Appendix D Market Basket FY18-FY23.xlsx

XLSX spreadsheet 23 KB Posted

Attached to
RFP DOR 17002 - Scratch Ticket Production
Solicitation number
RFP TFAA 2017000097 4
Issued by
Ouray County, Denver City, Colorado

About this file

This is a Market Basket projection spreadsheet for instant lottery ticket game production spanning fiscal years 2018 through 2023. The document outlines comprehensive forecasting data for a state lottery operation, detailing projected ticket quantities, game distributions, and retail values across nine price points ranging from $1.00 to $50.00. The analysis covers 295 total games distributed across six fiscal years, with cumulative ticket projections of approximately 761.87 million units. The market basket includes detailed breakdowns by ticket size (2.5X4 through 4X12 inches), number of games per price point, average ticket runs, and retail value allocations. Total retail value across the contract period is projected at $3.33 billion, with annual totals ranging from $483.82 million in FY18 to $621.2 million in FY23. The data indicates 236 primary games and 59 secondary games across the contract term.

The spreadsheet identifies separately priced required ticket and game features for both primary and secondary categories, including specialized printing requirements such as neon displays, metallic inks, holographic stock, scented inks, die-cut capabilities, and extended play marking systems. Maximum payout percentages vary by price point, ranging from 60 percent for $1.00 tickets to 80 percent for $50.00 tickets. The primary game category projects 609.496 billion in total value with 152.374 billion in secondary game value. The document provides detailed feature quantities measured in millions of games, enabling comprehensive cost modeling for the production of specialized lottery products with varying security features, finishing processes, and game mechanics throughout the six-year projection period.

