ATTACHMENT_J.6_IEE_2018-UKR-025.pdf

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Attached to: USAID DEMOCRATIC GOVERNANCE EAST ACTIVITY
Solicitation number: 72012118R00006
Issued by: US Agency for International Development Ukraine

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RFP, ATTACHMENT J.6 IEE 2018-UKR-025

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REVISED_RFP_72012118R00006.pdf	PDF	May 11, 2018
AMENDMENT_No.01_72012118R00006.pdf	PDF	May 11, 2018
72012118R00006_FULL_ANNOUNCEMENT.pdf	PDF	Apr 18, 2018

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DCN: 2018-UKR-025

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 2 EE.BEU Standard Form: IEE.v3

The purpose of the Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity is to promote inclusive civic identity, common civic values, and a unified Ukraine by addressing the divisive impacts of Russia’s aggression, Ukrainian nationalism, and the consequences of ongoing armed conflict through increased citizen participation, improved service delivery and more responsive governance. The Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity will promote civic awareness, social entrepreneurship, citizen engagement and the benefits of reforms and European integration through community-level improvements in services and more responsive local governance in areas most affected by conflict and divisive influences.

2. Baseline Environmental Information

2.1. Locations Affected and Environmental Context

In the wake of Ukraine’s 2013 EuroMaidan protests and 2014 Revolution of Dignity, the country set out on a path of ambitious, European-oriented reforms to revitalize the Ukrainian economy. These include ongoing and future reforms related to anti-corruption, the pension system, the financial sector, the energy sector, public procurement, decentralization, the health system, and potentially land reform, among others. These efforts have nevertheless been hampered by Russia’s unbridled aggression in the East. In February 2014 Russia launched an unprecedented invasion into Ukraine, first illegally annexing the Ukrainian oblast of Crimea, and subsequently sending military forces into Ukraine’s Donbas region, initiating a war that has taken thousands of Ukrainian lives, induced massive population displacement, and destabilized the country’s economy.

Ukraine’s reform efforts and democratic consolidation over the past three years have been consistently undermined by a hostile Russian government seeking to maintain its traditional political, economic, and military influence through a covert war and campaign of misinformation designed to stoke mistrust in European integration and liberal democracy. The recent conflict is only the latest and most violent manifestation of pre-2014 political, economic, and social divisions rooted in the dissolution of the Soviet Union and Ukrainian independence. This combination of chronic and acute factors has now deepened into political disillusionment, weakened economic performance, slowed reforms, and increased poverty. The widening regional gap among citizen attitudes over the future of the country could fuel additional political and social crises (independent of Russian exploitation); thus, timely development support is vital to the stability of the region and the unity of the country.

The conflict in the Donbas has not only disrupted the local economies, systems of governance, and social networks between the government-controlled (GCAs) and non-government controlled areas (NGCAs), but has also exacerbated long-standing differences in the political economy of the Donbas from that of the rest of Ukraine. Support is required for the reform implementation and service delivery outcomes that are key to integrating the Donbas with the political trajectory of the rest of Ukraine, and closing the perception gap between residents there and in other regions. While an end to the occupation of the Donbas and annexation of Crimea has been elusive, plans to reintegrate both regions are under development as of the writing of this paper. This process has been less than inclusive, and is attempting to balance Ukraine’s divided political interests. Ensuring that local civil society from the Donbas and Crimea play a role in national policy towards the region and establishing mechanisms for the Government of Ukraine (GOU) to address the needs of conflict-affected groups will be essential steps in the process of reintegration.

To the extent that the NGCAs become more accessible over time, activities would expand to supporting their reintegration with the rest of the Donbas and Ukraine. In anticipation of a possible reintegration, the GOU has outlined plans for the integration of GCAs and NGCAs in the Donbas. In early 2018, the recently established Ministry of Temporarily Occupied Territories (MTOT) released an updated 15 point agenda in support of reintegration of the Donbas region, while also sponsoring the adoption of a State Target Program for the Recovery of Eastern Regions of Ukraine (STP). When the GOU restores its control over NGCAs, the Mission

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 3 would be supporting the GOU’s plans by expanding activities there, including, where relevant and possible, activity types described in this IEE.

