noaa-nws-nwspo-2016-2004713 ffo report.pdf

TABLE OF CONTENTS

I. Funding Opportunity Description 4

A. Program Objective 4 B. Program Priorities 7 C. Program Authority 10

II. Award Information 10 A. Funding Availability 10 B. Project/Award Period 11 C. Type of Funding Instrument 12

III. Eligibility Information 12 A. Eligible Applicants 13 B. Cost Sharing or Matching Requirement 13 C. Other Criteria that Affect Eligibility 13

IV. Application and Submission Information 13 A. Address to Request Application Package 13 B. Content and Form of Application 13 C. Unique entity identifier and System for Award Management (SAM) 16 D. Submission Dates and Times 16 D. Intergovernmental Review 16 E. Funding Restrictions 16 F. Other Submission Requirements 17

V. Application Review Information 17 A. Evaluation Criteria 17 B. Review and Selection Process 18 C. Selection Factors 19 D. Anticipated Announcement and Award Dates 19

VI. Award Administration Information 19 A. Award Notices 19 B. Administrative and National Policy Requirements 20 C. Reporting 22

VII. Agency Contacts 22 VIII. Other Information 22

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 1 of 23

ANNOUNCEMENT OF FEDERAL FUNDING OPPORTUNITY

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Federal Agency Name(s): National Weather Service (NWS), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Department of Commerce

Funding Opportunity Title: Next Round of Research to Operations Initiative: NGGPS and HFIP

Announcement Type: Initial

Funding Opportunity Number: NOAA-NWS-NWSPO-2016-2004713

Catalog of Federal Domestic Assistance (CFDA) Number: 11.468, Applied Meteorological Research

Dates: Letters of Intent (LOI) are required for this announcement and must be received by 5:00 PM EST January 19, 2016. LOI’s should be submitted by email to:

christopher.hedge@noaa.gov.

Full proposals must be received by www.grants.gov, postmarked, or provided to a delivery service no later than 5:00 PM EST February 29, 2016. Use of U.S. mail or another delivery service must be documented with a receipt. Facsimile or electronic mail applications will only be accepted from federally funded educational institutions such as the Naval Postgraduate School. Please note: validation or rejection of your application by grants.gov may take up to 2 business days after submission. Please consider this process in developing your submission timeline.

Funding Opportunity Description: This program announcement is for projects to be conducted for a two-year period with an anticipated start date of September 1, 2016 unless otherwise directed. Eligible applicants are institutions of higher education and federally funded educational institutions such as the Naval Postgraduate School.

The purpose of the NOAA Research to Operations (R2O) Initiative is to expand and accelerate critical weather forecasting research to operations to address growing service demands and increase the accuracy of weather forecasts. This will be achieved through: (1) accelerated development and implementation of improved global weather prediction models, and inclusion of the coupling of atmosphere, ocean, wave, land surface and ice system components; (2) improved data assimilation techniques; (3) nested regional prediction capabilities; (4) improved hurricane and tropical cyclone modeling techniques; (5) improved ensemble techniques; (6) post-processing forecast tools and techniques; and (7) improved software architecture and system engineering.

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 2 of 23

The NOAA R2O Initiative is soliciting proposals for projects involving applied science, modeling and/or data assimilation that support development of the Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) at global and regional scales. The NOAA R2O Initiative is also soliciting proposals for the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP) initiative to engage and coordinate hurricane research required to improve operational hurricane forecasts to meet societal requirements to effectively mitigate economic disruption. This notice provides guidelines for submission of proposals. This notice also describes opportunities and application procedures to demonstrate capabilities that have the potential to be incorporated into operational NWS numerical weather prediction (NWP) analyses and forecasts. The R2O initiative addresses NOAA's Weather Ready Nation (WRN) strategic goal and supporting objectives.

The Program also represents an NOAA/NWS effort to foster a cost-effective transition from basic and applied research to operations and services through collaborative research and developmental testing between institutions which have expertise in the environmental sciences and operational forecast scientists. These activities will engage researchers in applied research of interest with the operational meteorological community and will improve the accuracy of forecasts and warnings of environmental hazards by applying scientific knowledge and information to operational products and services.

