Predictive Ballistics LLC

Predictive Ballistics LLC, a Native Hawaiian Organization-owned small disadvantaged business, manufactures and delivers ballistic protective equipment—helmets, overt armor kits, and replacement parts—as a prime contractor to federal law enforcement and civilian agencies, competing predominantly under total small business set-asides and full-and-open delivery orders.

Predictive Ballistics operates as a sole proprietorship and limited liability company headquartered in Aliso Viejo, California, with operations in Laguna Beach and Laguna Niguel. The vendor's primary NAICS is 35 (Apparel Accessories and Other Apparel Manufacturing) and primary PSC is 23-40-00 (Armor, Personal). The company holds Native Hawaiian Organization and small disadvantaged business designations and competes across set-aside (total small business) and unrestricted vehicles, with roughly half its awards carrying set-aside designations and half issued full-and-open.

Predictive Ballistics manufactures ballistic helmets under proprietary model names Busch and Busch AMP-1X, meeting Helmet Protocol 2024 standards with NIJ IIIA certification, pistol-caliber and 12-gauge shotgun slug protection, eight-year warranty, and color variants (Ranger Green, Coyote Brown, Midnight Blue, Multicam). The product portfolio includes soft armor panels, shoulder and neck protection, overt armor carriers, replacement parts, chin strap extenders, Velcro kits, Peltor adapters, and carry bags. Firm fixed-price delivery orders range from roughly $2,550 to $4 million. Representative work includes a $2.499 million delivery order from the Drug Enforcement Administration (January 2026) for ballistic helmets under DEA single-award IDIQ 15F06725D0000479, a $3.77 million U.S. Marshals Service Investigative Operations Division order (September 2026) for mission-critical protective gear field distribution, and a $954,600 U.S. Marshals Service Training Academy order (April 2026) for overt armor kits under FBI single-award IDIQ 15F06726D0000415.

Customer concentration is extreme and anchored by a single vehicle. The Department of Justice Federal Bureau of Investigation Headquarters Division represents 15 awards valued at $89.9 million (81% of combined potential value across all awards), driven by a $61 million single-award OAK (Overt Armor Kits) indefinite-delivery contract awarded September 30, 2025, running through March 28, 2030. The Drug Enforcement Administration ranks second with 16 awards totaling $8.7 million combined potential value. The U.S. Marshals Service (Training Academy and regional divisions combined) accounts for roughly 16 awards valued at $6.5 million. Together, Department of Justice components account for 81% of awards and 96% of potential value. The Internal Revenue Service BPA, awarded September 11, 2026, adds $3.256 million (a single-award vehicle running through September 10, 2031).

Predictive Ballistics holds five parent IDVs: the $61 million FBI single-award OAK contract (27 task orders, $12.9 million combined value), a $15 million FBI multiple-award ballistic helmets contract awarded June 1, 2025 (running through May 31, 2030), two single-award DEA IDIQs (15F06725D0000479 generating 27 task orders for $12.9 million, and 15F06725D0001097 generating 15 task orders for $8.1 million), a $3.256 million single-award IRS BPA for ballistic helmets and visors (September 2026), a $6 million single-award Headquarters Division personal safety equipment contract (April 2026), and a $500,000 multiple-award Federal Supply Schedule (GSA MAS 47QSWA23D0092, August 2023, running through August 2028). The MAS has generated six task orders ($547 thousand combined value) across the Transportation Security Administration, U.S. Marshals Service, Customs and Border Protection, and the Bureau of Prisons.

Activity has grown sharply: two awards in 2023, three in 2024, twenty-six in 2025, thirty-four in 2026, and two in 2027 (through early January). Twenty-four awards (combined potential value $14 million) have ultimate completion dates within the next twenty-four months and therefore face recompete exposure or renewal negotiation, centered on multiple recurring DEA and U.S. Marshals Service delivery orders and the Headquarters Division $6 million contract completing May 2026.

Predictive Ballistics operates as a pure prime with no subcontract activity across the federal award portfolio. The vendor's entire footprint consists of delivery orders and task orders under its own held IDVs and GSA Schedule; it does not appear as a subcontractor to other primes.