4028-E-Nightmare-Sits5-6-2ed08R0002.pdf

CER S-5

#4028-E 2nd Edition

Exercise CERULEAN NIGHTMARE

Counterterrorism

Situation 5

1. General: The National Security Advisor will lead a meeting to assess the current situation and determine a course of action to deal with a specific scenario. The participants will play roles of national leaders or representatives of other countries or organizations who must deal with the current situation. The Marislovan President has taken the unusual step of putting the National Security Advisor in charge of the group, because he believes rapid action must be taken to counter the terror threat in this situation. The President is considering the creation of a new position, the Minister of National Security, and would likely place the National Security Advisor into this position. Each member of this select group is to work together to come up with a viable course of action, which is in the best interest of Marislova’s security and the region’s security as a whole. The National Security Advisor will run the meetings. Prepare to play your role before you arrive in seminar for this exercise. As you play your role, look for opportunities to cooperate in this effort to counter terrorism.

2. Scenario. It is the year 2008 and Marislova is hosting the Cerulean regional Olympic qualifying games to determine the candidates for the Games of the XXIX Olympiad to be held in Beijing, China from 8-24 August 2008. Numerous qualifying events begin today at various venues throughout Marislova. The biggest events are tomorrow’s soccer matches, with Marislova playing Denabia and Tashmara playing Goria. The winners of each of tomorrow’s match will play each other in one week, with the winner qualifying for the 2008 Summer Olympic Games.

Recent Events for Situation 5:

• It is ten hours until tonight’s big soccer match between Marislova and Denabia. The match will be played in Novoshinsk, a large city on the border with Denabia.

• The news media is reporting that 60 members of the Marislovan Soccer Team’s Fan Club were taken ill during a pre-game meal at a Novoshinsk restaurant near the soccer stadium where the Marislova-Denabia match will be played. Two waiters, a cook, and an unidentified man were also taken ill. Local police detained the unidentified man, when he knocked down the ambulance staff trying to take him to the hospital. The police then stopped the man from taking an alleged poison pill in an apparent suicide attempt. The police report the man is from the Kammarjan region, but do not know if he is from Denabia or Goria. The victims report difficulty with breathing, violent nausea, and stomach cramping. They are at a local hospital. Doctors have not isolated the cause of the mysterious illness, but suspect some type of poisoning. The medical staff isolated the group and is taking necessary precautions. The Novoshinsk police sealed off the restaurant and are investigating.

• Police received the following anonymous phone call: “Something big is going to happen during the Marislova soccer match. The Marislovan and Denabian governments

CER S-5

2nd Edition will pay the price for not freeing the independent Kammarjan people. It is too late for you to do anything.”

• Yesterday, an Internet Service Provider in Marislova reported the following Chat Room conversation between two people using the names Holy Warrior and Freedom for K:

- Holy Warrior: “Do you have the new ingredients?”

- Freedom for K: “Yes. The dogs will pay for their imperialism and the suppression of the great Kammarjan people.”

- Holy Warrior: “Do you know how to use it? Do you have your protective clothing?”

- Freedom for K: “I will mix it in when no one is looking. I did not get the clothes, but I will do what I must do for the cause.”

- Holy Warrior: “You are brave. Do not get caught. Take the pill if you do. Your sacrifice will be rewarded. Your family will be well paid. And there is no way the police can track how we transferred the money to them, unless the Hawala speaks.

Your conscience is clean.”

- Freedom for K: “For the cause. My family will no longer live in poverty. Praise God. I am worried that I might fail.”

- Holy Warrior: “Do your best. We have to distract them long enough for your cousin to play his role in the stadium. Security is tight. The police won’t let any one into the stadium until two hours before the game. The bribed guard will let your cousin in the back way, two hours early. That greedy guard thinks your cousin is a dedicated soccer fan, who just wants a good seat at the game.”

- Freedom for K: “They will certainly listen to us after thousands of Marislovans die.”

3. Requirements:

• The National Security Advisor will lead a meeting to determine what the actual situation is and the possible effects of this situation. Consider elements produced during Situations 1 through 4 to deal with this scenario. Attempt to verify the information available. What is actually happening? Without jumping to conclusions, are there any things that must be done quickly?

• Prepare a 10-minute briefing to your seminar leader on the critical issues that would need to be addressed in this situation.

• The briefing should also cover the group’s opinion on the sources of intelligence available, including the use of torture, the type of cooperation used, and the type of national or international organizations that could deal with such a situation.

CER S-6

2nd Edition

Exercise CERULEAN NIGHTMARE

Counterterrorism

Situation 6

1. General. The National Security Advisor will lead a meeting to assess the current situation and determine a course of action to deal with the scenario. The participants, playing the roles of national leaders or representatives of other countries and organizations, must deal with the current situation.

2. Scenario. It is the year 2008 and Marislova is hosting the Cerulean regional Olympic qualifying games to determine the eligible candidates for the Games of the XXIX Olympiad to be held in Beijing, China from 8-24 August 2008. Numerous qualifying events at various venues throughout Marislova still remain on the schedule. Measures taken by the National Security Advisor and his team of experts produced a non-violent solution in the case of the possible soccer stadium bombing. Despite some curious events, the general public and media believe the games are thus far a success. The public is aware that security forces may have prevented possible terrorist activities, but the public is not inhibited from attending the biggest sporting event of the year. In two very competitive soccer matches, Denabia upset the home team, Marislova, and Tashmara embarrassed Goria. Now the winners, Denabia and Tashmara, will face each other, with the eventual winner qualifying for the 2008 Summer Olympic Games.

Recent Events for Situation 6:

• It is one week before the championship soccer match between Denabia and Tashmara.

Many dignitaries will be present at the game. The Marislovan President just announced he would host both the Prime Minister of Denabia and the President of Tashmara at this soccer match. The President noted he had full faith and confidence that the expert team gathered under the leadership of the National Security Advisor would guarantee the security of these visiting dignitaries.

The Seminar participants are members of an all-ministry group convened by the National Security Advisor, one of the most powerful figures in the government. There are several invited guests at the meeting.

3. Requirements.

• Prepare a 10-minute briefing for your seminar leader on the actions you would take in this situation. At a minimum this briefing must include:

- A list of the security measures that could be taken to prevent terrorist activities in this situation.

- An explanation of the national and international cooperation that could be useful in this situation.