Excerpt of EG4ALL PAD Climate Risk Screening Matrix.pdf

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Attached to
Feed the Future Senegal Value Chain Services Activity Federal contract opportunity
Solicitation number
72068520R00003
Issued by
US Agency for International Development Senegal

About this file

This excerpt from a Program Assistance Document outlines climate risks and opportunities for a Feed the Future Senegal Value Chain Services Activity. The activity aims to increase incomes for targeted populations through sustainable and inclusive market system approaches. The document identifies climate risks like drought, flooding, sea level rise and increased temperatures that could impact value chains in Senegal. It evaluates the adaptive capacity and provides a risk rating for each risk. The document also explores opportunities to manage these climate risks through options such as improved crop varieties, water management infrastructure and climate information services. It proposes next steps to further study climate impacts and resilience through research and additional climate vulnerability assessments.

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Excerpt of EG4ALL PAD Climate Risk Screening Matrix

OUTPUT MATRIX: CLIMATE RISKS, OPPORTUNITIES, AND ACTIONS

1.1:

Defined or Anticipated

Activity Elements*

1.2:

Time-frame

1.3:

Geography 2: Climate Risks* 3: Adaptive

Capacity 4:

Climate Risk

Rating* 5: Opportunities 6.1: Climate Risk

Management Options

6.2: How Climate Risks Are Addressed in the Activity*

7: Next Steps for Activity Design*

8:

Accepted Climate Risks*

Activity 1:

Value Chain Services years

Rural:

Feed the Future ZOI (Senegal River Valley, Sine- Saloum, Southern Forest Zone )

DROUGHT

Frequent/severe droughts leading to decreased water quantity and quality.

Impacts:

Shallow wells not being refilled.

Crop failure and reduced yields.

Increased concentration of salts and trace elements in soils due to combination of drought and temp..

Reduced quantity of forage in natural pasture and crop residue.

Reduced water availability for livestock.

Potential changing

Challenges:

Farmers have low access to insurance and many do not have alternate sources of income.

Rain-fed farmers have low access to irrigation.

Limited livestock management practices/lack of feed options/lack of strategic planning for foraging (e.g.

poor access to improved/adapted breeds, veterinary services, livestock insurance, and climate-smart animal husbandry practices and infrastructure and reliable supply of quality feed)

Need more and improved dam/water management infrastructure that reflects historical

High

Leverage the government’s increasing focus on making ag an engine for economic growth with consideration of climate change adaptation and agricultural extension.

Link with CINSERE for climate information services.

Momentum in developing the index/conventional insurance sector from multiple stakeholders (also for activity 2).

Strong Producer Organization and CBSP networks in parts of the ZOI.

Innovative finance models emerging

Integrated soil and water resource management (w/SENWASH) with strong gender integration.

Increase access to small-scale irrigation infrastructure.

Use of appropriate varieties/seeds (drought tolerant, heat resistant, salt tolerant, etc.).

Improved weather and climate information and services.

Increased extension of climate-smart agriculture management systems.

Livestock: water and forage management;

feed production;

animal health services.

NRM Integrated soil and water resource management (w/SENWASH) with strong gender integration.

Increased access to small-scale irrigation infrastructure.

Use of appropriate varieties/seeds (drought tolerant, heat resistant, salt tolerant, etc.).

Improved weather and climate information and services.

Increased extension of climate-smart agriculture management systems (practice and through value chain system).

Livestock: water and forage management;

feed production;

animal health services.

Validate anecdotes and document data sources for listed risks.

None

1.1:

Defined or Anticipated

Activity Elements*

1.2:

Time-frame

1.3:

Geography 2: Climate Risks* 3: Adaptive

Capacity 4:

Climate Risk

Rating* 5: Opportunities 6.1: Climate Risk

Management Options

6.2: How Climate Risks Are Addressed in the Activity*

7: Next Steps for Activity Design*

8:

Accepted Climate Risks* livestock migration patterns.

Potential human migration change

Potential increased labor burden, particularly for women and girls.

Lower crop productivity could increase deforestation and threaten protected areas.

Loss of income, increased food insecurity, and malnutrition Reduced function of multiple use dams and future climate.

Limited access to ice/cold storage technology

DPV has limited capacity to expand integrated pest management

Farmers have limited capacity to apply integrated pest management.

Limited access to crop varieties adapted for:

drought, flood, heat, salt, etc.

