Mathematica Inc.

Mathematica Inc., a woman-owned for-profit Subchapter S corporation headquartered in Washington, DC, delivers program evaluation, policy research, data analytics, and evidence-building services to federal civilian agencies as a prime contractor (99% of awards) across health, social services, nutrition assistance, and workforce domains, competing full-and-open without set-aside designations on the strength of established relationships and demonstrated evaluation methodology capability.

Mathematica operates as a subsidiary of Research Triangle Institute International, the nonprofit parent entity. The company's customer concentration sits heavily with health and social service agencies. The top five customer agencies by potential value account for 87% of combined funding: the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services leads with 75 awards totaling $12.55 billion in combined potential value, followed by the Department of Agriculture Food and Nutrition Service (200 awards, $464.5 million), the Department of Health and Human Services Administration for Children and Families (35 awards, $176.2 million), the Department of Labor Office of the Assistant Secretary for Policy (28 awards, $160.6 million), and the Social Security Administration (18 awards, $116.2 million). The divergence between award count and dollars reflects CMS's anchoring role; CMS represents only 10% of award count but 81% of combined potential value, driven by a single $3.5 billion indefinite-delivery multiple-award IDIQ (RMADA 3) awarded July 9, 2026, under which 32 task orders have been issued as of mid-2026, obligating $658.9 million.

Mathematica's federal portfolio spans 778 prime and sub awards with a combined potential value of $15.44 billion and combined obligations of $1.84 billion (12% of ceiling). Activity has grown from 18 awards in 2022 to 46 in 2024, then moderated to 14 in 2025 and 27 year-to-date in 2026. The company faces 35 awards (combined potential value $217.6 million) completing ultimate delivery inside the next twenty-four months and facing recompete.

Vehicle positioning reflects concentration on two dominant GSA-held vehicles: the Professional Services Schedule carries 407 task orders worth $620.4 million, and the Multiple Award Schedule carries 162 task orders worth $1.36 billion. Mathematica also holds single-award BPAs with USDA Food and Nutrition Service ($49.6 million for longitudinal SNAP household studies; $40 million for school nutrition research; $25 million for summer nutrition programs; $12 million for SNAP microsimulation; and $5.5 million for WIC certification studies), a $99 million Department of Labor Chief Evaluation Office vehicle, and IDCs with the Social Security Administration ($6.65 million for Disability Analysis File construction) and SAMHSA (minimal ceiling). The $3.5 billion CMS RMADA 3 IDIQ, awarded in October 2026, represents the largest single indefinite vehicle in the portfolio.

Capability portfolio centers on rigorous program evaluation, policy research, data analytics, longitudinal research design, survey administration, qualitative research, and microsimulation modeling. Representative contract work includes the $3.5 billion CMS RMADA 3 IDIQ for analytic support and technical assistance for ACA models and demonstrations; a $26.8 million April 2024 USDA Food and Nutrition Service BPA call for recruitment and data collection efforts; a $19.1 million April 2026 Administration for Children and Families delivery order for the National Study of Data Systems; a $19.984 million September 2023 Department of Education BPA call for data collection and analysis on the Disadvantaged Individuals Fund program through May 2029; a $13.3 million September 2026 Administration for Children and Families delivery order for testing healthy marriage and relationship education programs; a $12.5 million September 2026 Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality delivery order for AHRQ Quality Indicators analytic support; and a $12.1 million September 2023 Administration for Children and Families delivery order for the Next Generation of Enhanced Employment Strategies 2.0 program. USDA Food and Nutrition Service work anchors the portfolio at 200 awards spanning SNAP microsimulation, WIC evaluation, school nutrition research, and longitudinal household studies.

Service Contract Inventory reporting captures Mathematica's federal services activity above the $150,000 threshold. SCI-reported invoicing totaled $410.3 million across FY2022–FY2025, with annual invoicing declining from $116.4 million in FY2022 to $78.8 million in FY2025. The SCI dataset shows a corresponding FTE trajectory of 301 FTEs in FY2022 declining to 213 FTEs in FY2025 (contract-level aggregation). Government-paid hourly rates on prime contracts span a wide spectrum: the 10th percentile sits near $0/hr (likely administrative-overhead coding), the median at $176.91/hr, and the 90th percentile at $277.29/hr, reflecting a mixed labor portfolio of analysts, researchers, senior management consultants, and executive-level staff. Across SCI-reportable prime contracts, subcontractors account for approximately 4% of contractor hours on average, with 130 named downstream subcontractors engaged over the FY2022–FY2025 period. This sub-engagement pattern is situational; the source notes that Mathematica "self-performs the substantial majority of its work" and structures subcontracting on a case-by-case basis for specialized research or technical domains.

Named subcontractors in the recent source include Mission Analytics Group, Inc. (a woman-owned small business specializing in health services evaluation, subcontracted on a $5.64 million May 2024 Health Resources and Services Administration contract for Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program benchmarking and data dashboards), American Institutes for Research and MEF Associates (on an $8.67 million October 2024 Department of Labor Wagner-Peyser Employment Service Program evaluation), and University of California, Davis (on a $9.4 million September 2023 AHRQ quality indicators contract for scientific and technical review). Mathematica also appears as a subcontractor to primes Purdy Group LLC, ICF Incorporated, and MDRC on work supporting communications, early care and education research, and responsible fatherhood program evaluation.

GSA Schedule labor rates span 99 active categories from $35.84/hr (SOC on-call, high school education, no experience required) through $473.68/hr (IT executive, bachelor's degree, 15 years experience), with no security-cleared roles offered. Representative mid-range categories include Digital Communication Specialist ($184.23/hr, BA, 3 years), Senior Health IT Security Specialist I ($205.89/hr, BA, 5 years), and Subject Matter Expert II ($253.66/hr, MA, 3 years), aligning the rate structure with senior research, program management, and technical-assistance delivery roles.

NAICS concentration is dominated by Administrative Management and General Management Consulting Services (515 awards), Research and Development in the Social Sciences and Humanities (44 awards), and Other Scientific and Technical Consulting Services (36 awards). Primary Service Code distribution reflects Support—Professional: Other (199 awards), Special Studies/Analysis—Other (117 awards), Support—Management: Other (86 awards), Support—Professional: Program Evaluation/Review/Development (49 awards), and Special Studies/Analysis—Mathematical/Statistical (48 awards). This profile reinforces Mathematica's position as a research and evaluation contractor rather than a systems integrator or IT services vendor.

Mathematica competes predominantly as a prime contractor on established indefinite-delivery vehicles and direct solicitations without relying on set-aside designations, positioning itself as a large, mission-driven research and analytics firm serving federal civilian agencies pursuing evidence-based policy and program improvement across health, social services, nutrition assistance, workforce, and education domains.