The conflict has hastened the decline of the Donbas’ Soviet-style, interconnected heavy industries tied to the region’s political leadership. While the region’s economy has a large number of small and medium businesses, they are dependent on the success of large, heavy industry; the region’s educational and business environment is not poised to foster the type of innovation that would allow new industries and sectors to lead the necessary economic transformation. This situation has created a significant amount of anxiety among residents and is fueling their mistrust of Ukraine’s democratic reform process and European integration.

Similarly, as the conflict has disrupted the region’s governance systems, it has also provided an opportunity to change old, corrupt ways of doing business. A new class of reformers has slowly entered into public life in much of government-controlled Donbas and can be leveraged to improve service delivery and reform implementation in this heavily urban region.

2.2. Description of Applicable Environmental and Natural Resource Legal Requirements Policies, Laws, and Regulations

The project will be implemented in compliance with Ukrainian Environmental Regulations, including but not limited to:

The Land Code of Ukraine (1994; updated 2001);

Law of Ukraine “On Environmental Protection” (1991);

Law of Ukraine “On Environmental Impact Assessment” (2017);

Law of Ukraine “On quality and safety of food products and raw materials” (1998);

Law of Ukraine “On ensuring of sanitary and epidemiological safety of population” (1992);

Law of Ukraine “On labor protection” (1992);

Law of Ukraine “On Wastes” (1998);

SSS 3077-84 “Sanitary standards of permissible noise in residential and public buildings and at the residential areas”;

SSS N B V.3.2-3:2014 “Reconstruction, repair, restoration of construction objects. Guidelines for the implementation of thermo-modernization of residential buildings”;

SSN 3.3.6.037-99 “Sanitary norms of production noise, ultrasound and infrasound”;

DBN A.2.2-1:2003 “Composition and content of materials for environmental impact assessment (EIA) in the design and construction of enterprises, buildings and structures”;

DBN A.2.2-3:2014 “Composition and content of construction design documentation”;

DBN В.2.5-67:2013 “Heating, ventilation and air conditioning”;

DBN B 2.5-2006 “Natural and artificial lighting”;

DBN V.2.6.-31-2006 “Thermal insulation of buildings”;

DBN V.2.5.56-2014 “Fire protection systems”;

DSTU B.V.2.6-15:2011 “Window and door polyvinylchloride blocks. General technical requirements”;

DSTU EN 1279: 2013 “Glass for construction. Double-glazed windows”; and DSTU-N B V.2.6-146:2010 "Manual on the design and installation of windows and doors"

Any area of Ukraine currently designated as GCA is subject to these and the other Laws of Ukraine, and that both the local and national government have the capacity to enforce and improve this system, including in Donbas.

The Ecological Expertise Law remains the framework for environmental impact assessments (EIAs) that apply to policy documents, laws and regulations, and individual projects, which may have adverse impacts on the environment and/or human health in Ukraine. The executive branch has also prepared an Environmental Impact Assessment Bill in April 2012. After several iterations and public comment, it was signed into law in 2017.

Procedures provided by the EIA law became mandatory on 18 December 2017.

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 4

EIAs are part of the state ecological expertise authority; activities that require a mandatory state ecological expertise are listed in the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine (CMU) Resolution #554 (1995). The 2017 EIA law provides additional detail on two types of interventions that require EIA, including infrastructure and energy projects. The mandatory EIAs are usually conducted by registered (certified) companies wholly or partially owned and/or financed by the executive branch.

To cooperate on EIAs internationally, Ukraine ratified the UNECE Convention on Access to Information, Public Participation in Decision-making and Access to Justice in Environmental Matters (Aarhus Convention) in 1999, and signed the Protocol on Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) to the Convention on Environmental Impact Assessment in a Transboundary Context (Espoo Convention) in 2003 and ratified the Convention in 2015.

In addition to the abovementioned environmental legislation, organizations and individuals operating in Ukraine must take into account requirements of Ukraine’s State Standards covering products and production processes, State Sanitary Rules & Norms, Labor Safety Rules, European Union standards and regulations, and other relevant legislation.

Ukraine is a party to the Paris Agreement of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.

Responsibility for implementing the agreement falls to several different GOU ministries, including the Ministry of Ecology and the State Emergency Service of Ukraine (Ministry Level), among others.

