20140312_J9_Overview.pptx

JIEDDO

Operational Analysis and Assessments Division 12 March 2014

Attack the Network – Defeat the Device – Train the Force

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Agenda JIEDDO Functions J9 Division Organization IED Trends Deployed Analytical Support On-Site Analytical Support Trends Branch Assessments Branch Attack the Network Branch Labor Categories Key Issues Major Milestones

JIEDDO Functions

Rapid Capability Delivery Training Operations & Intelligence Integration Information Enterprise Management Rapidly anticipates, develops, integrates and fields materiel and non-materiel C-IED solutions within 4-24 mo >8,000 handheld detectors fielded Focused on C-IED & Attack-the-Network training >3,000 handheld detectors for pre-deployment training to home stations and training centers Actionable intelligence for operational commanders Responded to more than 14,500 warfighter requests for support since 2007 Singular focus: defeat the IED threat — present and future Armed with unique authorities and capabilities Mission: JIEDDO leads DoD actions to rapidly provide counter-IED capabilities in support of the Combatant Commanders and to enable the defeat of the IED as a weapon of strategic influence Partnership & Outreach DoD, Services, Congress, U.S. Interagency, Coalition, Allies, Industry and Academia

Manages and delivers information technology mission and business programs ensuring critical information is visible, accessible and understandable

Focused solely on the IED threat in support of Combatant Commanders — the warfighter is our customer Direct reporting to the Deputy Secretary of Defense Flexible, multi-year funding authority and rapid acquisition authority allows us to cut through bureaucratic barriers to respond quickly to warfighter requirements $25 million approval authority Goal is to deliver capability within 4 to 24 months JIEDDO’s ethos is all about RAPIDLY delivering high valued solutions to the warfighter … we take on the tough problems Operations & Intelligence JIEDDO’s Counter-IED Operations/Intelligence Center, known as COIC, provides operational intelligence and analysis on threat networks to commanders by fusing more than 74 data sources COIC maintains a broad network of partners — over 30 government and intelligence agencies as well as coalition partners (Canada, UK, Australia, NATO) Supports intelligence operations downrange, with intelligence/operations analysts forward deployed in Afghanistan down to the battalion level Since its inception in 2007, the COIC has provided more than 14,500 products in response to warfighter requests for information From January through June 2012, COIC has responded to 3,298 requests for support.

Rapid Capability Development We’ve funded and delivered several handheld devices such as the Beachcomber and Minehound to detect buried IEDs Over 8,000 to date An additional 4,000 scheduled for delivery in next 10 months Pelvic Protection: JIEDDO used rapid procurement of an existing commercial solution shared by UK partners $19 million / 210,000 units; procurement to delivery in 3.5 months Lightweight Recon Robots for dismounted operations:

Identified requirement last spring $24M to develop and field 1,157 LWRR within 10 months Well funded for 2012 with $2.4 billion Expect approximately $1.9 billion for 2013 Training In CY2011, JIEDDO provided $24 million to field eight separate pieces of C-IED training equipment for the Services' home station training locations and combat training centers. The equipment included THOR III Surrogates (110); Beachcomber (401), Minehound (348), and Goldie (164) handheld detectors; Holley Sticks (1372); Hook and Line ((75); Search Kits (276); and Training Aids (120).

In CY2012, JIEDDO provided an additional $55.368 million to field follow-on C-IED training equipment for the Services' home station training locations and combat training centers. The equipment included THOR III Surrogates (139); Beachcomber (473), Minehound (768), and Goldie (852) handheld detectors; Search Kits (559); and Training Aids (156).

Focused on Attack-the-Network training at the staff level to enable battalions, brigades and divisions to target the threat networks that employ IEDs JIEDDO holds three C-IED specific After Action Review sessions with each deploying unit during the deployment cycle. JIEDDO has incorporated feedback to develop and / or assist with CONOP development prior to equipment fielding and coordinating home station training requirements Information Enterprise Management Manages IT requirements Provides leadership for JIEDDO audit readiness, internal controls and process improvements

Operational Analysis and Assessments Division Mission: Provide leaders with actionable insights from data-driven analysis of operations, processes, and capabilities to identify trends, inform assessments of effectiveness, and mitigate risk.