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 3 of 23

FULL ANNOUNCEMENT TEXT

I. Funding Opportunity Description

A. Program Objective

Weather-Ready Nation (WRN) seeks to ensure a society that is able to prepare for and respond to environmental events that affect safety, health, the environment, the economy, and homeland security. Recent record-breaking snowfall, temperatures, drought, flooding, tornadoes and hurricanes have combined to inflict the greatest number of multi-billion dollar weather disasters in the Nation’s history. Devastating impacts of extreme events can be reduced through improved readiness, which is why NOAA’s National Weather Service (NWS) established the WRN initiative to further reduce the Nation’s weather-related vulnerabilities.

Despite NWS’ consistent and solid performance, further efforts are required to mitigate the loss of life and property resulting from extreme and other high-impact weather events.

Investment into an integrated, holistic, and probabilistic approach to service delivery with improved accuracy, lead time and confidence will strengthen our ability to mitigate the effects of significant weather events. Incorporation of targeted scientific developments and state-of-the-art technology into service delivery will allow stakeholders to better understand the likelihood of severe environmental events and improve their ability to effectively respond.

The purpose of the NOAA Research to Operations (R2O) Initiative is to expand and accelerate critical weather forecasting research to operations to address growing service demands and increase the accuracy of weather forecasts. This will be achieved through: (1) accelerated development and implementation of improved global weather prediction models and inclusion of the coupling of atmosphere, ocean, wave, land surface and ice system components; (2) improved data assimilation techniques; (3) nested regional prediction capabilities; (4) improved hurricane and tropical cyclone modeling techniques; (5) improved ensemble techniques; (6) post-processing forecast tools and techniques; and (7) improved software architecture and system engineering.

The R2O Initiative supports the expansion and acceleration of R2O activities associated with improving weather forecasts through improvements to NOAA’s operational environmental prediction suite. Targeted improvements in the suite will result in multiple weather forecast service improvements. NWS has established the following objectives to accelerate weather forecasting skill:

• A Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) that meets the evolving national

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 4 of 23 prediction requirements

• Effective assimilation of environmental observations at global and regional scales

• A software architecture and engineered system that maximizes the benefit from high performance computing (HPC) and enabling quicker transition of internal and external research to operations

• Hurricane forecast models, such as the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast System (HWRF), which meet societal requirements to effectively mitigate economic disruption

• High-impact and storm-scale weather forecast models to meet WRN objectives to effectively mitigate impacts of severe weather, flash floods, winter weather, severe convection, aviation weather and fire weather

To achieve a world class global predication system and improve hurricane prediction, NOAA plans to:

• Advance physical parameterizations for multiple scales to improve deterministic and probabilistic forecast guidance and explicitly account for uncertainty in parameterization formulation and in sub grid-scale quantities to enable physically-based diversity formulation in ensemble prediction

• Increase resolution of key environmental models to improve the specificity of forecasts

• Improve coupling between component models such as atmosphere, ocean, land surface, ice, and coastal prediction systems

• Enhance ensemble prediction systems through the development of more physically based stochastic parameterizations, and through the development of methods that facilitate the extension of NOAA’s global ensemble prediction system to 30 days (e.g., treatments of the effects of land- and ocean-surface uncertainty)

• Develop advanced data assimilation methods for increased usefulness of observations of large and vortex scale circulations at global and regional scales, especially for specific storms such as hurricanes in both global and high resolution (e.g., regional) hurricane modeling systems

• Develop effective nested modeling capabilities for storm-scale forecasts, with post-processing tools and techniques to provide effective decision support for high-impact weather

• Implement advanced scale-aware and stochastic physical parameterization schemes for accurate representation of multi-scale interactions in variable resolution global-to-local scale models

• Develop advanced high resolution ensemble based hurricane prediction systems and post-processing techniques to increase utility of numerical hurricane guidance for forecast applications

• Conduct data impact studies of future observing systems such as the next-generation

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 5 of 23 satellites to enable both rapid incorporation of future observing systems data and guide observing systems strategies and requirements

• Build a high-performance, flexible software infrastructure to increase ease of use, performance, and interoperability

• Investigate effective use of emerging HPC technologies; simplification of software structure; and a community-based model infrastructure which will streamline the incorporation of proven research advances into operations

• Develop, test, and apply methods for improving next-generation global reanalyses