2.3. Country/Ministry/Municipality Environmental Capacity Analysis

The Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources (NENR) has 234 full-time positions at the national level. There are also central offices of the State Ecological Inspectorate (SEI, 54 employees), State Agency for Ecological Investments (SAEI, 71 employee), State Water Agency (SWA, 78 employees), and State Geological & Bowels Service (136 employees). These agencies are subordinated to the NENR. The NENR also manages the State (Chernobil) Exclusion Zone Management Agency, State Ecological Academy for Postgraduate Studies & Management, as well as three research institutions and 10 government-controlled companies, which are often involved in mandatory GOU EIRs.

At the regional (oblast) level, the NENR is represented by Ecology & Natural Resources Departments of Oblast State Administrations. There are also regional (oblast) offices of each NENR-subordinated agency; for instance, the SEI has 2,746 full-time positions at the regional level, i.e. over 100 full-time positions in every oblast of Ukraine. The Ecology & Natural Resources Department of Lviv Oblast State Administration includes, for instance, two divisions: Natural Resource Use Division and Natural Resource Protection & Monitoring Division. Many municipalities also have Ecology Divisions. It is not clear at what capacity the Ecology and Natural Resource Departments in Luhansk and Donetsk are operating.

It is anticipated that many activities will not have any effect on the environment and human health. On those activities that may have some effect, the UNOPS will recommend the host government address those impacts appropriately. The GOU may in some cases be limited in their ability to mitigate environmental impacts given the instability in the Donbas region.

2.4. Sustainability Analysis

This activity will contribute to USAID/Ukraine’s existing objective aimed at more participatory, transparent, and accountable governance processes. In particular, this activity will improve citizen oversight and engagement in governance by supporting GOU adherence to the rule of law, leading to a government that is more accountable to its citizens. Ukraine’s democratic institutions will become more sustainable and democratic only when a larger portion of its population participates fully in all areas of society. This activity places a significant focus on improving this participation through more inclusive decision making and policy development via local engagement in democratic processes. Improved citizen participation and oversight, and transparency and accountability in governance processes, will improve government responsiveness to citizens’ concerns and help create an environment better suited and more sustainable for solving community development and service delivery issues.

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 5

2.5. Climate Change Vulnerability Analysis

A climate risk mitigation (CRM) screening has been conducted for the Country Development Cooperation Strategy (CDCS) for USAID/Ukraine. As directed in the Mandatory Reference for ADS Chapter 201: Climate Change in USAID Strategies, climate risks were screened for Development Objectives (DOs) and Intermediate Results (IRs) for USAID/Ukraine. The purpose of this climate risk management (CRM) screening is to identify current and future climate risks to the sectors and geographies related to USAID programming in Ukraine, and to help ensure that the strategy incorporates discussions on how it addresses these risks and how the Moderate and High climate risks are to be addressed at project and activity levels. CRM screening also helps to ensure that USAID projects and activities that will be developed to achieve the DOs and IRs outlined in the CDCS are more resilient to both current and future climate variability and change. In addition to resources exploring the political and on-the-ground context (e.g., USAID’s An Assessment of the Donbass Region of Ukraine, 2017) examining climate risk implications for specific sectors/issues (e.g., energy, agriculture, construction, health, and security), critical climate-related resources considered for this screening are noted below.

● USAID Climate Change Risk Profile: Ukraine, December 2016

● World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal: Ukraine, 2017

● Climate Forum East/NGO Working Group on Climate Change – National Climate Vulnerability

Assessment: Ukraine, 2014

● Climate Service Center of Germany Climate Fact Sheet: Ukraine, 2012

The screening also utilized a suite of available USAID project-specific resources (e.g., for the Agriculture and Rural Development Support Project; the Municipal Energy Reform Project; the Economic Opportunities for People Affected by Conflict project; and the Decentralization Offering Better Results and Efficiency program) to gain a better understanding of how climate risks could affect representative USAID/Ukraine projects and the potential relevance for climate risk management options.

This screening is conducted at the country strategy-level, with the expectation that subsequent climate risk screening will occur as part of the design process for projects and activities (e.g., at the PAD and activity-level).

Per the Mandatory Reference, the screening assigns a qualitative climate risk rating based on both the probability of a negative impact and the severity of that negative impact. For risks rated as Moderate or High, the screening also explores opportunities, risk management options, how the climate risks are addressed, and what steps may be needed to address the risks at the project/activity level.1 The climate risk management options column offer a selection of potential investments, activities, and practices to prioritize in response to the identified climate risk.

The next steps identified focus more broadly on approaches and considerations for integrating climate risks into the project/activity design phase. Such considerations would likely entail selection and integration of options noted in the climate risk management column.