JIEDDO J-9

Deployed Analyst

Assessments Branch

Trends Analysis Branch

Attack the Network Branch

Analytical Support to FBI Terrorist Explosive Device Analysis Center (TEDAC)

Multi-disciplinary team of Mathematicians, SAS Engineers, Geospatial Analyst, Physicists and Operations Research Analyst Key processes:

Deployed analyst support to units in Afghanistan, from the Brigade Task Force level to ISAF Headquarters Analysis of Afghanistan IED trends Analysis of Global IED trends Operational evaluation of JIEDDO initiatives (materiel and training) Crime Pattern Analysis and operations research support to COIC and TEDAC Assessments of cross-cutting, complex challenges for JIEDDO leadership

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Data Source: COIC Global Data Base as of 6 Feb 2014 Fiscal Year 2013 Global IED Trends Excluding Afghanistan and United States

- 15,190 IED events

- 39,993 killed / wounded Unconstrained, adaptive enemy constantly evolving, sharing capabilities and techniques

Afghanistan- IED Trends

November 1, 2013 through January 31, 2014 compared to the same period last year Data Source: CIDNE SIPR 10 Jan 2014

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IED TRENDS

IEDs are the most significant threat in Afghanistan 2,448 IED events during past 90 days, down 19% from same time last year Attacks causing U.S. casualties account for 61% of all U.S. casualties Attacks on Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF) remain high (up 27%) as they take lead in operations, but ANSF casualties are down 8%

HOMEMADE EXPLOSIVES

The number of exploited HME events has decreased significantly since last year HME remains the preferred IED main charge While ammonium nitrate is the predominant main charge, the use of potassium chlorate has steadily increased since early 2012 Potassium chlorate was the main charge in 38% of exploited HME events HME seized decreased 74%, 31 tons total Data quality continues to decline as we transition combat operations to Afghan National Security Forces 2011: Highest # IED events in any year with 16,797

June 2012: Highest # of IED’s in any month

IEDs are the weapon of choice The typical IED we see in Afghanistan are:

Simple, low-tech devices Command wire, pressure plates, radio-controlled triggers, suicide , Carbon rod Dual-use components — cell phones, agricultural fertilizers (CAN) and simple electronic transmitters and receivers, yellow oil jugs Cost ranges from $300 for victim operated IEDs to thousands for suicide bombs In the past 90 days:

IEDs are down 19% 61% of U.S. casualties are caused by IEDs — we’ve seen continuous improvement since August 2010 Attacks against Afghan National Security Forces have increased 27% since last year as they take lead in operations. However, this reporting period ANSF casualties are down 8% The number of exploited events has declined significantly However, homemade explosives remain the preferred main charge of the insurgency.

While ammonium nitrate is the predominant main charge, the use of potassium chlorate has steadily increased since early 2012 — accounts for the main charge in 38% of exploited IEDs Now, many factors have contributed to the decreased effectiveness of IED attacks in Afghanistan including:

Applying lessons learned to pre-deployment training Late 2011/2012 equipment Surge; Fielding increased numbers of counter-IED capabilities, especially for dismounted operations;

Increased biometrics collections and capabilities — collection of fingerprints, DNA, iris identification to gait analysis Route Clearance Patrols & adjusted combined arms missions Increased Afghan National Security Force partnering And commanders and troopers on the ground continuously refining tactics, techniques and procedures tailored to the Afghan threat Now, lets take a look at how IEDs have impacted the Afghan economy

Deployed Analytical Support (OCONUS) Critical and Essential part of the J9 Mission:

Analyst are embedded with forwardly deployed Army and Marine units ranging from Brigade to ISAF Headquarters

Analyst support Army and Marine pre-deployment training exercises at one of the National Training Centers (NTC, JRTC, CMTC)

A ready deployable analyst that supports the Global Ready Force (GRF) of the 82nd Airborne Division

Provides internal training and prepare new analyst for deployments

Deployed ORSA Strength and Footprint

As of 26 Feb 2014

Analytical Tools and Specialized Software Must be qualified in the use of analytical tools with the knowledge to apply them for senior military leaders.