• Refine post-processing methods for key variables such as surface temperature, winds, precipitation, and precipitation type, and develop and implement post-processing methods for other variables in the NWS National Digital Forecast Database such as wind gusts, snow amount, and ice accumulation. Develop post-processing methods for the 15-30 day period and the data sets needed to support them (retrospective surface analyses and re-forecasts)

• Develop effective diagnostic packages that can be used as tools for model development, model evaluation, and model inter-comparison

Successful projects are expected to demonstrate capabilities that have the potential to provide promising near term improvements to NOAA’s operational environmental prediction suite. This would be accomplished by NOAA personnel through transition of applicable and transferable research modeling and data assimilation applications into development of NGGPS, operational hurricane forecast models and/or operational assimilation of environmental observations within two-three years after completion of the funding period.

Projects to be funded will involve both research and operational environmental models and data assimilation techniques. Proposals that involve model or data assimilation development should include a plan for testing and evaluating the new capabilities. A hierarchy of testing should be proposed, ranging from demonstration of at least comparable performance to existing model capabilities, to case studies, to multi-season tests to demonstrate achievement of benchmarks in objective, subjective and engineering readiness required for transition to operations. The latter comprehensive tests can be conducted by NWS in collaboration with the Principal Investigator (PI). Preference will be given to those proposals that include interactions with NCEP modeling centers, demonstrate adequacy of the metrics proposed for testing and evaluation, and quantify potential impact of the project on NCEP’s operational predictions (see Evaluation Criteria 1 and 3). NCEP is currently developing updated documentation for its global model and a preliminary version of this documentation will be made available to PIs. NCEP is developing a more user-friendly interface for running experiments with its operational models. Access to this interface will be provided to PIs as it becomes available.

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 6 of 23

B. Program Priorities

Through this announcement, applications are sought for two individual competitions:

NGGPS and HFIP. Preference will be afforded to applicants who are proposing to work in partnership with NCEP modeling centers.

1. NGGPS competition priorities

A companion Federal Funding Opportunity (FFO: NOAA-NWS-NWSPO-2016-2004610) includes a specific call for proposals in collaboration with NOAA Testbeds http://www.testbeds.noaa.gov/. The companion FFO includes priorities for testing service impacts of proposed model advances for predicting high-impact weather over several key time frames for decision support.

Priorities under the NGGPS competition of this FFO are for the following specific topics which are the highest priorities related to the broader themes stated in Section A.

The priorities for the NGGPS competition are:

a. Data assimilation: This is expected to include advancements in data assimilation techniques for atmosphere, land surface, ocean and waves including hybrid (3D- or 4D-Var + EnKF) techniques suitable for global and regional models and incorporation of appropriate dynamical balances. Priority work will focus on the advancement of techniques for remotely sensed observations (e.g. cloud-impacted radiances, generation of high quality cloud analysis), improvement of forward observation models in data assimilation, observation impact studies, contributions to the development of eddy-resolving global ocean data assimilation to support coupled ocean forecasts, and techniques for dealing with position errors of coherent features such as hurricanes. In addition, priority work will focus on improved quality control methods and ocean forecasts, higher-resolution land-use (vegetation) and soil type data sets, and increased use of near-real time land data sets, e.g.

green vegetation fraction, surface albedo, emissivity and skin temperature, snow cover/depth, soil moisture, surface freeze-thaw condition, with formal land data assimilation of e.g. soil moisture and snow data; corresponding Noah land model physics upgrades will accompany the use of these land data sets.

b. Prediction: This is expected to include advancements in the representation of atmospheric model dynamics that is efficient and adaptable to future operational architectures. The priorities for the physical parameterization development will focus on the advancement in representation of atmospheric model physical processes through coupling with land surface, ocean, waves, sea ice and aerosols. Development of physically based parameterizations will be a priority, particularly using scale aware, non-local, stochastic, and/or PDF-based

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 7 of 23 approaches to represent clouds, radiation, shallow and deep convection, boundary layer, surface fluxes, and include representation of aerosols and their interactions with radiation and precipitation. Parameterizations will need to be computationally efficient and amenable for applications that span a wide range of spatial scales from cloud and convective permitting resolutions (~1 km) to horizontal resolutions used in climate applications (~100 km). Parameterizations should explicitly account for uncertainty in their formulation and in subgrid-scale quantities to enable physically-based diversity formulation in ensemble prediction. Development and testing of advanced parameterizations is encouraged, e.g.

higher order turbulence parameterizations and microphysics schemes accounting for cloud distribution or additional predictive variables, such as second moment schemes. Priority efforts in ocean prediction will contribute to the development of a coupled atmosphere-ocean-wave-sea ice forecast system for 1-30 day weather and extended-weather forecasts.

