D.12 - REACH VET Predictive Model.docx
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This document provides an overview of the REACH VET (Recovery Engagement and Coordination for Health- Veterans Enhanced Treatment) predictive modeling system used by the Department of Veterans Affairs. The system analyzes Veterans Health Records to identify veterans in the top 0.1% of statistical risk for suicide and other negative outcomes at each facility by examining clinical and administrative data from the past two years. The model shows these veterans have significantly elevated risks compared to the general VHA population, including 33x higher risk for suicide within one month and 81x higher risk for suicide attempts within one year.
The document outlines the REACH VET process, which supplements existing clinical strategies by enabling comprehensive chart reviews, multi-disciplinary care approaches, and enhanced treatment coordination. Research findings indicate the program has led to increased outpatient appointment completion, decreased missed appointments, greater implementation of suicide prevention safety plans, and reductions in inpatient mental health admissions, Emergency Department visits, and documented suicide attempts. The system operates through monthly releases of high-risk veteran names to facility coordinators, who then connect with appropriate healthcare providers for follow-up care and documentation using CPRS templates.
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REACH VET: Recovery Engagement and Coordination for Health- Veterans Enhanced Treatment
What is REACH VET?
· REACH VET summarizes information from the Veterans Health Record and uses predictive modeling to identify Veterans at statistical risk for suicide and other negative outcomes. This tool supplements clinical strategies used to identify at-risk Veterans and may help providers intervene prior to these negative outcomes occurring.
· The REACH VET program:
· Helps alert facilities of Veterans at the top 0.1% increased statistical risk at each facility
· Summarizes past two years of health record data to streamline clinical review
· Provides an additional data point for conceptualization and treatment
· Offers an opportunity to engage Veterans in their own healthcare and make enhancements, as indicated The Predictive Model
· Utilizes clinical and administrative data from the past 2 years for each Veteran utilizing VHA health care services
Calculated Risk as compared to overall VHA population
| Outcome | |
| Top 0.1% |
| Suicide (one month) |
| 33x |
| Suicide (one year) |
| 15x |
| Suicide attempt (one year) |
| 81x |
| Mental health inpatient bed days of care (one year) |
| 66x |
| Medical/surgical/rehab inpatient bed days (one year) |
| 6.3x |
· Although identified Veterans are at high statistical risk for adverse outcomes, including suicide, this does not necessarily indicate current acute clinical risk for suicide. Therefore, it is critical to reach out to these Veterans to assess current risk and offer support.
REACH VET Process
· REACH VET is intended to supplement, rather than replace, current clinical strategies
· REACH VET steps can be integrated into the existing workflow to reduce workload and enhance collaboration and continuity of care (e.g., utilizing BHIP meetings to discuss cases and make decisions).
· Identified Veterans have complex care needs and may be at risk for both adverse medical and mental health outcomes. Providers should take a holistic, multi-disciplinary approach to REACH VET responsibilities:
· Chart reviews should be comprehensive, looking at both medical and mental health aspects of care.
· Ideally, all providers of the Veteran’s treatment team should be aware of the Veteran’s statistical risk and involved in enhancing care when indicated.
Impact of REACH VET
· Findings from McCarthy and others (2021) indicate REACH VET patients complete more outpatient appointments, decreases in the percent of missed appointments, greater initiation of suicide prevention safety plans, decreases in inpatient mental health admissions, reduced Emergency Department visit days and reduction in documented suicide attempts.
Resources
· REACH VET SharePoint: REACH VET Resources (sharepoint.com)
· REACH VET Support email: VHAReachVetSupport@va.gov
· REACH VET Dashboard and Reports: Suicide Risk Identification and Management - Dashboard and Reports - All Documents (sharepoint.com) REACH VET releases names monthly to alert facility to Veterans within the top 0.1% of statistical risk
REACH VET Coordinator receives the names and identifies the provider that works most closely with the Veteran
REACH VET provider re-evaluates care, considers treatment-enhancement strategies, outreaches the Veteran, and documents using CPRS templates
File details come from the government source that posted it. Updated .