Attachment 6 - New Attachment J-7_Data for Proposed Targets for MSR.xlsx

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USAID/Ghana - Feed the Future Ghana Market Systems and Resilience Activity
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72064121R00003
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This document contains a federal contract opportunity notice and related performance data from an existing USAID program in Ghana. The federal contract opportunity is for technical assistance and support services to USAID/Ghana's Economic Growth Office to implement their Feed the Future Ghana Market Systems and Resilience Activity. The purpose of the activity is to increase inclusive agriculture-led economic growth in northern Ghana through competitive, stronger, and more resilient markets. USAID/Ghana anticipates awarding a cost-plus-fixed-fee completion contract for an estimated five-year period with a total estimated cost of up to $37.8 million, subject to availability of funds. The related performance data provides results from 2012-2019 for an existing USAID P1-ZOI program in Ghana, including indicators such as consumption expenditures, poverty rates, hunger levels, nutrition outcomes, and more.

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ADVANCE II Actuals

Improved access to cash, technologies, and expanded markets (2014 to April 2020)

$4,887,950 Cash loans facilitated from financial institutions

52,779 Participants of cash and in- kind loans

$3,731,280 Private capital investments facilitated

100% of participants applied one or more improved technologies in FY20 season

Targeted participants by April, 2020:

127,000

Total participants supported:

131,493

Participants trained:

124,544

Households supported

Vulnerable households supported

FTF P1 Endline Survey Results

Summary Results for Feed the Future P1-ZOI Endline Survey 2012-2019
IndicatorBaseline
(2012)Endline
(2019)Diff.p-valuebSig.c
Est.95% CInaEst.95% CIna
Mean daily per capita consumption expenditure in constant 2010 USD (2005 PPP)
All households2.832.60-3.064,4062.552.39-2.703,457-0.280.047*
Gendered household type
Male and female adults2.532.34-2.723,6102.382.25-2.512,984-0.150.199
Female adults only3.492.97-4.023732.942.55-3.33291-0.550.095
Male adults only4.563.72-5.404234.073.45-4.68182-0.490.348
Children only
Prevalence of poverty: Percentage of people living on less than $1.25/day (2005 PPP)
All households28.7924.88-32.704,40627.1123.89-30.323,457-1.680.514
Gendered household type
Male and female adults31.7527.57-35.923,61029.2125.81-32.612,984-2.540.354
Female adults only19.3612.31-26.4137321.3713.30-29.442912.010.712
Male adults only14.429.16-19.674238.752.52-14.98182-5.670.172
Children only
Depth of poverty: Mean percent shortfall relative to the $1.25/day poverty line (2005 PPP)
All households10.538.78-12.274,4069.017.77-10.253,457-1.520.164
Gendered household type
Male and female adults11.709.80-13.613,6109.818.45-11.172,984-1.900.111
Female adults only6.703.78-9.633736.223.12-9.32291-0.480.824
Male adults only4.862.70-7.024233.061.10-5.02182-1.810.223
Children only
Abbreviated Women’s Empowerment in Agriculture Indexd
All women0.640.62-0.653,0540.740.72-0.762,1690.100.000***
Woman's age
18-29 years0.550.51-0.584960.650.59-0.723490.110.002**
30 years or older0.650.64-0.672,5580.750.74-0.771,8200.100.000***
Prevalence of moderate and severe hunger
All households39.435.4-43.44,38421.218.5-23.93,421-18.20.000***
Gendered household type
Male and female adults39.335.2-43.43,59421.618.7-24.62,951-17.70.000***
Female adults only42.633.5-51.736818.712.0-25.4289-23.90.000***
Male adults only37.330.0-44.542219.412.4-26.4181-17.90.001**
Children only
Women's dietary diversity: Mean number of food groups consumed by women of reproductive agee
All women 15-49 years of age3.53.4-3.64,5723.53.4-3.64,6720.00.808
Prevalence of exclusive breastfeeding among children under 6 months of agee
All children60.553.5-67.533353.545.6-61.5307-7.00.196
Child's sex
Male62.150.8-73.417545.335.1-55.6144-16.80.031*
Female58.947.1-70.715859.848.6-71.11630.90.910
Prevalence of children 6-23 months of age receiving a minimum acceptable diete
All children15.412.0-18.887115.512.1-19.010000.10.961
Child's sex
Male12.89.3-16.444115.611.0-20.25332.80.341
Female18.112.5-23.843015.410.0-20.8467-2.70.493
Prevalence of underweight women of reproductive agee
All non-pregnant women 15-49 years of age12.010.1-13.84,0719.68.0-11.24,099-2.40.057
Prevalence of stunted children under 5 years of agee
All children36.132.6-39.62,95725.422.8-28.13,015-10.70.000***
Child's sex
Male38.234.6-41.71,50127.224.0-30.41,560-11.00.000***
Female34.029.2-38.81,45623.520.2-26.91,455-10.60.000***
Prevalence of wasted children under 5 years of agee
All children11.19.4-12.92,92810.18.5-11.62,985-1.00.369
Child's sex
Male11.59.3-13.71,48611.39.1-13.51,544-0.20.883
Female10.78.4-13.11,4428.86.8-10.71,441-1.90.199
Prevalence of underweight children under 5 years of agee
All children18.515.7-21.42,94217.715.5-19.83,013-0.80.628
Child's sex
Male18.315.4-21.21,49419.016.6-21.51,5590.70.705
Female18.814.2-23.31,44816.213.1-19.31,454-2.60.356
Est.=estimate, n/a=not available, CI=confidence interval, PPP=purchasing power parity
^ Results not statistically reliable, n<30
a Records missing information for the disaggregate variables have been excluded from the disaggregated estimates. The unweighted sample size reflects this loss in observations; therefore, disaggregate sample sizes may not total to the aggregated sample size.
b Significance tests were performed to determine whether a difference exists between the baseline and endline estimates.
c Differences found to be statistically significant are indicated by level: * p<0.05, ** p<0.01, *** p<0.001.
d The Women's Empowerment in Agriculture Index (WEAI) was calculated at baseline, but only data for the Abbreviated WEAI (A-WEAI) were collected at endline. Therefore, a baseline value for the A-WEAI was calculated so that endline-baseline comparisons could be made.
e Estimates and the gendered household type disaggregate categories are based on de facto household members.
Notes:

