Support Services to Conduct Risk Analysis in Support of the U. S. Coast Guard Office of Performance Management and Assessment (DCO-81) and Domestic Port Security Evaluation Division (CG-PSA-2

Past Recompete Updated

Agency
Solicitation expected
Estimated value
$20,000,000 to $50,000,000
Set-aside
No set-aside

Forecast facts

Anticipated award
Through
Acquisition strategy
Follow-on to Existing Contract
NAICS code
541611 Administrative Management and General Management Consulting Services
Place of performance
Washington DC, DC
Forecast number
F2025068857
Points of contact

Forecast details come from DHS's Acquisition Planning Forecast System. Agencies' dates and values are estimates.

About this forecast

The U.S. Coast Guard is recompeting a firm fixed price Blanket Purchase Agreement for support services to conduct quantitative risk analysis in the maritime domain, with solicitation release on June 30, 2026 and estimated award on August 18, 2026. The contractor will support the Maritime Security Risk Analysis Model to evaluate security risks to Critical Infrastructure and Key Resources from terrorist threats and the Risk Based Maritime Security Response Operations optimization tool to analyze law enforcement asset missions and maritime security operations. Work includes risk modeling using threat, consequence, frequency, and vulnerability factors to inform resource allocation and policy decisions across the Coast Guard and external federal, state, and local stakeholders.

The estimated award value ranges from $20 million to $50 million with a five-year period of performance from August 18, 2026 through August 17, 2031. Work will be performed in Washington, DC and will support the Office of Performance Management and Assessment (CG-DCO-81), Maritime Security Anti-terrorism Division (CG-MSR-1), and Domestic Port Security Evaluation Division (CG-PSA-2). Mark Willis is the primary point of contact at mark.a.willis2@uscg.mil or (202) 372-1164, with additional coordination through SBS Coordinator Mark Solomon at mark.k.solomon2@uscg.mil or (571) 610-6114.

Forecast text

The purpose of this Blanket Purchase Agreement (BPA) is to quantitatively assess, measure and communicate risk in the maritime domain from all threats and hazards to support risk management efforts owned or initiated by the Deputy Commandant of Operations (DCO). This BPA combines all strategic operational risk analysis initiatives currently conducted for the DCO under a single framework supporting strategic planning and program management.

The BPA will primarily support two (2) initiatives in place to assess and model maritime risk: the Maritime Security Risk Analysis Model (MSRAM) and the Risk Based Maritime Security Response Operations (RBMSRO) optimization tool. Other operational risk assessments and enterprise risk management efforts are also expected to leverage this BPA.

Supporting the MSRAM includes determining security risk to Critical Infrastructure and Key Resources (CIKR) from terrorist attacks that could have significant national and international impacts. CIKR are assets, systems, and/or resources essential to the economy, public health, safety, and security of the nation. Examples of CIKR covered in this BPA are port infrastructure and systems, waterways, vessels and facilities, petroleum products, liquefied natural gas, nuclear material, cargo and tank vessels as well as other vessels, sites and structures designated as CIKR. Maritime CIKR (MCIKR) patrol is operationalized through the key port areas (KPA) patrol concept and the Risk Based Maritime Security Response Operations (RBMSRO) tool. Supporting the RBMSRO optimization tool includes effectively analyzing USCG PWCS missions accomplished by law enforcement assets; providing USCG with a means to plan, execute, and report Maritime Security Response Operations activities. In addition, this BPA will support the enhancement of risk communication using existing information technology in the USCG and Federal Government enterprise.

Determining risk shall be accomplished by assessing risk factors such as threat, consequence, frequency and vulnerability using computer models. The risk models will address these factors taking into account awareness, prevention, protection, response, recovery and resiliency. The analysis of the security risk results can be integrated into other strategic, operational, and tactical programs to allow for risk-informed decisions in resource and personnel allocation to reduce risk both nationally and abroad. The information from the risk models feeds decision makers within the USCG and external customers at the local, state, and federal levels to inform resource allocation, policy, and budget decisions. The Office of Performance Management and Assessment (CG-DCO-81), the Maritime Security Anti-terrorism Division (CG-MSR-1), the Office of Port and Facility Compliance and the Domestic Port Security Evaluation Division (CG-PSA-2) will require Contractor support to assist with these efforts.

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