Appendix D Market Basket FY18-FY23.xlsx
XLSX spreadsheet 23 KB Posted
- Attached to
- RFP DOR 17002 - Scratch Ticket Production
- Solicitation number
- RFP TFAA 2017000097 4
- Issued by
- Ouray County, Denver City, Colorado
About this file
This is a Market Basket projection spreadsheet for instant lottery ticket game production spanning fiscal years 2018 through 2023. The document outlines comprehensive forecasting data for a state lottery operation, detailing projected ticket quantities, game distributions, and retail values across nine price points ranging from $1.00 to $50.00. The analysis covers 295 total games distributed across six fiscal years, with cumulative ticket projections of approximately 761.87 million units. The market basket includes detailed breakdowns by ticket size (2.5X4 through 4X12 inches), number of games per price point, average ticket runs, and retail value allocations. Total retail value across the contract period is projected at $3.33 billion, with annual totals ranging from $483.82 million in FY18 to $621.2 million in FY23. The data indicates 236 primary games and 59 secondary games across the contract term.
The spreadsheet identifies separately priced required ticket and game features for both primary and secondary categories, including specialized printing requirements such as neon displays, metallic inks, holographic stock, scented inks, die-cut capabilities, and extended play marking systems. Maximum payout percentages vary by price point, ranging from 60 percent for $1.00 tickets to 80 percent for $50.00 tickets. The primary game category projects 609.496 billion in total value with 152.374 billion in secondary game value. The document provides detailed feature quantities measured in millions of games, enabling comprehensive cost modeling for the production of specialized lottery products with varying security features, finishing processes, and game mechanics throughout the six-year projection period.
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Sheet1
| Market Basket Projections FY18-FY23 | ||||||||||||
| FY18 | ||||||||||||
| $1.00 | $2.00 | $3.00 | $3.00 | $5.00 | $10.00 | $10.00 | $20.00 | $50.00 | Total Number | Total Number | Retail Value | |
| Ticket Size | 2.5X4 | 4X4 | 4X6 | 4X8 | 4X8 | 4X8 | 4X10 | 4X10 | 4X12 | of Games | of Tickets | of Tickets |
| Quantity (M) per game | 3,360,000 | 1,800,000 | 960,000 | 2,400,000 | 1,080,000 | 840,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,440,000 | 1,200,000 | 43 | 104,090,000 | $483,820,000 |
| 4,560,000 | 2,500,000 | 6,000,000 | 0 | 1,800,000 | 2,520,000 | 2,160,000 | ||||||
| 3,240,000 | ||||||||||||
| Average Ticket Run | 3,960,000 | 2,150,000 | 3,480,000 | 1,200,000 | 2,040,000 | 1,680,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,200,000 | |||
| Number of games | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| Total Number of Tickets | 27,720,000 | 15,050,000 | 17,400,000 | 2,400,000 | 26,520,000 | 8,400,000 | 1,800,000 | 3,600,000 | 1,200,000 | |||
| Retail Value of Tickets | $27,720,000 | $30,100,000 | $52,200,000 | $7,200,000 | $132,600,000 | $84,000,000 | $18,000,000 | $72,000,000 | $60,000,000 | |||
| Market Share | 5.7294% | 6.2213% | 10.7891% | 1.4882% | 27.4069% | 17.3618% | 3.7204% | 14.8816% | 12.4013% | |||