This includes globally-distributed hurricanes, global and regional surface fluxes, and atmosphere-ocean coupling. Priority efforts in wave prediction will contribute to coupling of waves with atmosphere and ocean boundary layer. Additional priorities for advancements to be included in NGGPS include representation of sea ice concentration and thickness and representation of land surface.

c. Advances in ensemble development: Priority efforts will include a focus on appropriate, physically based methods for ensemble initialization, treatment of model uncertainty in ensembles including physically based stochastic parameterizations, and treatment of the uncertainty in the coupling of the atmosphere to the land, ocean, and cryosphere.

d. Advances in post-processing: Priority efforts will include extending the current development of techniques for post-processing and downscaling model guidance of key variables, and the development of methods of post-processing particularly suited to the 15- 30 day time range.

e. Advances in verification methods: Model forecast verification is based on comparisons of forecasts with analyses and observational data sets. Priority efforts will explicitly include the uncertainties of these analyses and observational data sets in model forecast verification methods.

f. Weeks 3 and 4 products: Forecasts for this range lie at the intersection between possible enhancements in forecast skill due to the representation of atmosphere-ocean coupling and possible degradation due to biases associated with the coupling between atmospheric and oceanic models. Further, forecasts at this time range lie beyond the limit of predictability for initial value weather problems and are characterized as having a small signal and large noise.

All of these factors lead to the need to employ a multi-tool approach in order to maximize predictive skill. The priorities for this focus area include development of (i) post-processing techniques for ensembles of dynamical models, (ii) novel statistical forecast techniques, and

(iii) hybrid dynamical-statistical techniques where observed occurrence of large scale meteorological patterns (LSMPs) and their connection with probabilities for near-surface

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 8 of 23 sensible weather elements is first developed and then forecasts of the LSMPs from dynamical or statistical forecast tools are used to derive forecast probabilities of these near-surface weather elements. The focus will be on improving forecasts of precipitation and near-surface air temperature over the U.S. including studies that target the potential for outlooks of temperature and precipitation extremes. Proposals must provide a testing plan that covers a period of at least 20 years of retrospective forecasts, with a length at least 30 days and issued at least once per week in order to enable adequate evaluation of the proposed methodologies. Principal investigators funded for this program priority area are expected to coordinate their work with the Climate Prediction Center early in the process to ensure a viable path to operations.

2. HFIP competition priorities

The following specific topics are the highest priorities related to the broader themes stated in Section A. The areas for focused attention will be relevant to both coupled and uncoupled air-sea hurricane prediction systems, and will apply for use in global or regional modeling systems or both. Much of the operational community is focused on improvements to the HWRF model system. Developers are strongly encouraged to avail themselves of the HWRF code management through the subversion based (i.e., tracking of current and historical versions of source code, webpages, and documentation) repository at the Developmental Testbed Center (DTC) by visiting http://www.dtcenter.org/HurrWRF/users. Accordingly, proposals with a strong promise of results providing improvements to the HWRF model system will receive more favorable reviews.

The priorities for the HFIP competition are:

a. Advances in data assimilation techniques for hurricane NWP including hybrid (3D- or 4D- Var + EnKF) techniques using in-situ data (e.g., airborne Doppler radar data, lidar, SFMR, dropsonde) to supplement next-generation satellite data (e.g., NASA NPP, A-Train, CloudSat, AIRS, AMSU, AQUA MODIS, COSMIC, and NOAA JPSS and GOES-R, etc.)

for accurate three-dimensional description of the tropical cyclone circulation in advanced high-resolution hurricane initialization procedures.

b. Advances in the hurricane and tropical storm prediction subsystem, especially reducing hurricane intensity errors and improving the predictions for rapid changes in intensity.