ArcGIS

Google Earth

WebTAS

CIDNE

Advanced knowledge of MS Office products

SQL

Analysis of large datasets for trends

Geospatial Route Network Pattern Threat Predictive Cost Benefit

Types of Evaluations

Types of Analysis

Forecasting Trending Casualty Assessments Risk Assessments Resource Allocation Types of Support and Analytical Products

On-Site Analytical Support Trends Branch Example Trends:

Total events (insurgent capacity) Types of events (IEDs vs. Direct and Indirect Fire) IED effectiveness (casualty producing attacks): Number, rate, switch type, friendly force operation IEDs found and cleared: method found, volume, and rate Geographic analysis (hotspots) Main charge (military grade ordinance, ammonium nitrate, potassium chlorate) Net explosive weight

Trend analysis should captures both long term shifts and rapid changes;

Intended to inform action

Insurgent attacks in Iraqi city 2005-2006. The hot-spots show areas with concentrated insurgent activity to identify locations for combat outposts

Assessments Branch Operational assessment of deployed counter-IED initiatives is intended to inform:

What is working?

Why/why not?

How can equipment and training be improved?

How are insurgents adapting?

Value (bang-for-buck) JIEDDO uses information from a range of sources:

Operational data analysis Leader visits After actions reviews with soldiers and leaders Field testing under operational conditions (on-base) Initiative assessments identify materiel and non-materiel capabilities and limitations; inform training and future investments

Attack the Network (AtN) – Pattern Analysis Processes grounded in Serial Crime Analysis fundamentals

Using observable and measurable date, patterns are identified based on the behavioral, spatial, and temporal attributes of discrete events

Predictions are calculated using quantifiable rules identified within the pattern

Predictions are not fixed future events. Reactions by commanders can affect the pattern and prediction

Pattern analysis combined with other intelligence can identify individuals responsible for the events Pattern analysis complements the combat leader’s knowledge to counter the threat, mitigate risks, and save lives

Temporal Topology With Prediction

Spatial Density Plot With Prediction

Geospatial Analysis / Network Analysis

- Geospatial analysis—analysis of a specific area (i.e., route, district, etc.)

Danger areas (provide advantage(s) to the enemy and a hazard to our Force) Methods of attack (characteristics-type, size, method of emplacement, biometrics) Time of day/day of week (enemy initiated or victim operated)

INTELLIGENCE EMPOWERS DECISION-MAKERS

Geospatial Analysis:

Network Analysis:

Network analysis—analysis of the associations between the event and persons of interest Biometric links Similarities in Behavior Patterns

OBJ ‘CHEVY’ – IED FACILITATOR / BUILDER

Geospatial Analysis:

Intelligence analysts employ a variety of software programs to visually depict arranged information. In addition, the analysts are trained on the application of several different methods for data-mining information banks or databases, where datum are stored. The information fused together to build an intelligence picture for the decision-maker.

Network Analysis:

Collected Biometric Information is used to correlate persons of interest to events. The correlations are based on the strengths of the relationships between persons, places, or events.