| Maximum Payout | 60.00% | 62.00% | 63.00% | 63.00% | 68.50% | 71.00% | 71.00% | 74.50% | 80.00% |
| FY19 | ||||||||||||
| $1.00 | $2.00 | $3.00 | $3.00 | $5.00 | $10.00 | $10.00 | $20.00 | $50.00 | Total Number | Total Number | Retail Value | |
| Ticket Size | 2.5X4 | 4X4 | 4X6 | 4X8 | 4X8 | 4X8 | 4X10 | 4X10 | 4X12 | of Games | of Tickets | of Tickets |
| Quantity (M) per game | 3,360,000 | 1,800,000 | 960,000 | 2,400,000 | 1,080,000 | 840,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,440,000 | 1,200,000 | 48 | 121,240,000 | $499,640,000 |
| 4,800,000 | 2,500,000 | 6,000,000 | 1,800,000 | 2,640,000 | 2,160,000 | |||||||
| 3,240,000 | ||||||||||||
| Average Ticket Run | 4,080,000 | 2,150,000 | 3,480,000 | 2,400,000 | 2,040,000 | 1,740,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,200,000 | |||
| Number of games | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |||
| Total Number of Tickets | 32,640,000 | 17,200,000 | 17,400,000 | 7,200,000 | 32,640,000 | 6,960,000 | 1,800,000 | 5,400,000 | 0 | |||
| Estimated Dollars | $32,640,000 | $34,400,000 | $52,200,000 | $21,600,000 | $163,200,000 | $69,600,000 | $18,000,000 | $108,000,000 | $0 | |||
| Market Share | 6.5327% | 6.8850% | 10.4475% | 4.3231% | 32.6635% | 13.9300% | 3.6026% | 21.6156% | 0.0000% | |||
| Maximum Payout | 60.00% | 62.00% | 63.00% | 63.00% | 68.50% | 71.00% | 71.00% | 74.50% | 80.00% |
| FY20 | ||||||||||||
| $1.00 | $2.00 | $3.00 | $3.00 | $5.00 | $10.00 | $10.00 | $20.00 | $50.00 | Total Number | Total Number | Retail Value | |
| Ticket Size | 2.5X4 | 4X4 | 4X6 | 4X8 | 4X8 | 4X8 | 4X10 | 4X10 | 4X12 | of Games | of Tickets | of Tickets |
| Quantity (M) per game | 3,360,000 | 1,800,000 | 960,000 | 2,520,000 | 1,080,000 | 960,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,680,000 | 1,200,000 | 49 | 121,600,000 | $540,200,000 |
| 4,320,000 | 2,500,000 | 6,000,000 | 1,800,000 | 2,640,000 | 2,160,000 | |||||||
| 3,240,000 | ||||||||||||
| Average Ticket Run | 3,840,000 | 2,150,000 | 3,480,000 | 2,520,000 | 2,040,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,920,000 | 1,200,000 | |||
| Number of games | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| Total Number of Tickets | 30,720,000 | 17,200,000 | 17,400,000 | 7,560,000 | 34,680,000 | 7,200,000 | 1,800,000 | 3,840,000 | 1,200,000 | |||
| Estimated Dollars | $30,720,000 | $34,400,000 | $52,200,000 | $22,680,000 | $173,400,000 | $72,000,000 | $18,000,000 | $76,800,000 | $60,000,000 | |||
| Market Share | 5.6868% | 6.3680% | 9.6631% | 4.1984% | 32.0992% | 13.3284% | 3.3321% | 14.2170% | 11.1070% | |||
| Maximum Payout | 60.00% | 62.00% | 63.00% | 63.00% | 68.50% | 71.00% | 71.00% | 74.50% | 80.00% |
| FY21 | ||||||||||||
| $1.00 | $2.00 | $3.00 | $3.00 | $5.00 | $10.00 | $10.00 | $20.00 | $50.00 | Total Number | Total Number | Retail Value | |
| Ticket Size | 2.5X4 | 4X4 | 4X6 | 4X8 | 4X8 | 4X8 | 4X10 | 4X10 | 4X12 | of Games | of Tickets | of Tickets |
| Quantity (M) per game | 3,840,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,080,000 | 2,520,000 | 2,040,000 | 960,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,680,000 | 1,200,000 | 51 | 138,630,000 | $583,800,000 |
| 4,320,000 | 2,620,000 | 6,000,000 | 2,160,000 | 2,640,000 | 2,160,000 | |||||||
| 3,480,000 | ||||||||||||
