Predictive Ballistics LLC

Predictive Ballistics LLC, a small disadvantaged business and Native Hawaiian Organization-owned limited liability company, manufactures and distributes ballistic protective equipment—primarily helmets, overt armor kits, and associated safety gear—to federal law enforcement agencies as a prime contractor (100% of recent awards). Headquarters are in Aliso Viejo, California with operations in Laguna Beach and Laguna Niguel, California. The vendor competes primarily under total small business set-asides on its three major indefinite delivery vehicles; smaller delivery orders flow through both set-aside and full-and-open designations on the same parent IDIQs.

Customer concentration sits heavily with the Department of Justice and its sub-agencies. The top five customers by potential value account for 100% of recent awards, led by the Federal Bureau of Investigation Headquarters Division (9 awards, $79.9 million combined potential value), the Drug Enforcement Administration (10 awards, $8 million), and the U.S. Marshals Service Training Academy (11 awards, $2.4 million). The FBI relationship dominates the dollar profile through three major indefinite delivery contracts totaling $73.5 million in aggregate ceiling: a $61 million single-award OAK (Overt Armor Kit) vehicle running through September 2030, a $12 million multiple-award ballistic helmet IDIQ through May 2030, and a $6 million single-award personal safety equipment contract. The FBI vehicle 15F06726D0000415 (OAK, $61 million ceiling) carries the bulk of Predictive Ballistics' potential value exposure. The DEA places orders under an older single-award IDIQ (15F06725D0000479) which has generated 24 delivery orders valued at $8.6 million combined. A $500 thousand GSA Federal Supply Schedule contract (47QSWA23D0092, running through August 2028) serves as the fourth vehicle and sources delivery orders from the Transportation Security Administration, U.S. Marshals Service, and Customs and Border Protection.

Recent capability work exemplifies the product portfolio: a $2.499 million DEA delivery order (OTAL-26-0032, January 2026) for ballistic helmets under the main DEA IDIQ; a $954,600 order (April 2026) from the U.S. Marshals Service Training Academy for Overt Armor Carrier overt armor kits under the FBI IDIQ; a $462,117 DEA delivery order (February 2026) for ballistic helmets; and a $244,500 TSA delivery order (September 2024) for ballistic helmets and covers supporting Federal Air Marshal Services field operations. The OAK contract solicitation required NIJ IIIA certification, 12-gauge shotgun slug protection, eight-year warranty, and gender-specific models (Ranger Green, Coyote Brown, Midnight Blue, Multicam). Helmet products include the Busch and Busch AMP-1X models meeting Helmet Protocol 2024 standards; replacement parts, chin strap extenders, Velcro kits, and Peltor adapters are offered as accessories.

Activity has accelerated sharply—two awards in 2023, three in 2024, twenty-six in 2025, and sixteen year-to-date in 2026—reflecting heavy utilization of the newly awarded large IDVs. The vendor faces a compressed recompete cliff: thirteen awards (combined potential value $3.3 million) carry ultimate completion dates in the next twenty-four months. The $61 million OAK vehicle does not approach recompete until September 2030; the $12 million FBI helmet IDIQ extends through May 2030. Primary NAICS concentration sits in Apparel Accessories and Other Apparel Manufacturing (35 awards) and Surgical Appliance and Supplies Manufacturing (6 awards), with PSC 23-40-00 (Armor, Personal) covering 35 of 47 awards. Predictive Ballistics operates as a pure prime—no sub-award activity is present in the source.