Labor Categories

Key Issues within PWS Security Clearances No on-site Program Manager Phased reduction of deployed (OCONUS) analyst Global Response Force (GRF) requirement Analysts who are experienced with communicating with senior military leader

Major Milestones* 18 March 2014 – Request for Information Closes 15 April 2014 – Solicitation Release Date 14 May 2014 – Solicitation Close Date 1 July 2014 – Award Date 1 July – 6 August 2014 – Transition Period 8 July 2014 – Kick Off Meeting at JIEDDO HQ 7 August 2014 – Period of Performance (PoP) Start Date

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* All dates are estimated.

www.jieddo.mil

BACK UP SLIDES

PWS – Technology Assessment and Integration (Deployed Analytic Support) In coordination JIEDDO Requirements Division and forwardly deployed units work towards the integration of C-IED initiatives outside the Contiguous United States (OCONUS).

Identify and define C-IED capability gaps for submission of a Joint Urgent Operational Needs Statement(s) (JUONSs).

Support Operational Assessments (OAs) for C-IED systems in theater. While the Government may release these assessments to other agencies, contractors shall develop them for internal use only.

Produce intelligence products on key findings of exploitation efforts, and coordinate focused analyses for technical questions regarding IEDs.

Minimum Experience: Engineering background with one year of experience in C-IED technologies and familiarity with JIEDDO rapid acquisition process.

Minimum Education: Master of Science (MS) degree in a technical field or a Bachelors of Science in a technical field with three years experience.

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BACK

PWS – Deployed Operations Research Systems Analyst (ORSA) Deployed ORSAs shall provide relevant and timely analytical support to JIEDDO J9 and a range of deployed units to include Regional Command, Division Support Elements, US Brigade Combat Teams, Regimental Combat Teams, C-IED Support Teams, Special Operations, Coalition Units, Security Force Assistance and Advisory Teams (SFAATs), Provisional Reconstruction Battalions, and Global Response Forces.

Deployed Operations Research Analysts shall provide information to JIEDDO including information regarding the effectiveness of JIEDDO initiatives.

Operational support shall include, but is not limited to mining and analyzing C-IED data to identify and categorize trends as an element of supported forces.

Produce C-IED analytical products Produce operational trend assessments and analysis Analysis of unit operations using Operations Research techniques Facilitate reach-back analysis with the JIEDDO J9, as required Work with embedded staff, such as Human Intelligence Teams, and data collectors.

Assist in evaluation of deployed JIEDDO initiatives.

Facilitate data transfer from theater to Contiguous United States (CONUS) Causality Assessment and Mitigation Produce and Geospatial Analysis Minimum Experience: Engineering background with one year of experience in C-IED technologies.

Minimum Education: Master of Science degree in a technical field or Bachelors of Science degree in a technical field with three years experience.

PWS – Global Response Force (GRF) Deployable ORSAs Provide analytical support to the Global Response Force (GRF) and its organic elements on response timelines commensurate with assigned missions.

Provide commanders tailored analytical products and trend assessments using current operational data based on specific intelligence and assessments within a specified Area of Operations (AO).

Deploy at anticipated lengths up to 4 months.

Physically able to deploy with a special operations force (SOF) or explosive ordnance device (EOD) type of military unit .

During non-deployment periods, GRF ORSA will support the readiness brigade prepare to deploy through a series of staff training and pre-deployment exercises and will provide region specific C-IED analytical products.

Support may take place at CONUS and OCONUS Government-owned facilities.

GRF ORSA may travel up to 50% to assist the readiness brigade.

Minimum Experience: Master of Science degree in a technical field or Bachelors of Science degree in a technical field with three years experience. GRF ORSA will have a minimum of one-year previous operations research deployment experience.

Minimum Education: Master of Science degree in a technical field or Bachelors of Science degree in a technical field with three years experience.

Deployed ORSA Trainers Establish and maintain a current Deployed ORSA training program to prepare newly assigned ORSAs for a deployment with forwardly deployed units. Training shall include: C-IED database familiarization, practical use of analytical tools to include geospatial tools (ArcGIS, Google Earth), quantitative and qualitative techniques, and an introduction to the area of operations as it pertains to C-IED.