Estimates are sample-weighted; numbers of observations are unweighted.

Individual-level estimates and the gendered household type disaggregate categories are based on de jure household members, except where noted.

Sources: Feed the Future Ghana ZOI Survey [baseline 2012; Feed the Future Ghana ZOI Survey 2019

FTF P2-ZOI Data

RegionMetro/Municipal/DistrictHousehold Dwelling UnitsHousehold Members Engaged in AgricultureTotal Population - 2020 Projected
TotalAgriculture (C.)Non AgricultureTotal (F.)Male (D.)Female (E.)MaleFemaleTotal
NorthernYendi Municipal12,7219,2713,45030,97218,21612,75674,69074,614149,304
NorthernSavelugu-Nanton14,66913,0931,57636,19623,93412,26283,94889,196173,144
NorthernKaraga7,6647,26340128,86315,45213,41145,51249,21194,723
NorthernGushiegu11,15010,23791339,60621,83817,76868,02171,645139,666
NorthernSagnerigu Municipal23,4478,56914,87817,66912,8974,77291,28689,246180,532
NorthernMion8,8428,14369930,10017,02813,07250,53151,170101,701
North EastEast Mamprusi13,89512,5881,30735,81720,87214,94574,63377,273151,906
North EastMamprugu Moagduri5,2145,06614817,2889,7447,54429,42429,44458,867
Upper EastBawku West15,16914,1591,01038,15818,66319,49552,35756,774109,130
Upper EastGaru Tempane17,52016,71880252,61424,83727,77771,98378,891150,874
Upper EastBawku Municipal15,0129,1355,87725,42713,05212,37554,84059,517114,357
Upper WestWa East10,76810,16760129,22516,29912,92643,07942,22985,308
Upper WestSissala East8,6527,3391,31319,52910,4599,07032,87434,69467,568
Upper WestNadowli-Kaleo10,1798,3281,85119,37510,3579,01834,03238,83272,864
Upper WestSissala West7,1166,53558117,1379,0988,03928,86830,38759,255
Upper WestDaffiama Bussie5,0304,35567511,1776,0525,12518,71819,75638,474
Data source: Satistical, Research and Information Directorate-MoFA, Agriculture in Ghana Facts and Figures, 2016Total -ZOI187,048150,96636,082449,153248,798200,355854,796892,8771,747,673
Percentage81%19%55%45%49%51%
Estimated FTF P2-ZOI Population (A)1,747,673Data Source: GSS 2010 PHC Projected to 2020

Average HH size (B) 6.80 Data Source: FTF P1-ZOI Endline Survey PBS, 2020

Population of FTF P2-ZOI in Agriculture (G)=B*total (C.)1,026,569
Percent Population in Agriculture (H.) = G/A*10059%

Estimated Population of Northern Ghana 5,142,467

Estimated farmer households in Northern Ghana473,829Data Source: MOFA SRID, 2016
50%224,576.50
20%89,830.60