Limited adoption of climate-smart agriculture practices.

Climate smart principles not well integrated into ag systems.

Lack of gender equality/acces.

Opportunities:

Promote security of resource tenure.

Targeted support to diversify livelihoods.

Access to microfinance/saving.

Support to increase ag insurance.

Land use and forest analysis and management.

Lessons learned from WN pertain to conflict mitigation.

Improve climate analysis for data gaps.

Continue to build climate awareness, capacity, and response of people, institutions, and businesses (e.g.

CWGs, MWGs, etc).

Farmer owned databases and public sector monitoring.

Improve security of resource tenure.

Targeted support to diversify livelihoods.

Access to microfinance/saving.

Support to increase ag insurance.

Land use and forest analysis, planning and management.

Promote local mechanisms to mitigate caused by climate change (reference Wula Nafaa lessons learned).

Improve climate analysis for data gaps.

Continue to build climate awareness, capacity, and response of people, institutions, and businesses (e.g.

CWGs, MWGs, etc).

Farmer owned databases and public sector monitoring. EX.

Anticipated

Activity Elements*

1.2:

Time-frame

1.3:

Geography 2: Climate Risks* 3: Adaptive

Capacity 4:

Climate Risk

Rating* 5: Opportunities 6.1: Climate Risk

Management Options

6.2: How Climate Risks Are Addressed in the Activity*

7: Next Steps for Activity Design*

8:

Accepted

Expansion of agro pastoral systems.

Strong regional coordination for locust control.

Vibrant producer organizations.

Lack of gender equality/acces.

There are national policies focused on climate change and that integrate climate change into planning.

There is some political will to address climate change challenges.

Strong local knowledge of observed climate changes (for all activities).

Extend climate info services after

CINSERE

Water/flood management infrastructure.

Promote ecosystem-based adaptation, e.g. mangrove protection, land-use planning, etc.

Farmer Orgs. are in charge of rainfall data, to address climate risk opportunities….

Extend climate info services after

CINSERE.

Small-scale water/flood management infrastructure.

Promote ecosystem-based adaptation, e.g.

mangrove protection, land-use planning, etc.

Post award: Climate change related research (e.g. 1) where to place infrastructure based on climate/weather information (e.g. in flood zones, etc); 2) how drought/climate change will reduce dam function and related value chain services; and 3) role of agroforestry, soil/water conservation, forest encroachment and land cover/use change.

Anticipated

Activity Elements*

1.2:

Time-frame

1.3:

Geography 2: Climate Risks* 3: Adaptive

Capacity 4:

Climate Risk

Rating* 5: Opportunities 6.1: Climate Risk

Management Options

6.2: How Climate Risks Are Addressed in the Activity*

7: Next Steps for Activity Design*

8:

Accepted

Post award: Apply Senegal CCVA findings to the full ZOI or conduct additional assessments.

FLOODING AND SEA LEVEL RISE

Increased frequency and intensity of rain events. Impacts:

Increased erosion (also for activity 2 and 5).

Loss of nutrients through leaching (also for activity 2).

Crop water logging (also for activity 2).

Sea level rise impacts:

Coastal erosion (also for activity 5).

Increased salinity of shallow aquifers and surface water (also for activity 5).

Loss of infrastructure (sea level rise + storm surge + flooding) (also for activity 2, 5).

High

See above See above

Value chain service disruption due to flooding (impassable roads, etc.) (also for activity 2, 5).

TEMPERATURE

Impacts:

Heat stress for crops

Increased spoilage and postharvest loss).

Potential changes in pest/pathogen patterns (esp. horticulture and when combined with other climate impacts).

Increased evapotranspiration due to increased temps/leads to decreased water availability.

Moderate

Promote improved storage/transport infrastructure.

Promote improved storage/transport infrastructure.

Next step:

Timeframe

Next step:

Geog.

Next step:

Climate

Risks Next step:

Adaptive Capacity Next step:

Risk

Rating Next step:

Opps.

Next step:

Risk

Mgmt.

Options

Next step:

Selected Options

Next step:

Next Steps

Next step:

Accepted Risks

Finished!

NOTE: Look for information in national strategic plans, such as the National Adaptation Plan of Action and NDC, regarding adaptive capacity (for all activities).

Excerpt of EG4ALL PAD Climate Risk Screening Matrix

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