SOW DRAFT.pdf

NAVAL SAFETY COMMAND (NSC) RISK AND ANTICIPATORY ANALYTICS

At the

NAVAL SAFETY COMMAND

1. INTRODUCTION

This Statement of Work (SOW) defines the Contractor’s responsibilities, deliverables, and tasks to provide insights and enable the most cost-effective and practical decisions regarding research, design, development, systems engineering, acquisition, testing, cyber security, readiness, sustainment, and evaluation. The purpose of the requirement is for services in support of the utilization of rigorous and proven analytical methodologies to investigate Navy and Marine Corps mishaps as required. A diverse data science team consisting of senior and intermediate, data scientists with operational research, behavioral modeling, and risk modeling experience and senior and intermediate software developers with experience maintaining code and managing diverse pipelines is required.

2. BACKGROUND

The Vice Chief of Naval Operations assigned task is to determine risk precursors present in the current fleet of ships and aircraft to provide at least awareness, and ideally mitigation efforts, for those units most resembling past mishap units. Work may require access to data sources, enhanced decision support technologies, and Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) to acquire resources and implement the results of the decision analysis efforts. The scope encompasses all activities necessary to support increasing NAVSAFECOM’s ability to independently diagnose and identify risk precursors, including the following areas:

Specific modeling of discrete complex safety issues Aggregate risk/behavioral modeling based on complex variables.

Delivery of models and methodology.

Guidance on technology, workforce skill sets, and efficient employment to perform risk modeling.

3. OBJECTIVES

With the evolving requirement for decision makers, access to real-time data with predictive analysis, it is becoming more crucial to pull disparate information from disparate tools. Effective decision analysis requires a comprehensive suite of automated tools, coupled with inputs of subject matter experts from many disciplines, to enhance critical decision support processes across a wide range of domains, including program management, engineering, system acquisition, testing, and sustainment throughout program lifecycle, modernization, operational readiness /effectiveness, deployment planning, safety, and integration with ever-changing missions and requirements.

4. SCOPE OF WORK

The scope of work leveraged to provide insights and allow for the most cost effective and practical decisions regarding research, design, development and systems engineering;

acquisition; test and evaluation. The purpose of the requirement is for services in support of the utilization of rigorous and proven analytical methodologies to investigate Navy and Marine Corps mishaps as required. A diverse data science team consisting of senior and intermediate level data scientists with operational research, behavioral modeling, and risk modeling experience and senior and intermediate level software developers with experience maintaining code and managing diverse pipelines are required. The Vice Chief of Naval Operations assigned task is to determine risk precursors present in the current fleet of ships and aircraft to provide at least awareness, and ideally mitigation efforts, for those units most resembling past mishap units.

5. SPECIFIC TASKS

5.1 Program Management

The contractor shall support program coordination with relevant governmental agencies, contractors and other parties. The contractor shall coordinate the planning, logistics, analysis, implementation, and delivery of the engineering activities. The contractor shall provide on-going customer interface, coordination, planning and support to ensure services and tools are satisfactorily delivered. The contractor shall track deliverables and progress against plans, and track the expenditure of funds against schedules, milestones, and deliverables. The contractor shall work cost, schedule and performance issues. Program management tasks include, but are not limited to:

Coordinate team tasks and priority hot taskers

Monitor work in progress aligned with NSC Data Analytics Risk Registry and Roadmap

Monitor and report financials

Conduct Program Status Report (PSR) and issue slides and minutes

Prepare and submit MSR

5.2 Studies and Analysis

The contractor shall provide studies and analysis of historical mishap data. The contractor shall apply data science and inductive reasoning approaches to analyze this data and to find correlations to safety mishaps and potential impact to the industrial base to allow senior leadership to implement risk mitigation measures. The contractor shall develop and implement a process to conduct long-term longitudinal studies. Studies and Analysis tasks include, but are not limited to:

Conduct structured analysis of historical mishap and incident records to reveal patterns, trends, and recurring drivers of safety risk.

Build analysis‑ready datasets that enable reliable, repeatable, and consistent modeling across all safety studies.

Apply data science techniques—such as statistical modeling, correlation testing, and pattern detection—to uncover relationships between mishaps and factors like manning, maintenance, readiness, and operational tempo.

Develop and execute processes enabling comprehensive, continuous studies to track risk changes over.

Establish a structured, repeatable framework for tracking safety performance and risk indicators across months and years.

