Pipeline - Actuarial Research & Design Services (ARDS)

Past Recompete Updated

Agency
Solicitation expected
Estimated value
$7,000,000 to $13,000,000
Set-aside
Total Small Business

Forecast facts

Incumbent contract
Anticipated award
NAICS code
541720 Research and Development in the Social Sciences and Humanities
Points of contact

Forecast details come from HHS's procurement forecast. Agencies' dates and values are estimates.

About this forecast

The Department of Health and Human Services Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) is forecasting a recompete contract for Pipeline - Actuarial Research & Design Services (ARDS). The contract will provide actuarial and financial analysis for new model development and center-wide portfolio analysis projects, specifically focusing on forecasting potential Medicare and Medicaid program spending reductions. The estimated solicitation release date is January 1, 2026, with an anticipated award date of March 1, 2026.

The contract is set aside for total small business under NAICS code 541720 (Research and Development in the Social Sciences and Humanities). While specific award values are not explicitly stated in the forecast, the previous contract had delivery orders totaling over $26 million. Key points of contact for this opportunity are Jason Vollmer (Contracting Officer) and Monica Thorpe, both from CMS, who can be reached at their respective government email addresses. The work is expected to be performed primarily in Maryland and Virginia.

The forecasted opportunity is a recompete of the existing Indefinite Delivery Contract HHSM500201100011I, known as the Small Business Expedited Research and Demonstration (SBRAD) program. The incumbent contractor is Actuarial Research Corporation (ARC), a for-profit Subchapter S corporation based in Annandale, Virginia. The previous contract had a $2,000 ceiling value and was a multiple award contract, with ARC receiving several cost-plus-fixed-fee delivery orders for services including actuarial review, Medicare and Medicaid program estimates, physician fee schedule development, and healthcare demonstration project support.

Forecast text

The contract provides actuarial and financial analysis for new model development and center-wide portfolio analysis projects. It buys actuarial and financial analysis services for new OMB-cleared initiatives ("models"). This contract completes actuarial analysis to forecast if Innovation Center models will reduce Medicare and/or Medicaid program spending.

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