| Average Ticket Run | 4,080,000 | 2,210,000 | 3,540,000 | 2,520,000 | 2,560,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,920,000 | 1,200,000 | |||
| Number of games | 8 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |||
| Total Number of Tickets | 32,640,000 | 19,890,000 | 17,700,000 | 7,560,000 | 46,080,000 | 7,200,000 | 1,800,000 | 5,760,000 | 0 | |||
| Estimated Dollars | $32,640,000 | $39,780,000 | $53,100,000 | $22,680,000 | $230,400,000 | $72,000,000 | $18,000,000 | $115,200,000 | $0 | |||
| Market Share | 5.5910% | 6.8140% | 9.0956% | 3.8849% | 39.4656% | 12.3330% | 3.0832% | 19.7328% | 0.0000% | |||
| Maximum Payout | 60.00% | 62.00% | 63.00% | 63.00% | 68.50% | 71.00% | 71.00% | 74.50% | 80.00% |
| FY22 | ||||||||||||
| $1.00 | $2.00 | $3.00 | $3.00 | $5.00 | $10.00 | $10.00 | $20.00 | $50.00 | Total Number | Total Number | Retail Value | |
| Ticket Size | 2.5X4 | 4X4 | 4X6 | 4X8 | 4X8 | 4X8 | 4X10 | 4X10 | 4X12 | of Games | of Tickets | of Tickets |
| Quantity (M) per game | 3,840,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,080,000 | 2,520,000 | 2,040,000 | 960,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,680,000 | 1,200,000 | 50 | 132,090,000 | $608,700,000 |
| 4,320,000 | 2,620,000 | 6,000,000 | 2,160,000 | 2,640,000 | 2,160,000 | |||||||
| 3,480,000 | ||||||||||||
| Average Ticket Run | 4,080,000 | 2,210,000 | 3,540,000 | 2,520,000 | 2,560,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,920,000 | 1,200,000 | |||
| Number of games | 7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| Total Number of Tickets | 28,560,000 | 19,890,000 | 14,160,000 | 7,560,000 | 46,080,000 | 9,000,000 | 1,800,000 | 3,840,000 | 1,200,000 | |||
| Estimated Dollars | $28,560,000 | $39,780,000 | $42,480,000 | $22,680,000 | $230,400,000 | $90,000,000 | $18,000,000 | $76,800,000 | $60,000,000 | |||
| Market Share | 5.5910% | 6.8140% | 9.0956% | 3.8849% | 39.4656% | 12.3330% | 3.0832% | 19.7328% | 0.0000% | |||
| Maximum Payout | 60.00% | 62.00% | 63.00% | 63.00% | 68.50% | 71.00% | 71.00% | 74.50% | 80.00% |
| FY23 | ||||||||||||
| $1.00 | $2.00 | $3.00 | $3.00 | $5.00 | $10.00 | $10.00 | $20.00 | $50.00 | Total Number | Total Number | Retail Value | |
| Ticket Size | 2.5X4 | 4X4 | 4X6 | 4X8 | 4X8 | 4X8 | 4X10 | 4X10 | 4X12 | of Games | of Tickets | of Tickets |
| Quantity (M) per game | 3,840,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,080,000 | 2,520,000 | 2,040,000 | 960,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,680,000 | 1,200,000 | 54 | 144,220,000 | $621,200,000 |
| 4,320,000 | 2,620,000 | 6,000,000 | 2,160,000 | 2,640,000 | 2,160,000 | |||||||
| 3,480,000 | ||||||||||||
| Average Ticket Run | 4,080,000 | 2,210,000 | 3,540,000 | 2,520,000 | 2,560,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,800,000 | 1,920,000 | 1,200,000 | |||
| Number of games | 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |||
| Total Number of Tickets | 32,640,000 | 22,100,000 | 14,160,000 | 7,560,000 | 51,200,000 | 9,000,000 | 1,800,000 | 5,760,000 | 0 | |||
| Estimated Dollars | $32,640,000 | $44,200,000 | $42,480,000 | $22,680,000 | $256,000,000 | $90,000,000 | $18,000,000 | $115,200,000 | $0 | |||
| Market Share | 5.5910% | 6.8140% | 9.0956% | 3.8849% | 39.4656% | 12.3330% | 3.0832% | 19.7328% | 0.0000% | |||