ZOI Population data is a projection based on GSS 2010 PHC Data

Total Northern Gh HHs Number

RegionDistrictHousehold Dwelling UnitsHousehold Members Engaged in Agriculture
TotalAgriculture (C.)Non AgricultureTotal (F.)Male (D.)Female (E.)
Northern RegionBole10,1606,2603,90012,9778,3714,606
Northern RegionSawla-Tuna-Kalba14,90611,9452,96127,35015,92711,423
Northern RegionWest Gonja6,2554,0852,1707,6505,3132,337
Northern RegionGonja Central11,4138,4652,94824,44914,32310,126
Northern RegionEast Gonja18,81113,6625,14934,45921,38513,074
Northern RegionKpandai16,39414,7041,69038,03020,37017,660
Northern RegionNanumba South11,48710,62786034,25819,28614,972
Northern RegionNanumba North16,91414,9191,99537,34422,64314,701
Northern RegionZabzugu6,5676,13743022,16512,7509,415
Northern RegionYendi Municipal12,7219,2713,45030,97218,21612,756
Northern RegionTamale Metropolis35,4089,25126,15724,80816,0048,804
Northern RegionTolon8,1107,49561529,31316,40912,904
Northern RegionSavelugu-Nanton14,66913,0931,57636,19623,93412,262
Northern RegionKaraga7,6647,26340128,86315,45213,411
Northern RegionGushiegu11,15010,23791339,60621,83817,768
Northern RegionSaboba9,0118,38063125,54712,52713,020
Northern RegionChereponi7,1166,47464219,2989,8429,456
Northern RegionBunkpurugu Yunyoo17,62116,5781,04345,89023,67522,215
Northern RegionEast Mamprusi13,89512,5881,30735,81720,87214,945
Northern RegionWest Mamprusi14,43212,3402,09234,38620,35314,033
Northern RegionNorth Gonja4,7934,18660712,1947,5034,691
Northern RegionKumbumgu4,1333,94219115,1688,9616,207
Northern RegionSagnerigu Municipal23,4478,56914,87817,66912,8974,772
Northern RegionMion8,8428,14369930,10017,02813,072
Northern RegionTatale Sanguli6,9866,55842824,97113,35511,616
Northern RegionMamprugu Moagduri5,2145,06614817,2889,7447,544
Upper East RegionBuilsa North10,8729,0311,84120,60511,4079,198
Upper East RegionKasena Nankana West12,81311,6161,19729,26914,99214,277
Upper East RegionKasena Nankana East19,79016,3633,42739,02020,26518,755
Upper East RegionBolgatanga Municipal26,70615,95910,74741,09121,05320,038
Upper East RegionTalensi15,74814,2911,45730,69316,74213,951
Upper East RegionBongo15,18814,53765138,57417,82220,752
Upper East RegionBawku West15,16914,1591,01038,15818,66319,495
Upper East RegionGaru Tempane17,52016,71880252,61424,83727,777
Upper East RegionBawku Municipal15,0129,1355,87725,42713,05212,375
Upper East RegionBuilsa South6,0435,60044314,4308,4345,996
Upper East RegionNabdam5,9665,71025613,3097,2606,049
Upper East RegionBinduri9,1998,64155825,98612,30513,681
Upper East RegionPusiga7,6036,90070322,84311,22111,622
Upper West RegionWa West11,48610,52496230,40716,47113,936
Upper West RegionWa Municipal18,8915,84113,05016,5199,1177,402
Upper West RegionWa East10,76810,16760129,22516,29912,926
Upper West RegionSissala East8,6527,3391,31319,52910,4599,070
Upper West RegionNadowli-Kaleo10,1798,3281,85119,37510,3579,018
Upper West RegionJirapa13,91111,5082,40331,41916,52614,893
Upper West RegionSissala West7,1166,53558117,1379,0988,039
Upper West RegionLambussie Karni7,5246,3251,19919,90110,4569,445
Upper West RegionLawra9,2007,6801,52013,5968,7524,844
Upper West RegionDaffiama Bussie5,0304,35567511,1776,0525,125
Upper West RegionNandom7,4176,3291,08810,6966,9863,710
Data source: Satistical, Research and Information Directorate-MoFA, Agriculture in Ghana Facts and Figures, 2016Total -ZOI605,922473,829132,0931,317,768727,604590,164
Percentage78%22%24%55%45%
Estimated ZOI Population (A)5,558,602PBS, 2015 estimated

Average HH size (B) 6.00 PBS, 2015

Population of ZOI in Agriculture (G)=B*total (C.)2,842,974.00
Percent Population in Agriculture (H.) = G/A*10051%
19%

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