MCC-16-RFQ-0011_FY16-_10_MAR_2016.pdf

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04/11/2016 1:00PM EST

MCC-16-RFQ-0011 03/11/2016

RAY STANIEWSKI (202) 521-3656

Millennium Challenge Corporation Contracts and Grants Management Division 1099 Fourteenth St., NW Suite 700 Washington, DC 20005-3553

X

N/A

CGM Division 1099 Fourteenth St., NW Suite 700 Washington, DC 20005-3550

Contracts and Grants Management Division 1099 Fourteenth St., NW, Suite 700 Washington, DC 20005-3553 Ray Staniewski, Sr Contract Specialist (KTR)(202)521-3656

Interior Business Center M/S D-2773 7301 West Mansfield Avenue Lakewood, CO 80235-2230

MCC seeks a Contractor to provide Economic Analysis and Evaluation Services for MCC-funded Transportation Activities in Burkina Faso.

MCC-16-RFQ-0011 - Economic Analysis and Evaluation Services for Burkina Faso Page 2 of 98

TABLE OF CONTENTS

SUPPLIES OR SERVICES AND PRICES/COSTS

Price/Cost Schedule FAR 52.216-1 -- Type of Contract (APR 1984) Accounting and Appropriation Data Funding Type Limitation of Funds – Incrementally Funded Contracts Labor Rates & Other Direct Costs (ODCs)

DESCRIPTION/SPECIFICATIONS/STATEMENT OF WORK

Scope Introduction and Background Objective Roles and Responsibilities Core Contractor Tasks Travel

PACKAGING AND MARKING

INSPECTION AND ACCEPTANCE

DELIVERIES OR PERFORMANCE

Deliverables Reporting Deliverables Deliverable Instructions Acceptance Criteria Period of Performance Place of Performance

CONTRACT ADMINISTRATION DATA

MCC 52.201-70 -- Contracting Officer’s Representative (COR) and/or Project Monitor (PM) (JULY 2012) MCC 52.232-70 -- Invoice Instructions (May 2013)

SPECIAL CONTRACT REQUIREMENTS

MCC 52.204-70 -- Security for Contractor Personnel (May 2013) MCC 52.209-70 -- Organizational Conflicts of Interest (MCC Custom) MCC 52.232-72 -- Limitation of Funds – Incrementally Funded Contracts (NOV 2006) MCC 52.232-73 -- Travel Reimbursement (MAY 2013) MCC 52.232-74 -- ODC Reimbursement (JAN 2007) MCC 52.242-70 -- Contractor Performance Assessment Rating System (CPARS) Registration (AUG 2011) MCC 52.243-70 -- Increase In Services (OCT 2006) MCC 52.245-70 -- Contractor Acquired MCC Government Property Overseas (July 2012) Provision on Peer Review and Posting of Reports Provision on Insurance Maintenance Provision on Stakeholder Input for Evaluation Products Provision on Human Subjects Protection Personally Identifiable Information and Confidentiality Provision on Delivered Work Product Free from 3rd Party Rights Provision on MCC Decision Points to Proceed with the Evaluation Overall Staffing Plan Key Personnel

CONTRACT CLAUSES AND PROVISIONS

FAR 52.212-4 -- Contract Terms and Conditions -- Commercial Items (May 2015) FAR 52.212-5 -- Contract Terms and Conditions Required to Implement Statutes or Executive Orders -- Commercial Items (May 2015) FAR 52.214-34 -- Submission of Offers in the English Language (Apr 1991) FAR 52.214-35 -- Submission of Offers in U.S. Currency (Apr 1991) FAR 52.217-9 -- Option to Extend the Term of the Contract (Mar 2000) FAR 52.252-2 -- Clauses Incorporated by Reference (Feb 1998)

LIST OF ATTACHMENTS

REPRESENTATIONS, CERTIFICATIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS OF OFFERORS OR RESPONDENTS .. 61

INSTRUCTIONS, CONDITIONS AND NOTICES TO OFFERORS OR RESPONDENTS

Conflict of Interest Inquiries / Questions Concerning the Solicitation Exclusion of Quotes and Pre-Award Communications with Offerors Quotation Due Date Quotation Response Quotation Volumes

MCC-16-RFQ-0011 - Economic Analysis and Evaluation Services for Burkina Faso Page 3 of 98

Quotation Format Page Limits Preparation of Volume 1 – Technical Quotation Preparation of Volume II – Cost Quotation

EVALUATION FACTORS FOR AWARD

FAR 52.212-1 -- Instructions to Offerors -- Commercial Items (Oct 2015) FAR 52.212-2 -- Evaluation -- Commercial Items (Oct 2014) Technical Capability Past Performance Price Evaluation

(End of Table of Contents)

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SUPPLIES OR SERVICES AND PRICES/COSTS

Price/Cost Schedule B.1.1. MCC reserves the right to award the contract using the maximum estimated durations for each phase. However, the Contractor shall adhere to their proposed work plan.