Training services shall include ORSA support to units and staffs while in preparation for and during pre-deployment exercises at the National Training Center (NTC), Joint Readiness Training Center (JRTC), and other designated locations CONUS and OCONUS.

Training Support Personnel shall have a minimum of one year ORSA deployment experience .

Support shall take place at CONUS and OCONUS Government-owned facilities.

Prepare and update training materials to ensure newly assigned ORSAs gain an understanding of key analytic tools, procedures, and methodologies used in theater.

Schedule, coordinate and track training requirements with JIEDDO Directorate of Training Branch (JCOE, ACOE).

Provide units undergoing mission readiness training, tailored analysis products, trend assessments, and analysis of unit operations based on recent and unique OR techniques used currently in theater.

Coordinate reach-back and reach-forward analysis with appropriate training event representatives and participants. Work with embedded staffs at training events to provide recent, relevant theater analysis and data to support mission readiness, combat training, and designated pre-deployment events.

Minimum Experience: Five (5) years of experience in Operations Research (OR) and usage of the analytical tools (ArcGIS, SAS, Google Earth, Excel, Access, Power Point, Word), Knowledge of operational and logistical mission types, force structure, and coalition war fighting concepts, TTPs, and doctrine. Ability to present complicated, quantitative data in simplified, concise, understandable terms. Must have a minimum of one-year previous operations research deployment experience.

Minimum Education: Master of Science degree in a technical field or Bachelors of Science degree in a technical field with three years experience.

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Senior SAS® Engineers Senior SAS® Engineer will provide analytical support to the JIEDDO Analysis and Assessments Division, multi-intelligence teams, social analytical teams, and special operations analytical teams, which may include providing:

Senior SAS® Engineer shall possess an ability to create complex programs in SAS® that require multiple steps ingesting, parsing, transforming, and analyzing data.

Assisting decision makers in risk assessments, prioritization, and weighting of performance metrics Maintaining the metrics dashboard and data extraction to support assessments, providing modifications, updates, new metrics, and optimizations to the dashboard as directed.

Senior SAS® Engineer shall perform necessary hardware and software maintenance, support, and upgrades in support of analytic platform usage.

Develop and maintain an C-IED event tracker dash board that will inquest data from various sources and automate the text/data mining for operational use.

Senior SAS® Engineer shall have experience working with and analyzing large (millions of records) datasets, applying mathematical and statistical analysis techniques to real-world data, and programming in Base SAS®.

Minimum Experience: Senior SAS® Engineer must be a CERTIFIED ADVNACED PROGRAMMER with seven years experience. Personnel who are not certified are allowed four (4) months to complete their certification. Failure to do so will result in immediate removal from the contract.

Minimum Education: Doctorate degree plus two (2) years general experience, Master’s degree in technical discipline plus five (5) years of experience, or Bachelor’s degree in a technical discipline plus seven (7) years of experience.

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SAS® Engineers Provide support for Blue Force Tracking (BFT) data extraction and analysis.

Facilitate and update ESRI/ArcGIS shape files for effect BFT mapping.

Assisting decision makers in risk assessments, prioritization, and weighting of performance metrics.

Maintaining the metrics dashboard and data extraction to support assessments, provide modifications, updates, new metrics, and optimizations to the dashboard as directed.

Provide leadership with quantitative organizational assessments to support functional evaluations.

Automate the collection, parsing, and mining of large datasets from different data sources.

Provide unstructured text processing and analysis, and/or using network analysis methodologies to support the mission.

Shall have experience working with and analyzing large (millions of records) datasets, applying mathematical and statistical analysis techniques to real-world data, and programming in Base SAS®.

Minimum Experience: SAS® Engineer must be a CERTIFIED ADVNACED PROGRAMMER with five years experience.

Minimum Education: Master’s degree in technical discipline plus five (7) years of experience, or Bachelor’s degree in a technical discipline plus seven (8) years of experience.