5.3 Technical Integration

The contractor shall provide updated recommendations for a portfolio of data, organizational structure, analytical methods, and tools suited to analysis of NAVSAFECOM safety issues. The contractor shall assist in the identification of requirements to support the acquisition, sustainment, and supportability required for the systems, subsystems and programs. The contractor shall perform technical engineering requirements associated with modeling complex safety issues based on complex variables. The contractor shall assist in defining test requirements, developing test plans and procedures, performing tests, documenting test results, and analyzing test documentation. The contractor shall maintain all applicable pipelines per best practices ensuring engineering, development, and delivery of models to the government.

Technical Integration tasks include, but are not limited to:

Recommend consolidation of high-value sources into a unified data catalog for analysis.

Create test scripts to validate model accuracy, data quality, pipeline performance, and system compatibility.

Define thresholds for model behavior (e.g., acceptable error rates, runtime expectations.

Maintain model retraining schedules to ensure data currency, using historical data as training, test, and validation sets.

Perform routine maintenance on the modeling environments ensuring efficient delivery and sustainment of analytic models.

5.4 Prototyping and Demonstrations

The contractor shall support development and demonstration of prototype capabilities of predictive risk models to estimate mishap risk for individual Naval communities. The contractor shall use rigorous analytical tools and applied data science methodologies to construct these models. Prototyping and Demonstration tasks include, but are not limited to:

Recommend consolidation of high-value sources into a unified data catalog for analysis.

Create test scripts to validate model accuracy, data quality, pipeline performance, and system compatibility.

Define thresholds for model behavior (e.g., acceptable error rates, runtime expectations.

Maintain model retraining schedules to ensure data currency, using historical data as training, test, and validation sets.

Perform routine maintenance on the modeling environments ensuring efficient delivery and sustainment of analytic models.

5.5 Design and Engineering

The contractor shall perform technical engineering requirement actions associated with identifying drivers, hazards, and risk factors. The contractor shall identify high impact ‘leverage points and evaluate and test potential intervention actions and predict the likely impact on mishap rate. The contractor shall identify effective methods to measure the effectiveness of mitigation initiatives. The contractor shall develop a risk-scoring methodology and mechanism that identifies Echelon III, IV, and V units that are susceptible to mishaps. The contractor shall evaluate available technology, methodologies, and techniques to conduct analyses to support technology integration and logistics, supportability, engineering, financial, and operational areas.

Design and Engineering tasks include, but are not limited to:

Support structured analysis of data enabling stakeholders to isolate primary factors that elevate mishap likelihood.

Develop and test identified proposed interventions using analytical models and historical data to understand expected outcomes and potential consequences.

Build a quantitative risk-scoring framework incorporating multiple data sources – readiness indicators, OPTEMPO trends, prior mishap history – to identify units with elevate risk profiles.

Evaluate available technologies, analytical methods, and data to enhance the scoring model ensuring accuracy, scalability, and alignment with operational needs.

5.6 Training

The contractor shall work in a collaborative environment to provide training to qualified Government personnel in the building, maintaining and refining the portfolio of predictive analytics models. Contractor integration into the NAVSAFECOM staff is to facilitate on-the-job training for the staff. Training tasks include, but are not limited to:

Deliver hands‑on training to government personnel on building, maintaining, and improving predictive analytics models.

Embed with NAVSAFECOM staff to provide on‑the‑job training and strengthen workforce analytical capabilities.

Share best practices for using and sustaining the modeling portfolio.

5.7 Operational Implementation

The Contractor shall provide support using the decision-making toolset to implement government decisions, optimize the solutions throughout their life cycles and monitor and manage the operations. This may involve supporting all aspects of day-to-day operations and program support. The contractor shall manage data in support of operational planning, exercise and real- world operations as directed by government representatives. Specifically, the contractor shall provide enhanced data management and processing for quick utilization and dissemination to key decision makers, and data integration and standardization services to enable the statistical analysis and interpretation of data collected from multiple sources during operations, exercises, and experiments. The Contractor will provide analysis of collected data using various statistical measures to prove or disprove assumptions and hypotheses. Operational Implementation tasks include, but are not limited to:

Support the use of decision‑support tools in daily operations, exercises, and real‑world events.

Manage and integrate data from multiple sources, ensuring standardized formats for analysis and reporting.

Analyze operational data using statistical methods to validate assumptions and support decision making.