This screening has determined that construction activities that may be undertaken as part of this project may be susceptible to damage resulting from changes in climatic conditions. Specific climate considerations and opportunities for risk management are included in the environmental and climate analysis in Sec 3 and Annex A of this document for further details. Additional activities described in this IEE have been determined not to be impacted significantly by climate change.

1 Please note that these additional considerations are not required for climate risks rated as Low; however, opportunities for activities rated as Low climate risk listed in Annex A should be considered as feasible.

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 6

With regard to climate vulnerability, any additional activities that may occur under the More Participatory, Transparent, and Accountable Governance Processes program area not listed in this IEE (and their anticipated effects) will be discussed with the Mission and received appropriate clearance prior to being funded by the USG.

New activities that are not approved as part of this IEE cannot be performed until they have been reviewed and approved via an amendment to this IEE. This approach will allow avoiding any significant impacts on USAID investments due to climate change associated with USAID assistance. The implementing partner (IP) will consider the effects of climate change in their design and how future impacts may influence their designs.

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 7

3. Analysis of Potential Environmental Impact

OBJECTIVE 1: Greater acceptance of a shared civic identity based on common values

Defined/Illustrative Activities Potential Impacts Potential Climate Risk Climate Risk Rating

Opportunities for Climate Resiliency

1.1 Strengthening of civic

formations in areas where civic groups are few or weak

N/A

-Political instability, social unrest and worsened economic and infrastructure conditions due to increased frequency and/or intensity of extreme weather events such as droughts, decreased water availability and quality, and increasing temperatures

-Undermined financial and economic reintegration objectives, including innovation and retooling of high-value industries, due to climate impacts on the agricultural sector, water resources, natural resources, energy and human health

-Disproportionate impacts to displaced populations from storms, droughts and heat waves based on Increased exposure and decreased access to services

-Exacerbated inequalities experienced by marginalized populations (e.g., increased vulnerability of women and children to sexual violence and abuse) during and after extreme weather events

-Interference with resettlement of ex-combatants due to property and infrastructure damage

-Exacerbated underlying conflicts and reduced citizen security in post-conflict areas due to food

Low

- Monitoring, early warning models, and response protocols in conflict areas that take climate change into account may be helpful for communicating climate change information to involved parties, including through local media warnings of severe weather events and information on how to respond.

The GOU Hydro-Meteorological Service is responsible for this monitoring throughout Ukraine, including in Donbas.

- Incorporation of climate change information in peacebuilding communication systems will help mitigate potential climate-related conflicts

- Provision of related skills for combatants to address current or predicted changes in precipitation, temperature, and storm surges will increase their adaptive capacity and resilience

- Efforts to identify and support combatants placed in highly climate-vulnerable communities can promote

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 8

Climate Risk Rating

Opportunities for Climate Resiliency and water shortages from prolonged drought

-Impacts to implementation of in-person trainings, meetings, events and capacity building activities due to extreme weather events reintegration

1.2 Development of new and

emergent civic formations among interest groups, particularly youth, with funding for micro-activities.

Micro-activities would include small-community infrastructure and community improvement initiatives such as the establishment of IT spaces, libraries, revenue-generation youth hostels, business incubator spaces, mural paintings, publishing houses, recreation space, etc.

This may include renovation services and IT equipment.

Potential for impacts to water, land, air, and human health resulting from infrastructure and rehabilitation needs

Waste management;

impacts from construction activities

-Construction workers may face increased risk of heat exhaustion or impacts of climate-related extreme events (e.g.., extreme heat events and other extreme events)

-Premature deterioration of structures/equipment, including building materials, from thermal stress, due to increased temperatures

-Damage to structures and infrastructure due to increasing frequency and/or intensity of heat waves, landslides, damages to power lines from high winds, and erosion, particularly in coastal areas

-Water damage to buildings/equipment, disruption of businesses and services and increase in maintenance and repair costs due to increased frequency and/or intensity of heavy rainfall events

-Decreased access to and utilization of constructed building and infrastructure, including potential evacuation of occupants, due to impacts on transportation routes and systems from landslides and erosion, particularly in coastal areas

High

-Increased resilience of building and infrastructure to extreme weather events could increase resilience during conflict situations

-Improving resilience of public service and health-related buildings and infrastructure (and their access) increases ability for populations to benefit from services; when services support marginalized populations, overall equity can be improved