CLIN Description of Supplies/Services Qty U/I Unit Price Amount

0001 BASE PERIOD - PHASE I - LABOR

Time and Materials (T&M) Period of Performance (PoP) TBD (Estimated 6-8 MO) PoP Start: TBD PoP End: TBD

1 LO ______________ ______________

0002 BASE PERIOD - PHASE I - OTHER DIRECT COSTS

Cost Reimbursement Period of Performance (PoP) TBD (Estimated 6-8 MO) PoP Start: TBD PoP End: TBD

1 LO ______________ ______________

1001 OPTION PERIOD I - PHASE II - LABOR

Time & Materials (T&M) Period of Performance (PoP) TBD (Estimated 12-20 MO) PoP Start: TBD PoP End: TBD

1 LO ______________ ______________

1002 OPTION PERIOD I - PHASE II - OTHER DIRECT COSTS

Cost Reimbursement Period of Performance (PoP) TBD (Estimated 12-20 MO) PoP Start: TBD PoP End: TBD

1 LO ______________ ______________

2001 OPTION PERIOD II - PHASE III - LABOR

Time & Materials (T&M) Period of Performance (PoP) TBD (Estimated 10-14 MO) PoP Start: TBD PoP End: TBD

1 LO ______________ ______________

2002 OPTION PERIOD II - Phase III - OTHER DIRECT COSTS Cost Reimbursement Period of Performance (PoP) TBD (Estimated 10-14 MO) PoP Start: TBD PoP End: TBD

1 LO ______________ ______________

TOTAL ESTIMATED PRICE:* _______________

*MCC reserves the right to set the contract ceiling above the total estimated price to account for potential deviations due to unforeseen circumstances. However, the Contractor will be expected to perform in good faith in accordance with their proposed cost estimates.

FAR 52.216-1 -- Type of Contract (APR 1984) The Government contemplates award of a Time & Materials (T&M) contract resulting from this solicitation.

(End of Provision)

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Accounting and Appropriation Data

B.3.1. [RESERVED]

Funding Type B.4.1. This contract will be funded, at time of award, with No-Year Due Diligence funding.

Limitation of Funds – Incrementally Funded Contracts B.5.1. In accordance with clause MCC 52.232-72, “Limitation of Funds – Incrementally Funded

Contracts,” funds in the amount of [TBD] have been allotted to this contract. It is contemplated that funds now obligated under this contract will cover the work to be performed until [TBD].

B.5.2. The Contractor shall not perform work on the contract which exceeds the total amount actually allotted by the Government to the contract. The Government is not obligated to reimburse the Contractor for costs incurred in excess of the total amount allotted by the Government to this contract. The contractor assumes the risk for any increased costs beyond what the Government obligates.

Labor Rates & Other Direct Costs (ODCs) B.6.1. Labor Rates at the inception of a contract period or any “PHASE” will carry through as “Fixed-

Price” without adjustment for the life of that contract period or “PHASE”.

B.6.2. Direct Labor Rates & ODCs – Using the template below, Offerors must include all proposed labor categories, fully-burdened hourly rates & Other Direct Costs (ODCs) for each contract phase, to include any and all “Data Collection” costs.

B.6.2.1. Base Period Base Period - PHASE I – Period of Performance TBD (est. 6-8 months) Item # Description U/I Qty Rate* Total

LABOR

hr.

hr.

hr.

hr.

Labor Sub-Total ODCs

ODC Sub-Total Grand Total

B.6.2.2. Option Period I Option Period I - PHASE II – Period of Performance TBD (est. 12-18 months) Item # Description U/I Qty Rate* Total

LABOR

hr.

hr.

hr.

hr.

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B.6.2.3. Option Period II Option Period III - PHASE III – Period of Performance TBD (est. 10-12 months) Item # Description U/I Qty Rate* Total

LABOR

hr.

hr.

hr.

hr.

NOTE: A job description shall be included for each labor category proposed. The job description must identify essential and non-essential tasks that are assigned to a specific position. It must also identify reporting relationships and shall also describe required qualifications, minimum requirements, working conditions and desirable qualifications.

(End of SECTION B)

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DESCRIPTION/SPECIFICATIONS/STATEMENT OF WORK

Scope C.1.1. MCC requires a contractor to provide Economic Analysis and Evaluation services for MCC-funded transportation activities. Specifically, MCC is looking for the following assistance:

C.1.1.1. To conduct post-compact cost-benefit analysis, including estimates of the economic rate of return (ERR) and net present value (NPV) for select completed road projects including data collection, assessment and analysis;

C.1.1.2. To conduct post-compact political economy and technical engineering analysis of a country’s road maintenance practices, particularly with respect to roads that received MCC assistance, to assess whether previous assumptions about levels of maintenance have held and whether unexpected maintenance needs have been met.

C.1.1.3. To analyze the origin-destination (O-D) data that is related to the post-compact cost-benefit analysis (under No. 1) to understand current road usage patterns.

C.1.1.4. To analyze the transportation market structure to understand whether vehicle operating cost savings may be passed on to consumers.

C.1.1.5. To conduct a context specific transportation demand analyses and data collection linked to the logical framework of the road project in Burkina Faso, that is not reflected in the HDM4 model, e.g. prices, wages.

