Calibration of HCM's Capacity Adjustment Factors (CAFs) Utilizing Multi-Scale Longitudinal and Lateral Automated Vehicle Trajectories
Forecast New Requirement Updated
- Agency
-
Department of Transportation
- Solicitation expected
- Estimated value
- $1,000,000 to $1,900,000
- Set-aside
- No set-aside
Forecast facts
- Anticipated award
- Not on record
- NAICS code
- 541990 All Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
- Forecast number
- 52060
- Points of contact
-
- Hyungjun Park hyungjun.park@dot.gov
Forecast details come from the GSA Acquisition Gateway. Agencies' dates and values are estimates.
About this forecast
The Department of Transportation is procuring empirical calibration of the Highway Capacity Manual's Capacity Adjustment Factors using real-world automated vehicle trajectory data to support federal 20-year highway traffic forecasting requirements. The work addresses the lack of verified data on how automated vehicles impact traffic flow, with a solicitation estimated to release on December 30, 2026, as a sole-source definitive contract.
The estimated award range is $1.0 million to $1.9 million. The Federal Highway Administration is the funding organization. Hyungjun Park, Automation Program Manager at the U.S. Department of Transportation, is the point of contact (hyungjun.park@dot.gov).
Forecast text
To prevent severe investment risks, this project will empirically calibrate the Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) using real-world data for accurate, reality-based planning. Federal law requires 20-year highway traffic forecasts, but agencies lack verified data on how automated vehicles (AVs) impact flow.
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