-Demonstrating improved infrastructure and building resilience near the contact line can improve perceptions of development investment and progress

-Improved infrastructure and building resilience can increase willingness of foreign donors and investors to invest in the region

-Mechanisms developed to collect and use climate data to improve infrastructure and construction planning can used for early warning

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 9

Risk Rating

Opportunities for Climate Resiliency

-Deteriorated health and health care access due to impacts on building and access routes for health-related construction and access routes (e.g., hospitals, clinics, and water/sanitation facilities)

-Increased health and safety risk on area that undergo significant land use change (e.g., as part of public park development) due to heavy rainfall events and erosion and emergency response activities, including in support of climate risk management for other IRs. Baseline information available includes city or settlement general plans of development, road maps, topographic maps, and other locally-available data.

-Efforts to improve both national building codes and their implementation can be leveraged to increase overall sustainability and resilience for infrastructure and buildings

-Opportunities to select climate risk management activities that also reduce greenhouse gas emissions (e.g., through choice of construction materials and designs to reduce energy use)

-Pursue opportunities to leverage climate change mitigation and adaptation activities to advance post-conflict reconstruction

1.3 Support for coalitions or

initiatives linking civic actors where civic groups are numerous or well established

N/A

Low

- Monitoring, early warning models, and response protocols in conflict areas that take climate change into account may be helpful for communicating climate change information to involved parties,

1.4 Ensuring public outreach

by civic groups using

N/A

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 10

Risk Rating

Opportunities for Climate Resiliency appropriate media vectors for dissemination of success stories and project activity

-Disproportionate impacts to displaced populations from storms, droughts and heat waves based on Increased exposure and decreased access to services

-Exacerbated inequalities experienced by marginalized populations (e.g., increased vulnerability of women and children to sexual violence and abuse) during and after extreme weather events

-Interference with resettlement of ex-combatants due to property and infrastructure damage

-Exacerbated underlying conflicts and reduced citizen security in post-conflict areas due to food and water shortages from prolonged drought

-Impacts to implementation of in-person trainings, meetings, events and capacity building activities due to extreme weather events including through local media warnings of severe weather events and information on how to respond.

The GOU Hydro-Meteorological Service is responsible for this monitoring throughout Ukraine, including in Donbas.

- Incorporation of climate change information in peacebuilding communication systems will help mitigate potential climate-related conflicts

- Provision of related skills for combatants to address current or predicted changes in precipitation, temperature, and storm surges will increase their adaptive capacity and resilience

- Efforts to identify and support combatants placed in highly climate-vulnerable communities can promote reintegration

1.5 Assistance to newly

formed “business associations,” typically formed among new, medium-sized firms, to promote philanthropy and social responsibility.

Activities will include building the capacity of business association members, assisting them with advocacy efforts, organizing efforts to promote social responsibility. This may include training, expert consultations, and professional exchange visits.

N/A

1.6 Developing “cross-

generational” events where youth and older residents (not typically reached by current initiatives) come together to

N/A

-Political instability, social unrest and worsened economic and infrastructure conditions due to increased frequency and/or intensity of extreme weather events such as droughts, decreased water

Low

- Monitoring, early warning models, and response protocols in conflict areas that take climate change into account may be helpful for communicating climate change

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 11

Risk Rating

Opportunities for Climate Resiliency discuss and develop solutions to community issues availability and quality, and increasing temperatures

-Disproportionate impacts to displaced populations from storms, droughts and heat waves based on Increased exposure and decreased access to services

-Exacerbated inequalities experienced by marginalized populations (e.g., increased vulnerability of women and children to sexual violence and abuse) during and after extreme weather events

-Interference with resettlement of ex-combatants due to property and infrastructure damage

-Exacerbated underlying conflicts and reduced citizen security in post-conflict areas due to food and water shortages from prolonged drought

-Impacts to implementation of in-person trainings, meetings, events and capacity building activities due to extreme weather events information to involved parties, including through local media warnings of severe weather events and information on how to respond.

The GOU Hydro-Meteorological Service is responsible for this monitoring throughout Ukraine, including in Donbas.