C.1.1.5.1. These activities will require conducting an analysis of roads using the Highway Development and Management (HDM-4) model or the Roads Economic Decision (RED) model, as appropriate for the specific road. This will involve collecting data required for HDM-4 analyses as specified under these terms of reference, and when available, comparing with existing data collected by government entities and other stakeholders. The objectives of the data collection and analysis are to ensure that the HDM-4 model is properly modeled vis a vis the constructed road; to establish current condition of the road and the nature of traffic flows along it; to determine the cost effectiveness of the MCC road investment using final costs and validated road data;

and understand why any changes, if any, occurred from the initial ERR to the final

ERR.

Introduction and Background C.2.1. The Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) is a U.S. Government corporation whose mission is to provide assistance that will support economic growth and poverty reduction in carefully selected countries that demonstrate a commitment to just and democratic governance, economic freedom, and investments in their citizenry. For more information on the MCC, please visit www.mcc.gov.

C.2.2. MCC supports innovative strategies and accountability for measurable results in order to optimize the cost-effectiveness of the whole life cycle process of a road from needs assessment to design, program implementation and contracting, periodic condition assessment and maintenance. As such, it is essential that MCC’s economists, contractors, and engineers learn from the sustainability and impact of investments after the completion of a Compact.

C.2.3. Burkina Faso

C.2.3.1. The Burkina Faso Compact was implemented from Aug 2009 - July 2014, and included four projects: the Roads Project, the Diversified Agriculture Project, the Land Tenure Security Project, and the BRIGHT II Schools Project. The Roads Project included rehabilitation and/or upgrading of the following road segments:

MCC-16-RFQ-0011 - Economic Analysis and Evaluation Services for Burkina Faso Page 8 of 98

C.2.3.1.1. Primary Roads:

C.2.3.1.1.1. 145km from Dedougou – Nouna - Mali Border

C.2.3.1.1.2. 76km from Sabout – Koudougou – Didyr

C.2.3.1.1.3. 50km from Banfora – Sindou

C.2.3.1.2. Rural Roads:

C.2.3.1.2.1. 151kms in Leraba, Comoe, and Kenedougou

C.2.3.1.3. Periodic maintenance:

C.2.3.1.3.1. 248km across the road network

C.2.3.2. The Roads Project also included a Capacity Building and Technical Assistance Activity and an Incentive Matching Fund for Periodic Road Maintenance Activity. See additional details on Compact maintenance activities in ANNEX VIII.

C.2.3.3. The Burkina Faso evaluation work will be completed in three phases:

C.2.3.3.1. Phase I (Base Period) will include Tasks 1 and 2, expected to last 6-8 months;

C.2.3.3.2. Phase II (Option Period I) will include Tasks 3 and 4. The period of performance for this phase is expected to last 12-18 months.

C.2.3.3.3. Phase III (Option Period II) will include Tasks 5 and 6, expected to last 10-12 months.

C.2.3.3.4. The offeror is expected to provide an estimate for the complete work of all phases in their proposal. However, the contract will be incrementally funded for each of the three Phases.

C.2.3.3.5. The Contractor shall complete each Phase then stop all work and wait for a written directive from MCC, in the form of a contract modification, to begin work on future Phases or Parts of Phases under the contract. That written directive, to proceed to the next Phase, shall only come from the Contracting Officer, again, in the form of a contract modification.

Objective C.3.1. The objective of this evaluation will be to hire a firm to conduct economic analysis (HDM-4/RED) and performance evaluations (maintenance/transport sector work) of roads investments in Burkina Faso. This work will support two objectives derived from MCC’s core principles: accountability and learning. Accountability refers to MCC and MCA’s obligations to report on their activities and attributable outcomes, accept responsibility for them, and disclose these findings in a public and transparent manner. Learning refers to improving the understanding of the causal relationships between interventions and changes in poverty and incomes.

C.3.2. MCC calculates the likely impact on economic growth of its programs by analyzing whether the proposed programs are consistent with international evidence on drivers of economic growth and by use of cost-benefit analysis. The essence of such an analysis is a straightforward comparison of costs and benefits, where the costs are the MCC-funded grants and the benefits are increases in incomes in recipient countries.1 For roads projects, these benefits are typically proxied with a consumer surplus approach by estimating the decline in vehicle operating costs and time savings for road users using HDM-4 or RED, as determined by the characteristics of the road investment. The performance evaluation components of this requirement seek to complement the economic analyses by answering descriptive questions that provide context to and enhance the knowledge gained

1 For more information about MCC’s economic analysis methods, visit http://www.mcc.gov/pages/docs/doc/guidelines-for-economic-and-beneficiary-analysis.

http://www.mcc.gov/pages/docs/doc/guidelines-for-economic-and-beneficiary-analysis

MCC-16-RFQ-0011 - Economic Analysis and Evaluation Services for Burkina Faso Page 9 of 98 through the economic analysis. As such, the five different research areas discussed below should not be considered as separate objectives. Rather, each is intended to inform and provide depth and nuance to the others. For instance, the political economy of road maintenance analysis should inform the maintenance assumption used in the economic analysis. The market structure analysis should inform a discussion of how the benefits are distributed across the population. And the road user and traffic growth studies should both directly inform the economic analyses as well as inform a broader discussion of the changes occurring as a result of the project investments.

