Change management, policy guidance and training
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