- Incorporation of climate change information in peacebuilding communication systems will help mitigate potential climate-related conflicts

- Provision of related skills for combatants to address current or predicted changes in precipitation, temperature, and storm surges will increase their adaptive capacity and resilience

- Efforts to identify and support combatants placed in highly climate-vulnerable communities can promote reintegration

1.7 Work with local media

outlets (television, radio/podcasts, websites, streaming channels) to develop locally relevant information promoting a positive narrative of Ukraine’s transition, planned reforms, and countering mailing propaganda. This activity will focus on training to promote relevant local media content. It includes training, expert consultations, professional exchange visits.

N/A

1.8. Technical assistance to

local governments to use transparent procurement procedures, hold public hearings, manage citizen demands, and to use e-governance tools

N/A

1.9 Civic-based educational

initiatives to frame processes like responsive budgeting, public hearings, procurement, and decentralization in terms that are easily understood in local communities

N/A

1.10 Creation of trusted web-

based networks of professional journalists to “truth-check” propaganda and false news

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 12

Risk Rating

Opportunities for Climate Resiliency

1.11 Support for reform-

minded government officials and recruitment. The type of activities proposed include capacity building and technical assistance for local governments to use transparent procurement procedures, to manage citizen demands and community expectations. It includes training, expert consultations, professional exchange visits.

N/A

1.12 Working with local

counterparts to develop cultural events and festivals highlighting Ukraine’s heritage and common values.

Activities will include training, expert consultations, professional exchange visits.

Waste management;

impacts from event activities

1.13 Establishing

“international houses” providing meeting spaces in key locations to emphasize European values, materials, cultural influences, and interactive opportunities Establishing “international houses” may involve renovation and/or refurbishment of existing structures.

Potential for impacts to water, land, air, and human health resulting from infrastructure and rehabilitation needs

Waste management;

impacts from construction activities

-Construction workers may face increased risk of heat exhaustion or impacts of climate-related extreme events e.g., extreme heat events and other extreme events)-Premature deterioration of structures/equipment, including building materials, from thermal stress, due to increased temperatures

-Damage to structures and infrastructure due to increasing frequency and/or intensity of heat waves, landslides damages to power lines from high winds, and erosion, particularly in coastal

High

-Increased resilience of building and infrastructure to extreme weather events could increase resilience during conflict situations

1.14 Establishing capacities

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 13

Risk Rating

Opportunities for Climate Resiliency and facilities for regular, interaction between Ukrainian professionals and students with counterparts in the rest of Ukraine. Activities include small scale renovation and/or refurbishment of existing structures, including to provide handicapped access.

areas

-Water damage to buildings/equipment, disruption of businesses and services and increase in maintenance and repair costs due to increased frequency and/or intensity of heavy rainfall events

-Deteriorated health and health care access due to impacts on building and access routes for health-related construction and access routes (e.g., hospitals, clinics, and water/sanitation facilities)

-Increased health and safety risk on area that undergo significant land use change (e.g., as part of public park development) due to heavy rainfall events and erosion overall equity can be improved

-Demonstrating improved infrastructure and building resilience near the contact line can improve perceptions of development investment and progress

-Improved infrastructure and building resilience can increase willingness of foreign donors and investors to invest in the region

-Mechanisms developed to collect and use climate data to improve infrastructure and construction planning can used for early warning and emergency response activities, including in support of climate risk management for other IRs. Baseline information available includes city or settlement general plans of development, road maps, topographic maps, and other locally-available data.

-Efforts to improve both national building codes and their implementation can be leveraged to increase overall sustainability and resilience for infrastructure and

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 14

Risk Rating

Opportunities for Climate Resiliency buildings

-Opportunities to select climate risk management activities that also reduce greenhouse gas emissions (e.g., through choice of construction materials and designs to reduce energy use)

-Pursue opportunities to leverage climate change mitigation and adaptation activities to advance post-conflict reconstruction

OBJECTIVE 2: Increased participation improves Ukraine’s governance and reform processes and resolves community problems

Defined/Illustrative Activities

Potential Impacts

Potential Climate Risk Climate Risk Rating

Opportunities for Climate Resiliency

2.1 Citizen to Citizen

diplomacy at contact line crossing areas and checkpoints. Activities will include training of citizens that will take place in the GCAs and will promote interaction and communication between both sides of the contract line.

N/A

Low

The GOU Hydro-Meteorological Service is responsible for this monitoring throughout Ukraine, including in Donbas.