C.3.3. This call order will focus on five principal areas of research:

C.3.3.1. Research Area 1: Evaluation of the economic viability of MCC-funded road projects post-compact by undertaking a cost-benefit analysis and estimating the ERR and net present value of the investments using the HDM-4 or RED modeling software. In pursuit of this research area, the Contractor shall assess the quality of pre-existing data (as available) and collect the updated data required for modeling, such as traffic, roughness, deflection, and origin-destination. The Contractor shall use the data gathered and the results of the analysis to provide an assessment of each identified road.

C.3.3.1.1. The final cost-benefit analysis is expected to be completed at the end of the 3 year contract period. In the interim, the Contractor shall conduct repeat traffic counts to cover a period of 3 years after the end of the compact in order to assess the patterns at which changes in traffic counts are realized once a road is rehabilitated. (see Research Area 5 for more details)

C.3.3.2. Research Area 2: Evaluation of MCC’s assumptions about the sustainability of improvements in infrastructure based on a rigorous political economy analysis that incorporates appropriate and available data.2 In addition to road construction, Compact-funded activities supported a number of improvements to the road maintenance regime within the GoBF, with the goal of helping ensure that not only MCC’s roads would be better maintained, but that all of Burkina Faso’s roads might be better maintained (see Annex VIII for more details on the maintenance activities). Based on this, MCC makes post-compact maintenance and project-life assumptions about its infrastructure investments.

C.3.3.2.1. The accuracy of MCC’s maintenance assumptions has not yet been formally tested and assessed post-compact. The goal of this analysis is to improve and update these assumptions for future projects. To this effect, the Contractor shall assess the maintenance financial needs relative to the actual maintenance expenditures - and the actual condition of the roads - to inform MCC of post-Compact maintenance levels relative to the assumptions made in the original ERR model and closeout ERR cost-benefit models. The Contractor shall also use this analysis to assess the efficacy of MCC sponsored road maintenance activities.

C.3.3.2.2. Given that many MCC roads are recently completed, they may be in relatively good condition and not yet been affected by the maintenance regime of a country. The study should also look at maintenance levels of comparable roads to MCC that are older in order to get a clearer indication of the maintenance status of the road network. In general, periodic maintenance is not expected to be needed until 5-7 years after construction, however routine and emergency maintenance may be required sooner.

C.3.3.2.3. Beyond understanding the accuracy of the assumptions, the Contractor shall also provide political economy analysis of the formal and informal decision-making that

2 A political economy analysis should explore some aspects of the way incentives shape behavior as well as the power, interests, agency, ideas, the subtleties of building and sustaining coalitions, and the role of contingency in the road sector.

MCC-16-RFQ-0011 - Economic Analysis and Evaluation Services for Burkina Faso Page 10 of 98 determines road maintenance of MCC’s investments and similar roads. The goal of this analysis will be to understand the political and economic factors driving decisions around a country’s road maintenance. The Contractor shall analyze how maintenance does or does not occur including planning, budgeting, implementation, and oversight relative to what is written or documented. The Contractor shall assess how maintenance funding is allocated and in what priority vis-a-vis capital expenditures.

C.3.3.2.4. In particular, this political economy analysis shall include an analysis of the effects of MCC’s compact on maintenance activities. The Burkina Faso Compact included two specific activities aimed at improving road maintenance within Burkina Faso: the Capacity Building and Technical Assistance for Road Maintenance and Incentive Matching for Periodic Road Maintenance Activities. These activities had the joint goals of directly funding maintenance works while also improving the overall capacity of sector actors to meet Burkina Faso’s road maintenance needs (see Annex VIII for a more complete description of these two activities).

C.3.3.2.5. Though the specific research questions to be addressed through this component of the evaluation will be determined collaboratively between the Contractor, the MCC, and local stakeholders, an initial list of relevant questions is included in Annex IV.

C.3.3.3. Research Area 3: Study of road users, based on O-D data collected for the HDM-4/RED model, that examines how goods and people are traveling along MCC project roads, where they are going, and what the motivations for the journey are. As part of Research Area 1, the Contractor shall conduct an origin-destination survey on an agreed roads segments. In order to meet the needs of Research Area 3, this survey may need to be expanded slightly from a standard O-D survey to collect information about where people or goods are traveling to/from and why (e.g. for people, is the trip for business/employment, school, health, social, etc.), how much they are paying for their trip and how long it takes on average, and what type/quantity/value of goods are being transported. This information will allow stakeholders to understand travel patterns and characteristics; measure trends; provide input to travel demand model development, forecasting, and planning for area‐wide transportation infrastructure needs and services; and, monitor progress in implementing transportation policies. The Contractor should analyze this data to compare to baseline data and/or provide an overview of how the road is currently being used.

C.3.3.3.1. The Contractor shall develop a plan to conduct a vehicle intercept survey, either on the MCC-funded road or at business centers near the road segments to collect this data.

