Notice of intent to award a sole source contract: 2 SME in geopolitical analysis

Closed Special Notice Posted

Not the latest version. See the latest solicitation from .

Solicitation number
13013990210001
Agency
Responses due
Set-aside
No set-aside

Opportunity facts

NAICS code
611710 Educational Support Services
Place of performance
Monterey, California 93943, United States

Notice details come from SAM.gov. Updated .

About this opportunity

Naval Supply Systems Command Fleet Logistics Center San Diego issued a Notice of Intent to Award a Sole Source Contract on August 28, 2026, intending to award a firm fixed price contract to Robert Taylor dba Panopticon Foundation for two Subject Matter Experts in geopolitical analysis by September 30, 2026. The sole source award is justified under FAR 6.302-1(a)(2) on the basis that only one responsible source can satisfy agency requirements. The requirement is for two SMEs to support an integrated deterrence strategy under OPNAV N7 for Force Design and the Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Navy (DASN), Operational Energy, focusing on military deterrence options and Functional Economic Deterrent Options (FEDOs) addressing contested logistics vulnerabilities in the Indo-Pacific, particularly China-Taiwan geopolitics and surrounding regional dynamics. The vendor must possess direct in-theater experience within Pacific Command, advanced technical expertise in complex value modeling, and strategic decision-support capabilities. Deliverables include wargame analysis, campaign analysis, computer simulation output interpretation, validation reviews of FEDOs and operational logistics initiatives, reports on PRC decision variables, and white papers. Each SME must hold a PhD in geopolitics or related area with China-Taiwan study completed within the past five years and maintain a Secret-level security clearance. Interested sources must submit a capability statement not exceeding six pages by 4:00 PM Pacific Standard Time on September 3, 2026, to Contract Specialist Brenna Bronder at brenna.m.bronder.civ@us.navy.mil. Work is performed at the contractor's site and at locations supporting wargames, exercises, and simulation events, with estimated travel of up to five trips per year. The contract includes one-year base and two option periods.

Notice text

THIS IS A NOTICE OF INTENT TO AWARD A SOLE SOURCE CONTRACT AND IS NOT A REQUEST FOR COMPETITIVE QUOTES

Naval Supply Systems Command (NAVSUP) Fleet Logistics Center San Diego (FLCSD) intends to award a firm fixed price (FFP) contract to Robert Taylor dba Panopticon Foundation, 406 1st Street Davis, California, 95616-4669, United States. Under the authority of FAR 6.302-1(a)(2) only one responsible source and no other supplies or services will satisfy agency requirements. The requirement is for two (2) Subject Matter Experts (SME) in geopolitical analysis to support an integrated deterrence strategy under the guidance of the US Operational Navy (OPNAV) N7 for Force Design and the Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Navy (DASN), Operational Energy. The deterrence strategy primarily includes military deterrence options and Functional Economic Deterrent Options (FEDO) but also considers and multiple elements of national power. The scope of FEDOs include energy related initiatives which has brought attention to the vulnerabilities of US, allies and partners in a protracted conflict in the Indo-Pacific. Contested logistics is a critical issue that the team is examining by creating operational logistics (OPLOG) initiatives that mitigate the vulnerabilities, thereby signaling to China that US, allies, and partners can win in a protracted conflict. The study specifically requires expertise in geopolitics in the China-Taiwan issue and the surrounding countries. Broad knowledge about the economics, social dynamics and culture of the countries is sought. Analysis may take various forms, such as Delphic methods, wargame analysis, campaign analysis, as well as output analysis of computer simulations. Interpretation of the data requires in-depth knowledge of regional conflicts, the state actors, leaders, and the population of the affected countries.

The department requires a vendor possessing a unique combination of direct in-theater experience within the Pacific Command (PACOM) Area of Responsibility (AOR), deep geopolitical expertise in China and Taiwan security dynamics, and advanced technical capability in designing and applying complex value models to support strategic decision-making. Currently, The Panopticon Foundation is the only source capable of providing those requirements in a manner that would ensure operational success. The purchase of inadequate service would risk research and damage to the existing mission. The purchase order will be paid for via the Wide Area Workflow (WAWF). Personnel cannot cancel or discontinue services until directed by the Government. The anticipated award date of this action is on or before 30 September 2026. The applicable North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) code is 611710 – Educational Support Services.

This notice of intent is not a request for competitive proposals and no solicitation document exists for the requirement. Sources interested in responding to this notice are required to submit a capability statement that includes management and technical data and cost information, in sufficient detail and with convincing evidence that clearly demonstrates the capability to provide the licenses and proof as being an authorized vendor of these services. Capability statements shall not exceed 6 (8.5 x 11 inch) pages using a font size no smaller than 10-point. All capability statements received by the due date of this notice will be considered by the Government. A request for documentation or additional information or submissions that only ask questions will not be considered as an affirmative response. A determination by the Government not to compete based on responses to this notice is solely within the discretion of the Government. Information received will be considered solely for the purpose of determining whether to conduct a competitive procurement or to proceed with a sole source purchase order.

Capability statements are due by 4:00 PM Pacific Standard Time (PST), September 3, 2026.  Capability statements shall be submitted by e-mail ONLY as a Microsoft Word or Adobe PDF attachment to Contract Specialist Brenna Bronder at the following email address at: brenna.m.bronder.civ@us.navy.mil  

NO TELEPHONE REQUESTS/OFFERS WILL BE HONORED

Files

File Type Posted
1.03 PWS (draft).docx DOCX document
4.01 NOTICE OF INTENT - draft.docx DOCX document

Notice history

Notice Type Posted
Combined synopsis/RFQ for geopolitical analysis subject matter expert (SME) services Latest solicitation Solicitation
This notice Special Notice
Request for Information (RFI) 2 SMEs in Geopolitical Analysis Original Pre-Solicitation

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