W912BV26CX100_Presolicitation Notice_Prado Hyrdoforecast.pdf

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Prado Dam Spillway Hydroforecasting Services
Solicitation number
W912BV26CX100
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This is a Pre-Solicitation Notice for hydro-forecasting software implementation supporting the Prado Dam Spillway Modification Project in Corona, California, issued by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers – Tulsa District. The notice is informational only and does not constitute a solicitation for quotes; no contract will be awarded from this notice and no reimbursement will be provided for response costs.

The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers seeks to award one sole-source, firm-fixed-price contract under Simplified Acquisition Procedures (RFO/FAR Part 13) for an estimated period of performance of five years. The project value is estimated between $25,001 and $350,000. The contractor must provide an AI-powered hydro-forecasting platform delivering streamflow forecasts across multiple time horizons: short-term (10-day), seasonal (90-day), and annual (daily, 1-year). Required deliverables include forecast points at the inflow to Prado Dam, historical reforecasts in CSV format for validation, extended quantiles for full hydrograph prescription at each model timestep, and probabilistic confidence intervals. The platform must combine AI-powered hydrological and meteorological forecasts with traditional models to accurately predict rainfall events and basin inflow volumes for emergency protective measures during construction. The North American Industry Classification System code is 513210 with a small business size standard of $47.0 million. The anticipated solicitation issuance date is September 1, 2026, with a quote due date of September 15, 2026.

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Pre-solicitation Notice For

Prado Dam Spillway Modification Hydroforecasting Services Tulsa District

This is a PRE-SOLICITATION NOTICE for the implementation of hydro-forecasting software in support of the Prado Dam Spillway Modification Project in Corona, California. THIS

IS NOT A SOLICITATION FOR QUOTES AND NO CONTRACT WILL BE AWARDED

FROM THIS SYNOPSIS. No reimbursement will be made for any costs associated with providing information in response to this pre-solicitation notice or any follow up postings.

The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers – Tulsa District has been tasked to solicit for and award a contract for the implementation of hydro-forecasting software to support the Prado Dam Spillway. The proposed project will be a sole source, firm-fixed price contract procured in accordance with RFO/FAR part 13, Simplified Acquisition Procedures. This will be a restricted procurement that will result in the award of one (1) contract.

Project Description:

The purpose of this work is to provide streamflow forecasts across short-term (10-day), seasonal (90-day), and annual (daily, 1-year) horizons to enable informed risk-informed decision making.

This streamflow model / forecast should contain forecast points at the inflow to Prado Dam, inclusion of historical reforecasts for validation period delivered in CSV files, extended quantiles to enable prescription of the full hydrograph at each model timestep, and clear probabilistic confidence intervals for each forecast point.

The model should provide AI powered hydrological and meteorological forecasts in conjunction with traditional models. The AI-powered platform will be expected to deliver precise, multi-horizon streamflow forecasts, from hourly to annual, leveraging deep hydrologic expertise. Its core value lies in accurately predicting rainfall events and basin inflow volumes that could necessitate emergency protective measures within our construction project’s action plan, which mitigates risks to personnel and infrastructure.

The value of this project is estimated to be greater than the Micro-Purchase Threshold of $25,000 but will not exceed the Simplified Acquisition Threshold of $350,000.

The North American Industry Classification System code for this procurement is 513210, which has a small business size standard of $47.0M. This requirement will be solicited as a sole source.

Estimated period of performance is 5 years.

Anticipated solicitation issuance date is on or about 1 September 2026, and the estimated quote due date will be on or about 15 September 2026.

Pre-solicitation Notice
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