Vehicle intercept surveys provide a detailed picture of the trip patterns and travel choices of road users. The expanded vehicle intercept survey will include questions about the purpose of the trip, origin/destination of the vehicle and any passengers, travel times, fares for passenger and goods, and cargo type and estimated value for goods.

C.3.3.4. Research Area 4: Evaluation of the transportation market structure and the formal and informal institutions that regulate and govern the transportation market, including possible oligopolistic behavior (e.g., trucking cartels). MCC would like to explore the structure and competitiveness of the transportation sector to understand how likely it is that vehicle operating cost savings that result from road improvements will be passed on to transport consumers, such as public transport users or farmers transporting their produce to market. While this information does not factor into the economic analysis, MCC is interested in understanding how road users who do not own their own vehicle may stand to benefit in the short-term. The Contractor shall work with MCC to decide what methods will best answer these questions and whether a political economy analysis would provide additional insight into the impact of the

MCC-16-RFQ-0011 - Economic Analysis and Evaluation Services for Burkina Faso Page 11 of 98 market structure on consumer pricing and the sustainability of the investment. However, separate survey-based data collection is not expected as part of this task. This research question will be informed by the data collected as part of the HDM-4 analysis and the expanded vehicle intercept surveys to understand whether cost savings for vehicle owners are passed on to passengers in the form of lower fares for people and goods. The Contractor shall collaborate with all stakeholders (primarily MCC, MCA partners3, relevant government ministries, communities and Implementing Partners) to gather information regarding the project design and implementation.

C.3.3.5. Research Area 5: Country Specific Research Areas. In the Burkina Faso context, MCC wishes to explore the trends in vehicle traffic growth/change over time. Thus, as a part of the three year analysis in Burkina Faso, the Contractor shall assess, through repeat traffic counts (at least twice per year), the patterns in which changes in traffic are realized as well as an analysis of what is driving those changes. To this end, MCC encourages offerors to consider automated traffic counting mechanisms in meeting this requirement and addressing Research Area 5.

Roles and Responsibilities C.4.1. After the end of a Compact, the MCA (the entity responsible for implementation of the Compact) is often disbanded. In the case of Burkina Faso, the government has established a post-Compact entity called the Agence du Partenariat pour le Développement (APD-Burkina), which is responsible for following up on all work related to the Compact. All references to the “MCA” in this document is assumed to include APD and/or its designated representatives.

C.4.2. Each organization, MCC, the MCA and its designated representatives, and the Contractor, play critical roles in designing, implementing, and disseminating economic analysis and independent evaluations. Their roles are as follows:

C.4.2.1. MCC. MCC is responsible for oversight of the Contractor and quality control of its activities, including the following specific responsibilities:

C.4.2.1.1. Set the evaluation priorities and evaluation questions. Using the program logic as the foundation, the Contractor shall work with MCC to develop the evaluation priorities and evaluation questions based on existing evidence, the evidence gap, and the learning priorities for the sector and agency.

C.4.2.1.2. Build buy-in and ownership of the research and analysis. MCC will work with the Contractor and MCA to ensure the research and analysis is based on feasible methodologies given program design, implementation and local context. MCC will work with MCA to ensure commitment to the roll-out plan by local stakeholders, and if is not possible to adhere to the roll-out plan, will inform the Contractor in order to adapt the tasks.

C.4.2.1.3. Determine the budget. MCC will work with the contractor to develop a budget for, expected data collection requirements, and any other activities related to the call order.

C.4.2.1.4. Quality review of the work plan. Using the program logic and MCC guidance as a foundation, MCC is responsible for reviewing the Contractor’s work plan for feasibility, technical and factual accuracy.

C.4.2.1.5. Quality review of deliverables. MCC is responsible for reviewing the Contractor’s reports to ensure technical and factual accuracy and adherence with international standards. While MCC will provide feedback, the independent Contractor is ultimately

3 After an MCC compact concludes, MCA organizations are sometimes disbanded, and they appoint a designated representative within the government to carry on any additional functions related to evaluation or auditing. All references to MCA in this document refer to both the MCA organizations and their designated representatives.

MCC-16-RFQ-0011 - Economic Analysis and Evaluation Services for Burkina Faso Page 12 of 98 the author of the reports and may or may not take into consideration MCC’s comments.

MCC therefore develops an Official Statement for each report to confirm the technical and factual accuracy of the report, or clarify any differences on technical or factual issues between MCC and the independent Contractor.

C.4.2.1.6. Lead public dissemination efforts. MCC is responsible for leading any public dissemination of results (where applicable), in particular ensuring a feedback loop internally in order to inform future decision making on similar program investment, design, and implementation. This requires ensuring the results are disseminated on the MCC website and disseminated to appropriate stakeholders in a timely fashion.

C.4.2.2. MCA. The relevant MCA, or its designated post-compact representative, in each country is responsible for building local ownership and commitment, including the following specific responsibilities:

C.4.2.2.1. Build buy-in and ownership of the research and analysis. MCA will work with the Contractor and MCC to ensure the research and analysis is based on feasible methodologies given program design, implementation and local context. MCC will work with MCA to ensure commitment to the roll-out plan by local stakeholders, and if is not possible to adhere to the roll-out plan, will inform the Contractor in order to adapt the tasks.