5.8 Data Management and Exploitation

The contractor shall provide support to enhance data management and processing for quick utilization and dissemination to key decision makers. The contractor shall identify authoritative data sources needed to characterize the mishap risk completely and accurately to which individual Navy units and communities are exposed. The contractor shall assist with the collection and organization of multiple data types, including but not limited to manning, maintenance, readiness, OPTEMPO, command climate, and incident reports. Data management and exploitation tasks include, but are not limited to:

Identify authoritative data sources and gather diverse data types (manning, readiness, maintenance, command climate, etc.) needed to assess mishap risk.

Create training, testing, and validation datasets for modeling and ensure regular data updates through retraining processes.

Enhance data processing and dissemination for quick use by leadership and key decision makers.

6 Program Status Reports.

The Contractor shall generate and deliver project status reports that enable the Government to monitor and evaluate the accomplishment of SOW tasks. At a minimum, each status report shall contain the following items:

A summary of the project status.

A statement as to whether or not the project is on schedule; if not, the effort planned to meet the schedule.

A list of all designs, installations and documentation completed. For work in process, provide estimated dates for completion.

A narrative of outstanding risks exists as of the previous status report, and their risk management status.

New risks identified or anticipated, risk analysis of the risks and risk responses being taken.

A narrative of how the aforementioned risks are being monitored and controlled.

Any other information which may cause significant changes in the project scope, cost, and/or schedule.

6.1 Meeting Minutes

The Contractor shall prepare minutes, including action items and attendance lists, for all scheduled reviews and/or meetings. The meeting minutes shall be delivered in electronic format (refer to Section 9.0, Deliverables).

Meetings may be held at either Government’s or Contractor’s facility, telephone, and/or web conference, as mutually agreed to by the Government and the Contractor.

6.2 Data Deliverables

The Contractor shall deliver all data/documents as specified in the CDRL items documented in Section 12 of this SOW.

7.0 Government Furnished Equipment (GFE) / Information (GFI) / Facilities / Services

(NSC):

NAVSAFECOM will furnish available data, and request additional data needed to perform the analysis. NAVSAFECOM will provide and manage furnished office spaces and NMCI workstations. If required information systems, software, or hardware are not available on NMCI machines, the contractor must use its own systems and provide a pathway for NAVSAFECOM to follow to obtain the required system, or an equivalent system. NAVSAFECOM will provide access accounts to appropriate analytical hosting sites such as Advana/Jupiter and git lab environments. The GFP/GFI under this TO may include but is not limited to facilities access cards (PIV/CAC). PIV/CAC cards will be requested and approved through the client TPOC. The client TPOC will track PIV/CAC cards through DoD systems for the COR.

8.0 PLACE(s) OF PERFORMANCE

The work required under this SOW will primarily be accomplished at Government facilities at ;

NAVSAFECOM, Norfolk, VA; contractor facilities, and other locations where the contractor leverages resources or has a required presence, and other TBD locations.

9.0 MATERIALS

There will not be materials and ODCs used in the performance of this TO

10.0. TRAVEL

There will be no travel outside the local area for this effort.

11.0. PERFORMANCE STANDARDS & QUALITY MEASUREMENT

The Government's inspecting and acceptance authority will be the TPOC of this Task Order (T.O.) and shall be the established Point of Contract (POC) for all deliverables. All written deliverables or other written communication between the Contractor and the designated TPOC (with Contracting Officer’s Representative (COR) copied) shall be delivered via paper and/or electronic copy. All deliverables shall meet professional standards and the requirements set forth in contractual documentation herein. All draft and final deliverables are the property of the U.S.

Government.

12.0. DELIVERABLES

Task # Title Due Date Frequency

Program Status Report NLT the 10th of the next reporting month

Monthly

2 Model of Mishap Risk 15th of Each month Monthly 3 Study and Analysis of

Mishap Data (new models)

As Required As required

4 Training Materials and Supporting Information

As required As required

5 Final Report 12 Months from start of the TO As required

13. Period of Performance (PoP)

BASE: 22 MARCH 2027-21 MARCH 2028

OPTION 1: 22 MARCH 2028-21 MARCH 2029

OPTION 2: 22 MARCH 2029-21 MARCH 2030

OPTION 3: 22 MARCH 2030-21 MARCH 2031

OPTION 4: 22 MARCH 2031-21 MARCH 2032