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Sheet1

Market Basket Projections FY18-FY23
FY18
$1.00$2.00$3.00$3.00$5.00$10.00$10.00$20.00$50.00Total NumberTotal NumberRetail Value
Ticket Size2.5X44X44X64X84X84X84X104X104X12of Gamesof Ticketsof Tickets
Quantity (M) per game3,360,0001,800,000960,0002,400,0001,080,000840,0001,800,0001,440,0001,200,00043104,090,000$483,820,000
4,560,0002,500,0006,000,00001,800,0002,520,0002,160,000
3,240,000
Average Ticket Run3,960,0002,150,0003,480,0001,200,0002,040,0001,680,0001,800,0001,800,0001,200,000
Number of games7752135121
Total Number of Tickets27,720,00015,050,00017,400,0002,400,00026,520,0008,400,0001,800,0003,600,0001,200,000
Retail Value of Tickets$27,720,000$30,100,000$52,200,000$7,200,000$132,600,000$84,000,000$18,000,000$72,000,000$60,000,000
Market Share5.7294%6.2213%10.7891%1.4882%27.4069%17.3618%3.7204%14.8816%12.4013%
Maximum Payout60.00%62.00%63.00%63.00%68.50%71.00%71.00%74.50%80.00%
FY19
$1.00$2.00$3.00$3.00$5.00$10.00$10.00$20.00$50.00Total NumberTotal NumberRetail Value
Ticket Size2.5X44X44X64X84X84X84X104X104X12of Gamesof Ticketsof Tickets
Quantity (M) per game3,360,0001,800,000960,0002,400,0001,080,000840,0001,800,0001,440,0001,200,00048121,240,000$499,640,000
4,800,0002,500,0006,000,0001,800,0002,640,0002,160,000
3,240,000
Average Ticket Run4,080,0002,150,0003,480,0002,400,0002,040,0001,740,0001,800,0001,800,0001,200,000
Number of games8853164130
Total Number of Tickets32,640,00017,200,00017,400,0007,200,00032,640,0006,960,0001,800,0005,400,0000
Estimated Dollars$32,640,000$34,400,000$52,200,000$21,600,000$163,200,000$69,600,000$18,000,000$108,000,000$0
Market Share6.5327%6.8850%10.4475%4.3231%32.6635%13.9300%3.6026%21.6156%0.0000%
Maximum Payout60.00%62.00%63.00%63.00%68.50%71.00%71.00%74.50%80.00%
FY20
$1.00$2.00$3.00$3.00$5.00$10.00$10.00$20.00$50.00Total NumberTotal NumberRetail Value
Ticket Size2.5X44X44X64X84X84X84X104X104X12of Gamesof Ticketsof Tickets
Quantity (M) per game3,360,0001,800,000960,0002,520,0001,080,000960,0001,800,0001,680,0001,200,00049121,600,000$540,200,000
4,320,0002,500,0006,000,0001,800,0002,640,0002,160,000
3,240,000
Average Ticket Run3,840,0002,150,0003,480,0002,520,0002,040,0001,800,0001,800,0001,920,0001,200,000
Number of games8853174121
Total Number of Tickets30,720,00017,200,00017,400,0007,560,00034,680,0007,200,0001,800,0003,840,0001,200,000
Estimated Dollars$30,720,000$34,400,000$52,200,000$22,680,000$173,400,000$72,000,000$18,000,000$76,800,000$60,000,000
Market Share5.6868%6.3680%9.6631%4.1984%32.0992%13.3284%3.3321%14.2170%11.1070%
Maximum Payout60.00%62.00%63.00%63.00%68.50%71.00%71.00%74.50%80.00%
FY21
$1.00$2.00$3.00$3.00$5.00$10.00$10.00$20.00$50.00Total NumberTotal NumberRetail Value
Ticket Size2.5X44X44X64X84X84X84X104X104X12of Gamesof Ticketsof Tickets
Quantity (M) per game3,840,0001,800,0001,080,0002,520,0002,040,000960,0001,800,0001,680,0001,200,00051138,630,000$583,800,000
4,320,0002,620,0006,000,0002,160,0002,640,0002,160,000
3,480,000
Average Ticket Run4,080,0002,210,0003,540,0002,520,0002,560,0001,800,0001,800,0001,920,0001,200,000
Number of games8953184130
Total Number of Tickets32,640,00019,890,00017,700,0007,560,00046,080,0007,200,0001,800,0005,760,0000
Estimated Dollars$32,640,000$39,780,000$53,100,000$22,680,000$230,400,000$72,000,000$18,000,000$115,200,000$0
Market Share5.5910%6.8140%9.0956%3.8849%39.4656%12.3330%3.0832%19.7328%0.0000%
Maximum Payout60.00%62.00%63.00%63.00%68.50%71.00%71.00%74.50%80.00%
FY22
$1.00$2.00$3.00$3.00$5.00$10.00$10.00$20.00$50.00Total NumberTotal NumberRetail Value
Ticket Size2.5X44X44X64X84X84X84X104X104X12of Gamesof Ticketsof Tickets
Quantity (M) per game3,840,0001,800,0001,080,0002,520,0002,040,000960,0001,800,0001,680,0001,200,00050132,090,000$608,700,000
4,320,0002,620,0006,000,0002,160,0002,640,0002,160,000
3,480,000
Average Ticket Run4,080,0002,210,0003,540,0002,520,0002,560,0001,800,0001,800,0001,920,0001,200,000
Number of games7943185121
Total Number of Tickets28,560,00019,890,00014,160,0007,560,00046,080,0009,000,0001,800,0003,840,0001,200,000
Estimated Dollars$28,560,000$39,780,000$42,480,000$22,680,000$230,400,000$90,000,000$18,000,000$76,800,000$60,000,000
Market Share5.5910%6.8140%9.0956%3.8849%39.4656%12.3330%3.0832%19.7328%0.0000%
Maximum Payout60.00%62.00%63.00%63.00%68.50%71.00%71.00%74.50%80.00%
FY23
$1.00$2.00$3.00$3.00$5.00$10.00$10.00$20.00$50.00Total NumberTotal NumberRetail Value
Ticket Size2.5X44X44X64X84X84X84X104X104X12of Gamesof Ticketsof Tickets
Quantity (M) per game3,840,0001,800,0001,080,0002,520,0002,040,000960,0001,800,0001,680,0001,200,00054144,220,000$621,200,000
4,320,0002,620,0006,000,0002,160,0002,640,0002,160,000
3,480,000
Average Ticket Run4,080,0002,210,0003,540,0002,520,0002,560,0001,800,0001,800,0001,920,0001,200,000
Number of games81043205130
Total Number of Tickets32,640,00022,100,00014,160,0007,560,00051,200,0009,000,0001,800,0005,760,0000
Estimated Dollars$32,640,000$44,200,000$42,480,000$22,680,000$256,000,000$90,000,000$18,000,000$115,200,000$0
Market Share5.5910%6.8140%9.0956%3.8849%39.4656%12.3330%3.0832%19.7328%0.0000%
Maximum Payout60.00%62.00%63.00%63.00%68.50%71.00%71.00%74.50%80.00%
Cum Tickets by Price Point184,920,000111,330,00098,220,00039,840,000237,200,00047,760,00010,800,00028,200,0003,600,000Cumlative Number
Cum Average Ticket run2,660,0001,443,3332,330,0001,440,0001,446,6671,170,0001,200,0001,880,0001,200,000Totalof Tickets
Total Number of Games46512817102276153295761,870,000
24.27%14.61%12.89%5.23%31.13%6.27%1.42%3.70%0.47%Primary
609,496,000236
Secondary59
152,374,000
Square Inches Table
2.5X410
4X416
4X624
4X832
4X1040
SEPARATELY PRICED REQUIRED TICKET/GAME FEATURES (Total Contract)ProjectedQuantity
PrimaryNo. Games(Millions)
Neon Display Per Color3025.20
Metallic Display Ink Per Color4235.28
Stub Ticket with Horizontal or Vertical Perforations w/ Covering65.04
Color Pulse9075.60
Thermal Ink32.52
Multiple Color Ink Imaging4033.60
No Omit Games65.04
Patented Processes1210.08
Scented Ink1512.60
Printing on Shrink Wrap00.00
Simulated Foil1210.08
Pearlescent Ink1210.08
Holographic Ticket Stock65.04
Patented Printing Process43.36
Two-Sided Display Printing1210.08
Die-Cut Tickets43.36
Retailer Games43.36
Pouch Tickets (defined as metalized one-sided sufacepouch)32.52
Passive (Traditional) games10.84
Probability Games10.84
Extended Play Marking System (e.g. Bingo, Crossword)6050.40
SEPARATELY PRICED REQUIRED TICKET/GAME FEATURES (Total Contract)ProjectedQuantity
SecondaryNo. Games(Millions)
Neon Display Per Color108.40
Metallic Display Ink Per Color75.88
Stub Ticket with Horizontal or Vertical Perforations w/ Covering54.20
Color Pulse1512.60
Thermal Ink32.52
Multiple Color Ink Imaging108.40
No Omit Games32.52
Patented Processes1210.08
Scented Ink65.04
Printing on Shrink Wrap00.00
Simulated Foil65.04
Pearlescent Ink32.52
Holographic Ticket Stock32.52
Patented Printing Process1210.08
Two-Sided Display Printing65.04
Die-Cut Tickets32.52
Retailer Games32.52
Pouch Tickets (defined as metalized one-sided sufacepouch)32.52
Passive (Traditional) games10.84
Probability Games10.84
Extended Play Marking System (e.g. Bingo, Crossword)1210.08

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