C.4.2.2.2. Quality review of deliverables. MCC is responsible for reviewing the Contractor’s reports to ensure technical and factual accuracy and adherence with international standards. While MCC will provide feedback, the independent Contractor is ultimately the author of the reports and may or may not take into consideration MCC’s comments.

MCC therefore develops an Official Statement for each report to confirm the technical and factual accuracy of the report, or clarify any differences on technical or factual issues between MCC and the independent Contractor.

C.4.2.2.3. Facilitate public dissemination efforts. MCA, or a designated representative, is responsible for facilitating public dissemination of results, in particular ensuring a feedback loop in-country in order to inform future decision making on similar program investment, design, and implementation.

C.4.2.3. Contractor. The Contractor is responsible for the overall design and implementation of the research and analysis (with collaboration from MCC, especially with respect to the maintenance assessment), along with dissemination of results, including the following specific responsibilities:

C.4.2.3.1. Develop a rigorous evaluation design given the research areas laid out in this SOW, technical requirements for data collection, rules of implementation, and feasibility of options. The Contractor shall assess the existing program information, data and documents to determine whether the analysis can be completed feasibly as detailed in this SOW. If not, the Contractor shall use the program logic as the foundation and assess the program design and implementation to develop the most rigorous evaluation design possible. The Contractor is responsible for developing an evaluation design report, in consultation with MCC and MCA, which summarizes the evaluation design, sampling, analysis plan, work plan, deliverables, and other critical design elements of the evaluation. (Task 1 and Task 2)

C.4.2.3.2. Support MCC and MCA (when necessary and feasible) to build buy-in and ownership of research and analysis. The Contractor shall meet with MCC and local stakeholders to develop the evaluation design and work plan based on program design and

MCC-16-RFQ-0011 - Economic Analysis and Evaluation Services for Burkina Faso Page 13 of 98 implementation. In addition, the Contractor shall continuously present the objectives, materials, and interim and final results for MCC and local stakeholders to maintain commitment. (Task 1 and Task 2)

C.4.2.3.3. Develop evaluation materials that are held to international standards. Using the program logic as a foundation, the independent Contractors shall define how key outcomes will be measured and develop the HDM-4 data collection methodology, survey instruments, or other data collection tools in order to answer critical evaluation questions that address the key research areas. Note that “survey” here refers to the expanded vehicle intercept surveys, but may also refer to qualitative instruments where appropriate (Task 3)

C.4.2.3.4. Ensure appropriate review of evaluation materials and research protocols.

Independent Contractors shall be responsible for ensuring all evaluation materials, including the evaluation design, survey instruments, sampling strategy, data collection and entry protocols are reviewed by an institutional review board (IRB). IRB review and approval is required before any data collection commences. The independent Contractors will document all approvals and informed consent procedures throughout the evaluation time period. (Task 3)

C.4.2.3.5. Manage the data collection firms. The Contractor shall be responsible for all costs, recruitment, management and oversight of data collection. The Contractor shall develop Terms of Reference for the data collection firms, with technical support from MCC and the MCA. The independent Contractor is responsible for managing the contracting process, including Request for Proposals, Proposal Review, selection of the data collection firm, development of a work plan, and supervision of the data collection firm in line with the work plan and agreed deliverables. (Task 4)

C.4.2.3.6. Supervise data collection. The independent Contractor shall be responsible for quality control over data collection activities, including HDM-4 data collection, interviewer training, pre-testing, and implementing data quality review checks during data collection. (Task 4)

C.4.2.3.7. Lead data cleaning, analysis, interpretation of results. The independent Contractor shall be responsible for leading any necessary data cleaning and consultation with the data collection firm to produce final analysis files. The independent Contractor is responsible for leading all analysis in line with the agreed analysis plan developed with MCC, and consulting with MCC should the analysis plan need to be revised or adapted.

(Task 5)

C.4.2.3.8. Produce evaluation reports. The independent Contractor shall be responsible for sharing initial evaluation reports with local stakeholders and MCC for review and feedback. However, given the independent Contractor is the author of the evaluation reports, local stakeholder and MCC feedback may or may not be taken into consideration for the final report. The independent Contractor shall be responsible for documenting all feedback and Contractor responses. (Tasks 5)

C.4.2.3.9. Through this review process, the independent Contractor’s role is to assert independence in order to produce a high quality, unbiased evaluation of the program.

The independent Contractor shall ensure that various stakeholders understand that while MCC, MCA, and other stakeholders may provide guidance and leadership on evaluation questions and feasibility of methodology, once an approved evaluation design is in place, feedback on analysis and interpretation of results is limited to statements on the continued technical and factual accuracy of the analysis.