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Geospatial Analyst Perform geospatial C-IED assessments by gathering input from the appropriate Combatant Commanders (CCDRs) and other US Government organizations.

Identifies alternatives and consequences on a wide variety of C-IED-related geospatial trends.

Assist in the development of forecasting techniques, analyzing trends, and developing geospatial products and tools and able to provide analytical results to a military audience.

Provide recommendations and develop methodologies that will enhance the development of forecasting techniques; approaches that will enable the detection of geospatial trends and patterns, and then extrapolate those trends and patterns into the future.

Utilize industry-standard geospatial software to accomplish these analyses and trends as well as to create high quality visualization products for the JIEDDO leadership.

Conduct review of studies and analyses involving a spatial context of IEDs in support of JIEDDO and monitor efforts highlighting the strengths, weaknesses and areas that may prove to be the source of actionable recommendations for JIEDDO senior leaders.

Minimum Experience: Three (3) years of experience using ArcGIS, one (1) year experience developing geospatial products for military audience or other governmental agency.

Minimum Education: Bachelor’s Degree.

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Senior Operations Research Analyst The senior operations research analyst shall be a subject matter expert (SME) that is highly skilled at data mining, statistical analysis, causal analysis, and geospatial analysis.

One (1) Senior Operations Research Analyst (ORSA) shall be designated as the technical lead responsible for monitor and provide monthly contract expenses reports and contract deliverables, generating deployed ORSA reports, liaison between J9 leadership and contractor.

Senior operations research analyst shall be responsible for integrating multiple disciplines in an operations research team and translate applicable methods into language and application understandable by operational commanders who are in a current theater of operations.

The senior operations research analyst shall review and provide quality control methods on products for the government.

The senior operations research analyst shall take structured and unstructured data and distill the information into a cohesive analytical product for a senior military audience.

The senior operations research analyst will support pattern analysis methods formulation of recommendations to operational commanders based upon exploiting patterns in the current theater of operations.

The senior operations research analyst shall have experience advising senior military/DoD decision makers on methodologies, results and conclusions from applied operations research.

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Senior Operations Research Analyst (cont’d) The senior operations research analyst will support pattern analysis methods formulation of The Senior Operations Research Analyst may be required to provide part time analytical support in developing an integrated and interconnected Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction (CWMD) capability-based system. This system defines and enables a comprehensive, global awareness and readiness for CWMD steady-state and surge postures.

Minimum Experience: Senior operations research analyst shall have ten (10) years of hands-on experience conducting operations analysis and at least two (2) years of applied operations research (OR) experience with C-IED efforts in a current theater of operations. The ten years can be a combination of five (5) years of military ORSA service and five (5) years of government civilian support to DoD, Combatant Commands (CCMDs) or Services

Minimum Education: Senior Operations Research Analyst shall have a Master’s degree in one of the following disciplines: Operations Research, Applied Mathematics, Engineering, Science, Computer Science, Mathematics, or Statistics

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Experienced Operations Research Analyst The experienced operations research analyst will apply methods supporting C-IED efforts in a current theater of operation.

The experienced operations research analyst shall be highly skilled at data mining, statistical analysis, causal analysis, and geospatial analytical methods.

The experienced operations research analyst will take structured and unstructured data and distill the information into a cohesive analytical product for a senior military audience.

The analyst will support pattern analysis methods formulation of recommendations to operational commanders based upon exploiting patterns in the current theater of operations.

Minimum Experience: Experience operations research analyst shall have four (8) years of hands-on experience conducting operations analysis and at least two (2) years of applied operations research (OR) experience with C-IED efforts in a current theater of operations. The four years can be a combination of four (4) years of military ORSA service and four (4) years of government civilian support to DoD, Combatant Commands (CCMDs) or Services

Minimum Education: Experience Operations Research Analyst shall have a Master’s degree in one of the following disciplines: Operations Research, Applied Mathematics, Engineering, Science, Computer Science, Mathematics, or Statistics.

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