Integrating adaptation and migration potential into forecasts of geographic range shifts with climate changeproject dates: 1 1 2025 through 12 31 2026AWARD purpose:climate change is rapidly altering…

Active Cooperative Agreement Awarded Last action

Award ID
G25AC00109
Recipient
Awarding agency
Obligated
$195,153

Award facts

Completion date 90% complete
Place of performance
Minnesota, USA

Award details come from USAspending.gov.

Description

Activities
This project will develop predictive models of range shifts with climate change for one native plant species (paper birch) and one invasive species (common tansy) in minnesota, U.S.A. These predictive models will account for local adaptation across the range of each species by incorporating data from manipulative experiments that simulate climate change in four parts of minnesota. Data from those experiments will provide information on how genotypes from across the state respond to changes in temperature and precipitation that have been predicted under climate change. Predictive models will also account for the potential for species to migrate across landscapes that have been altered by human activity.deliverables and expected outcomes:this project will identify locations where range shifts could occur and where they might be limited by habitat fragmentation. In addition, the modeling framework will help to identify areas where habitat enhancements for connectivity could promote invasion. The project will provide detailed maps that forecast the distribution of suitable habitat for both paper birch and common tansy under different climate change scenarios. The project will also produce maps that identify geographic regions where migration potential strongly limits range shifts and where efforts to improve habitat connectivity will be most impactful.intended beneficiary(IES):the project will result in products that can be used directly by land managers at state and regional agencies. The results of this work will also be submitted to peer-reviewed journals for publication. The research will benefit from consultation with partners at the u. Of minnesota, the nature conservancy, and midwest climate adaptation science center tribal resilience liaisons.
Subrecipient activities
N A

Transactions

Action Obligated Date
Amendment $0
Original award $195,153

Quick answers

Who received award G25AC00109?

G25AC00109 was awarded to Regents Of The University Of Minnesota by Office of Acquisitions and Grants (US Geological Survey) on January 1, 2025.

How much is award G25AC00109 worth?

$195,153 has been obligated on G25AC00109.

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