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C.4.2.3.10. Lead public dissemination efforts. The Contractor shall be responsible for leading any public dissemination efforts facilitated by MCA and MCC (such as local workshops and conferences), but also additional conferences or other opportunities to publicly disseminate the results of the research. The Contractor shall advise MCC on any public dissemination opportunities and collaborate as appropriate. As per Section H, the Contractor is responsible for ensuring that all public release documentation is reviewed to minimize any risk to respondent confidentiality. This may require submission of internal use only and public release reports. (Task 6)

Core Contractor Tasks In order to execute the design and implementation of the evaluation, the Contractor is responsible for the following tasks:

PHASE I

C.5.1. Task 1: Prepare for Field Work and Assess Evaluation Plan, Existing Data and ERR Models

C.5.1.1. The Contractor shall begin the planning and logistics required to complete the assignment including the mobilization of all equipment and personnel.

C.5.1.2. The Contractor shall provide an updated Work Plan to complete the assignment within the contractual period of performance. The Work Plan will include expected deadlines for deliverables. Any revisions to the Work Plan will be submitted to MCC for approval.

C.5.1.3. Note that the updated Work Plan and any proposed changes to key personnel will become part of the contract once accepted by MCC.

C.5.1.4. Review of cost-benefit models and existing data necessary for each of the research areas and use this analysis to inform their discussion of methodology, including but not limited to:

C.5.1.4.1. The Contractor shall review project files pertaining to road investments in Burkina Faso. These will be provided by MCC and/or APD as available. Project files consist of the following: signed contracts for the work, all amendments/variation orders, the as-built drawings including geotechnical reports and results. The Contractor shall also be provided with any previously collected IRI, deflection, traffic data collected at the end of the work by MCA/MCC or its representative. The Contractor shall notify MCC of any omissions or problems in a timely manner in order for MCC to assist the Contractor in completing this review.

C.5.1.4.2. The Contractor shall thoroughly review the before-project Economic Rate of Return models used and assumptions including the appropriate documentation and justification of the data inputs that served to establish the project baseline ERR and NPV. The Contractor shall provide recommendations/observations to MCC on any suggested corrections/adjustments/ modifications that may be required. Summarized guidelines provided herein will be peer-reviewed and integrated in the future practices of MCC.

C.5.1.5. MCC will provide the Contractor with all available final costs including the Design and Supervision Costs, Variation Orders and Claims Costs, Resettlement Costs, Environmental and Social costs not included in Design and Construction Costs, receiving country contributions, Project Management and Technical Support Costs. The estimated Maintenance and Rehabilitation (M&R) costs shall be updated by the contractor.

C.5.1.6. The Contractor shall provide a comprehensive review of political analysis literature on maintenance regimes to inform the discussion of what methodology they recommend to

MCC-16-RFQ-0011 - Economic Analysis and Evaluation Services for Burkina Faso Page 15 of 98 address Research Area 2.

C.5.1.7. The Contractor shall provide a comprehensive review of the studies that have used vehicle intercept surveys and what type of questions have been answered using this methodology.

C.5.1.8. The Contractor shall provide a comprehensive review of literature on transportation market structure including, but not limited to, literature on trucking cartels in Africa.

C.5.1.9. The Contractor shall review both the availability and quality of all data pertaining to roads that have been rehabilitated under MCC’s compacts in the relevant country.

C.5.1.10. The Contractor shall provide a consolidated Evaluation Assessment Report that summarizes the existing data, including its strengths and weaknesses. The report shall also summarize the Consultant’s review of the Program Logic, Risks & Assumptions, cost-benefit models, Proposed Research Questions, Metrics, and field data requirements related to the task of assessing the cost-effectiveness of road maintenance activities.

C.5.2. Task 2: Develop Evaluation Design Report

C.5.2.1. The Contractor shall conduct missions to the field as needed to discuss program design and implementation issues to inform the evaluation design, as well as engage local stakeholders (MCA and Implementing Entities, as well as local government) on the proposed evaluation.

This includes hosting local stakeholder workshops to develop/refine research questions, assess appropriate and feasible quantitative and qualitative evaluation methodologies, develop evaluation timeline, and build local stakeholder commitment to the evaluation design.

C.5.2.2. The Contractor shall develop the Evaluation Design Report, including all technical analysis required for assessing and confirming internal validity, power calculations, and required sample sizes. The Evaluation Design Report outline will be developed in consultation with the MCC M&E lead. Please reference Annex III Evaluation Design Report Outline as a reference.

C.5.2.3. The methodology discussion shall include but is not limited to:

C.5.2.3.1. The methodology discussion shall explain the proposed research questions to be addressed through the evaluation (which shall cover all 5 research areas) as well as the proposed methods (surveys, focus groups, interviews, etc) to address those research questions. The specifics of those methods (timing, location, sample sizes, etc) shall also be explained in the Evaluation Design Report.

C.5.2.3.2. The Political Economist4 should propose a methodology to assess MCC's impact on the maintenance regime as well as future prospects (sustainability) of MCC’s investments in road maintenance. The approach should be rigorous and consider recent methodologies in order to address a variety of questions identified in close cooperation with MCC.

C.5.2.3.3. The Contractor shall propose political economy questions (including those described in section B.3.) and a methodology to address them, as part of a rigorous analysis of institutional outcomes in the sector. These should be selected in close consultations with MCC.