2.2 Improved delivery of

high-demand services for the large numbers of residents of non-government controlled

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 15

Activities

Potential Impacts

Potential Climate Risk Climate Risk Rating

Opportunities for Climate Resiliency areas crossing into government controlled territory. Activities will include administrative and social services provided to Ukrainian citizens in GCAs through trainings, best practices, or exchange travel.

These could include certificates; permits;

pensions; social security payments; social, health, and education service delivery plans; partnering with utility companies to procure equipment and materials. The activity focus will be on needs assessments, processes designs, trainings, small scale rehabilitation and refurbishment. The consumers will mostly be residents of the GCAs, although NGCA residents will also have access to these services during their visits to GCA as citizens of Ukraine.

health

-Disproportionate impacts to displaced populations from storms, droughts and heat waves based on Increased exposure and decreased access to services

-Exacerbated inequalities experienced by marginalized populations (e.g., increased vulnerability of women and children to sexual violence and abuse) during and after extreme weather events

-Interference with resettlement of ex-combatants due to property and infrastructure damage

-Exacerbated underlying conflicts and reduced citizen security in post-conflict areas due to food and water shortages from prolonged drought

-Impacts to implementation of in-person trainings, meetings, events and capacity building activities due to extreme weather events

- Incorporation of climate change information in peacebuilding communication systems will help mitigate potential climate-related conflicts

- Provision of related skills for combatants to address current or predicted changes in precipitation, temperature, and storm surges will increase their adaptive capacity and resilience

- Efforts to identify and support combatants placed in highly climate-vulnerable communities can promote reintegration

2.3 Improving access for the

disabled, LGBT, and the aged to government and community facilities

Potential for impacts to water, land, air, and human health resulting from infrastructure and rehabilitation needs

-Construction workers may face increased risk of heat exhaustion or impacts of climate-related extreme events (e.g., extreme heat events and other extreme events)-Premature deterioration of structures/equipment, including building materials, from thermal stress, due to increased

High

-Increased resilience of building and infrastructure to extreme weather events could increase resilience during conflict situations

-Improving resilience of public service and health-related buildings

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 16

Potential Impacts

Potential Climate Risk Climate Risk Rating

Opportunities for Climate Resiliency

Waste management;

impacts from construction activities temperatures

-Damage to structures and infrastructure due to increasing frequency and/or intensity of heat waves, landslides damages to power lines from high winds, and erosion, particularly in coastal areas

-Water damage to buildings/equipment, disruption of businesses and services and increase in maintenance and repair costs due to increased frequency and/or intensity of heavy rainfall events

-Deteriorated health and health care access due to impacts on building and access routes for health-related construction and access routes (e.g., hospitals, clinics, and water/sanitation facilities)

-Increased health and safety risk on area that undergo significant land use change (e.g., as part of public park development) due to heavy rainfall events and erosion and infrastructure (and their access) increases ability for populations to benefit from services; when services support marginalized populations, overall equity can be improved

-Demonstrating improved infrastructure and building resilience near the contact line can improve perceptions of development investment and progress

-Improved infrastructure and building resilience can increase willingness of foreign donors and investors to invest in the region

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 17

Potential Impacts

Potential Climate Risk Climate Risk Rating

Opportunities for Climate Resiliency

-Efforts to improve both national building codes and their implementation can be leveraged to increase overall sustainability and resilience for infrastructure and buildings

-Opportunities to select climate risk management activities that also reduce greenhouse gas emissions (e.g., through choice of construction materials and designs to reduce energy use)

-Pursue opportunities to leverage climate change mitigation and adaptation activities to advance post-conflict reconstruction

2.4 Promotion of IDP issues

such as voting rights, CTIP awareness raising, housing deficits, dangers of human trafficking, and certification difficulties with policy actors at local, regional, and national levels

N/A

-Undermined financial and economic reintegration objectives, including innovation and retooling of high-value industries, due to climate impacts on the agricultural sector, water

Low

The GOU Hydro-Meteorological Service is responsible for this monitoring throughout Ukraine, including in Donbas.

2.5 Facilitation intra-Ukraine

exchanges of civic activists, students professionals, local government leaders, and economic actors

Ukraine/Ukraine Democratic Governance East Activity 18

Potential Impacts

Potential Climate Risk Climate Risk Rating

Opportunities for Climate Resiliency

2.6 Facilitated advocacy

campaigns by groups such as IDPs, business leaders, community key influencers and students highlighting their interests to policy-making actors and institutions at oblast, regional, national levels

N/A resources, natural resources, energy and human health