Rafael DIX Carneiro

Rafael DIX Carneiro, a sole proprietor based in Durham, North Carolina, delivers global macroeconomic modeling, labor market analysis, and international trade economic consulting exclusively to the International Trade Commission as a prime contractor on sole-source purchase orders and definitive contracts, with no set-aside designation and no subcontractor engagement.

Rafael DIX Carneiro operates as an unincorporated sole proprietorship specializing in economic research and international trade analysis. All six awards in the source data are prime contracts with the ITC, totaling $118 thousand in combined potential value, all executed on a firm fixed-price or labor-hour basis with performance in Washington, D.C. The vendor's capability footprint centers on quantitative macroeconomic modeling, labor transition datasets, trade-impact analysis, and advisory services supporting the Commission's statutory trade regulation and economic policy functions. Representative work includes a $19,800 definitive contract awarded August 10, 2026, for global macroeconomic modeling and training running through May 31, 2027; a $40,000 purchase order from October 2023 through September 2024 for labor transitions datasets supporting trade-related employment analysis; and a $17,875 purchase order from August 2023 through July 2025 for advisory services on international trade and economic analysis. All awards cite sole-source justification under FAR 6.302-1, citing Rafael DIX Carneiro's role as the original developer of proprietary datasets and estimation techniques not publicly available.

Customer concentration is absolute: the International Trade Commission accounts for 100 percent of awards and 100 percent of combined potential value across the six-award footprint. Award frequency is sparse and consistent — one award per year from 2021 through 2023, then a gap until 2025 and 2026, suggesting episodic engagement tied to ITC's analytical priorities rather than sustained contract volume. One award with combined potential value of $20 thousand faces ultimate completion within the next twenty-four months, representing the sole recompete exposure in the near term.