C.5.2.3.4. The Contractor shall also develop a methodology for determining road maintenance needs based on the actual constructed pavement to establish a realistic case and compare this to the actual case, to be approved by MCC. The methodology should be

4 While this political economy analysis of road maintenance should not be seen as an endorsement for any one approach or methodology, Ramalignam (2011) , Booth and Golooba-Mutebi (2009) , Fritz, Levy and Ort (2014) , Wales and Wild (2012) , Ramalingam, Laric, and Primrose (2014) , Duncan and Williams (2010) , Pettit (2013) , and Haider and Rao (2010) provide a discussion of some of these analyses that are employed by and for other donors).

MCC-16-RFQ-0011 - Economic Analysis and Evaluation Services for Burkina Faso Page 16 of 98 based on a justified and documented analytical engineering approach. The Contractor shall review each country’s road maintenance and rehabilitation (M&R) files for each road to understand how much money has been spent and is planned on being spent on routine and periodic maintenance per road financed by MCC funds. Field observations and data collection in country (e.g., road roughness measures, deflection measures, rutting, cracking, and potholes) will be undertaken as necessary to assess the road maintenance regime. The Contractor shall determine if the maintenance performed to date is appropriate and identify any potential areas of concern.

C.5.2.4. As per MCC’s Gender Policy and Gender Integration Guidelines, the Contractor shall ensure that evaluation design, data collection requirements, and analysis address gender and other social differences as appropriate. This involves including research questions that address social and gender dimensions of the project logic, assumptions, and project design; disaggregating impacts by gender, age, income, and other social difference (e.g. ethnicity) as appropriate;

including special modules or studies as needed.

C.5.2.5. The Contractor shall document feedback from local stakeholders and the response to that feedback. In order to obtain feedback, the Contractor may lead local workshops and/or virtual reviews of the Design Report by MCA and Implementing Entities.

C.5.2.5.1. In accordance with Section H, the Contractor is responsible for allowing any key local stakeholders the opportunity to submit a public Statement of Difference or Support, as agreed with MCC and the MCA/designated representative.

C.5.2.6. The Contractor shall submit the Evaluation Design Report to MCC and may be asked to present to the Evaluation Management Committee. All feedback and response to feedback will be documented by the Contractor.

C.5.2.6.1. As per Section H, MCC may: (i) select to obtain external peer review; and (ii) make the Report and peer reviews public on the MCC website.

C.5.2.7. The Contractor shall continue to maintain the Evaluation Design Report as the evaluation develops. The Evaluation Design Report will remain a living document that is updated by the Contractor as necessary and resubmitted to MCC as necessary.

C.5.2.8. In developing the Evaluation Design Report, the Contractor shall do the following:

C.5.2.8.1. The Contractor shall determine the appropriate sources of in-country data to establish current values for economic parameters in HDM-4 pertaining to vehicle fleets that are relevant to the modeling exercise.

C.5.2.8.2. The Contractor shall perform a level 1 HDM-4 calibration specific to the country context for the modeling of roads in the select country. The calibration procedure including all documentation, references and sources in documented format shall be provided to MCC for review and approval before use in running the economic model.

C.5.2.8.3. The Contractor shall review all road maintenance and technical assistance documents provided by the country with the objective of analyzing and understanding how supplemental road maintenance activities (institutional reform, policy reform, etc.) was planned, carried out and completed during the Compact, and following the completion of works.

C.5.2.8.4. The Contractor shall review all documents on the institutional structure of the roads sector in the selected country provided by country with the objective of analyzing the transportation market structure and the regulatory environment that governs the transportation market in country.

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C.5.2.8.5. The Contractor shall identify how the expanded vehicle intercept survey will be designed and implemented.

C.5.2.9. Alongside the elaboration of the Evaluation Design Report, the Contractor shall also finalize the budget for the Phase II work, documenting and justifying any changes from the Contractor’s original budget, which, upon negotiation and approval by MCC, will be incorporated into the contract.

C.5.2.10. At the conclusion of Task 2, the Contractor shall provide the Evaluation Design Report to MCC as described in Section G below. The Contractor shall not proceed to Task 3 until the Evaluation Management Committee approves the Evaluation Design Report.

PHASE II

C.5.3. Task 3: Develop Evaluation Materials

C.5.3.1. Before beginning work on Phase II tasks, MCC will provide the Contractor with a contract modification, from the Contracting Officer, to begin work on Phase II. The Contractor shall not begin on any Phase II work until the contract modification, from the Contracting Officer, is received.

C.5.3.2. Upon MCC’s formal approval of the Evaluation Design Report, MCC will provide the Contractor with a technical directive to proceed with Task 3. The Contractor shall not proceed with future tasks until said technical directive is receive from MCC.

C.5.3.3. Upon receipt of the technical directive to continue, the Contractor shall proceed according the approved work plan to prepare all materials necessary to collect all data required for the modeling of the selected country roads using HDM-4. These data include: International Roughness Index (IRI), Deflection, Traffic, Geometry, and the Adjusted Structural Numbers, Surface Distress (Cracking, Rutting, Potholing, etc.), AADT including O-D surveys, expanded vehicle intercept surveys, and Qualitative Data.