ATTACHMENT_J.6_Draft_Logical_Framework.docx

Attachment J.6 Draft Logical framework Punjab Enabling Environment Project

· Value of private sector employment in the targeted sector

· SBP quarterly and annual reports

· Government statistics on labor

· Perception about USG assistance in Pakistan does not deteriorate

· Political willingness on provincial and district levels for BEE reforms

· Provincial government continues to invest in improving public infrastructure (i.e. transport, communication)

· Political situation remains stable; no civil unrest occurs (e.g. elections in 2013)

Purpose

· Growth rate of investment in targeted sectors

· Value of supported value chains, non-agriculture economic activities and start-ups

· Government statistics and SBP reports

· Project record and periodic surveys

· Political willingness on national, provincial and district levels for BEE reforms

· BEE reform related trade and tax policy on national level continues

· Law and order situation in Punjab does not deteriorate

Outputs

Output 1 (IR 1.0): Measurable changes in business enabling environment for facilitating investment and economic growth.

Output 2 (IR 2.0): Increased economic activity as measured via investment in the targeted sectors Output 2 (IR 2.1): Improved access to new and existing financial products Output 3 (IR 3.0): Measurable change in the capacity of public sector organization to implement and manage BEE reforms

· Value of private sector investments in the targeted sectors, disaggregated by sectors and regions

· Changes in local business perception indicator as measured by the project through periodic surveys

· Number of FI innovations rolled out to business entities for value-chain production

· No of procedures reduced or simplified as measured via time and cost studies

· No of private and public sector organizations capable of initiating and undertaking BEE reforms

· Proxy baseline: Investment level in each targeted sector

· Proxy baseline: 2013 Punjab Business Confidence Index

· Loan portfolio of financial institutions in the targeted sectors

· Economic conditions of the province does not significantly deteriorate

· Reliability of electricity supply does not deteriorate.

· Trade and Tax reform continues and is conducive for the agricultural sector (esp. VAT).

· Economic development policy of Punjab is in favor of SMEs and supports diversification of the economy.

· Financial institutions are willing to diversify into new financial products.

· Other USG and host government program are having a positive impact

Inputs

· Accelerate advocacy for policy, regulatory and institutional reforms through the private sector, leading to early adoption and implementation of the reforms.

· Mobilize major private sector investments in mega horticulture, livestock and dairy projects through improvement in the business enabling environment.

· Support institutional capacity building to sustain reforms.

· No of private sector requested laws reviewed and analyzed to identify bottlenecks and advocated for reforms at relevant for a

· No. core advocacy group established and supported

· No of advocacy roundtables are organized annually and well attended by relevant stakeholders

· No. of biannual meetings with influential legislators and stakeholders for Agriculture reform advocacy.

· At least 10 times the project’s value is mobilized as private sector investment over the life of the project.

· Sectors assisted will increase employment by a minimum of 15000 direct and indirect jobs over the life of the project.

· Incremental Sales

· Export Sales

· No of firms requiring BDS services and willing to pay for that

· Implementing partners demonstrate required technical capacity and are able to mobilize private sector