| Maximum Payout | 60.00% | 62.00% | 63.00% | 63.00% | 68.50% | 71.00% | 71.00% | 74.50% | 80.00% |
| Cum Tickets by Price Point | 184,920,000 | 111,330,000 | 98,220,000 | 39,840,000 | 237,200,000 | 47,760,000 | 10,800,000 | 28,200,000 | 3,600,000 | Cumlative Number | |||
| Cum Average Ticket run | 2,660,000 | 1,443,333 | 2,330,000 | 1,440,000 | 1,446,667 | 1,170,000 | 1,200,000 | 1,880,000 | 1,200,000 | Total | of Tickets | ||
| Total Number of Games | 46 | 51 | 28 | 17 | 102 | 27 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 295 | 761,870,000 | ||
| 24.27% | 14.61% | 12.89% | 5.23% | 31.13% | 6.27% | 1.42% | 3.70% | 0.47% | Primary | ||||
| 609,496,000 | 236 | ||||||||||||
| Secondary | 59 | ||||||||||||
| 152,374,000 | |||||||||||||
| Square Inches Table | |||||||||||||
| 2.5X4 | 10 | ||||||||||||
| 4X4 | 16 | ||||||||||||
| 4X6 | 24 | ||||||||||||
| 4X8 | 32 | ||||||||||||
| 4X10 | 40 | ||||||||||||
| SEPARATELY PRICED REQUIRED TICKET/GAME FEATURES (Total Contract) | Projected | Quantity | |||||||||||
| Primary | No. Games | (Millions) | |||||||||||
| Neon Display Per Color | 30 | 25.20 | |||||||||||
| Metallic Display Ink Per Color | 42 | 35.28 | |||||||||||
| Stub Ticket with Horizontal or Vertical Perforations w/ Covering | 6 | 5.04 | |||||||||||
| Color Pulse | 90 | 75.60 | |||||||||||
| Thermal Ink | 3 | 2.52 | |||||||||||
| Multiple Color Ink Imaging | 40 | 33.60 | |||||||||||
| No Omit Games | 6 | 5.04 | |||||||||||
| Patented Processes | 12 | 10.08 | |||||||||||
| Scented Ink | 15 | 12.60 | |||||||||||
| Printing on Shrink Wrap | 0 | 0.00 | |||||||||||
| Simulated Foil | 12 | 10.08 | |||||||||||
| Pearlescent Ink | 12 | 10.08 | |||||||||||
| Holographic Ticket Stock | 6 | 5.04 | |||||||||||
| Patented Printing Process | 4 | 3.36 | |||||||||||
| Two-Sided Display Printing | 12 | 10.08 | |||||||||||
| Die-Cut Tickets | 4 | 3.36 | |||||||||||
| Retailer Games | 4 | 3.36 | |||||||||||
| Pouch Tickets (defined as metalized one-sided sufacepouch) | 3 | 2.52 | |||||||||||
| Passive (Traditional) games | 1 | 0.84 | |||||||||||
| Probability Games | 1 | 0.84 | |||||||||||
| Extended Play Marking System (e.g. Bingo, Crossword) | 60 | 50.40 |
| SEPARATELY PRICED REQUIRED TICKET/GAME FEATURES (Total Contract) | Projected | Quantity | |
| Secondary | No. Games | (Millions) | |
| Neon Display Per Color | 10 | 8.40 | |
| Metallic Display Ink Per Color | 7 | 5.88 | |
| Stub Ticket with Horizontal or Vertical Perforations w/ Covering | 5 | 4.20 | |
| Color Pulse | 15 | 12.60 | |
| Thermal Ink | 3 | 2.52 | |
| Multiple Color Ink Imaging | 10 | 8.40 | |
| No Omit Games | 3 | 2.52 | |
| Patented Processes | 12 | 10.08 | |
| Scented Ink | 6 | 5.04 | |
| Printing on Shrink Wrap | 0 | 0.00 | |
| Simulated Foil | 6 | 5.04 | |
| Pearlescent Ink | 3 | 2.52 | |
| Holographic Ticket Stock | 3 | 2.52 | |
| Patented Printing Process | 12 | 10.08 | |
| Two-Sided Display Printing | 6 | 5.04 | |
| Die-Cut Tickets | 3 | 2.52 | |
| Retailer Games | 3 | 2.52 | |
| Pouch Tickets (defined as metalized one-sided sufacepouch) | 3 | 2.52 | |
| Passive (Traditional) games | 1 | 0.84 | |
| Probability Games | 1 | 0.84 | |
| Extended Play Marking System (e.g. Bingo, Crossword) | 12 | 10.08 |
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