Probabilistic Risk Assessment

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration Shared Services Center (NASA/NSSC) has issued a Special Notice for a Probabilistic Risk Assessment contract. The notice indicates NASA's intent to issue a sole source contract to ASCA, Inc. located in Redondo Beach, California. The procurement is specifically for launch vehicle reliability risk analysis services supporting NASA's nuclear mission launch vehicle requirements. NASA will be procuring this contract under the authority of FAR 13.106-1(b)(1)(i), with performance to be conducted at Kennedy Space Center. The contract will utilize NAICS code 561210 for facilities support services.

Contractors interested in this opportunity must submit their capabilities and qualifications in writing by 12 p.m. Central Standard Time on February 28, 2025. The government will evaluate submitted capabilities solely to determine whether the procurement should be competed on a full and open basis. NASA intends to acquire commercial items and services using provisions from FAR Part 12 and Part 13. The specific work involves conducting Bayesian statistical and probabilistic reliability analysis for Blue Origin's New Glenn launch vehicle, with tasks including logic model development, model quantification, and supporting nuclear launch approval processes under NSPM-20. Oral communications are not acceptable in response to this notice, and interested organizations should carefully review the submission requirements. The contract includes the NASA Clause 1852.215-84 regarding an Ombudsman, with additional information available through NASA's published resources.