Priority work will include new and/or enhanced techniques suitable for (i) high resolution (e.g., scales less than 3 km) model physics focused on microphysical improvements that can more accurately represent moist processes in the hurricane core, land-air-sea-wave-aerosol interactions, and boundary layer processes; (ii) high resolution vortex initialization techniques; and (iii) downstream applications for landfalling storms for improved size, Federal Funding Opportunity Page 9 of 23 structure, rainfall, surge and inundation forecasts.

c. Development of high resolution ensembles to improve hurricane forecast guidance. This effort should demonstrate the value of high resolution single model or multi-model ensemble approaches or a combination of both techniques.

d. Development of post-processing techniques that increase hurricane forecaster utility of tropical cyclone forecast guidance for genesis, track and intensity.

C. Program Authority

Authority for this program is provided by the following: 15 U.S.C. 313; 49 U.S.C.

44720 (b); 33 U.S.C. 883d; 15 U.S.C. 2904; 15 U.S.C. 2934

II. Award Information

A. Funding Availability

Funding amounts (including renewal amounts) and duration are subject to change based on budgetary and performance considerations. Only one proposal per principal investigator at a given institution may be funded. The Federal Program Officer can reduce, in consultation with the R2O Project Officer, the amount allocated for any award due to budgetary or programmatic considerations.

Proposals will be supported by a partnership between the NOAA Research to Operations (R2O) initiative, the national Earth System Prediction Capability (ESPC) project, and the Navy Office of Naval Research. Some proposals that have not been selected for funding under this announcement of opportunity may be asked to re-submit their applications via grants.gov to partner agency programs for funding. Selected investigators are expected to contribute to national ESPC activities.

1. NGGPS

For the NGGPS competition, the total funding amount available for all proposals is anticipated to be approximately $2,000,000. Funding is subject to availability. The maximum award that can be requested is $200,000 total cost per year per proposal.

Proposals over $200,000 per year will be returned to the applicant and rejected. Individual award amounts are expected to range from $100,000 to $200,000 per year with a maximum funding request of two years. Approximately 12 awards are expected.

2. HFIP

For the HFIP competition, the total funding amount available for all proposals is anticipated to be approximately $600,000. Funding is subject to availability. The maximum award that

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 10 of 23 can be requested is $200,000 total cost per year per proposal. Proposals over $200,000 per year will be returned to the applicant and rejected. Individual award amounts are expected to range from $100,000 to $200,000 per year with a maximum funding request of two years.

Approximately 4 awards are expected.

B. Project/Award Period

This program announcement is for projects to be conducted for a two-year period with an expected start date of September 1, 2016 unless otherwise directed. When a proposal is approved, funding will initially be provided for only the first year of the program. If an application is selected for initial funding, the R2O Initiative has no obligation to provide additional funding in connection with that award for the following year. Funding for the following years is at the discretion of the R2O Initiative managers, and can be adjusted (increased or decreased) individually. It will be also be contingent upon satisfactory progress in relation to the stated goals of the proposal to address specific science needs and priorities of the R2O Initiative, and subject to the availability of funds. Applications must include a sufficiently detailed scope of work and a detailed budget for the entire multi-year award period. Semi-annual progress reports will be required from the PI’s as well as a final closeout report. The program office can also request additional reports. Selected proposals may be reviewed by an R2O panel yearly at the discretion of the Project Officer to assess progress, funding constraints, and impact on the R2O priorities listed in this funding opportunity.

Continuation review is based on the following criteria: (1) degree of progress toward meeting the original milestones in the proposal timeline; and, (2) the potential for completing testing and evaluation or providing evidence of potential contribution to the progress of reaching HFIP goals and/or development of NGGPS by the end of the second year. Given a favorable review, each project may be funded for second year. In certain situations, circumstances material to the stated objectives of the proposal may change sufficiently to require a modification to some aspect of the original proposal. The awardee may be asked by the R2O program office to address these concerns, and the program office will evaluate the adequacy of the awardees' response.

A project reaches its completion in one of two ways. A multi-year project may end after approximately one year if the R2O Program Manager (with input from the review panel) decides, as described above, that insufficient progress has been made to justify continuation of the project into year two. A funded project would end successfully with the submission by the principal investigator(s) of a final report at the conclusion of the original agreed-upon project duration that convincingly shows the potential of research to contribute to the progress of NGGPS or HFIP goals, and be described in a manuscript for a peer-reviewed

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 11 of 23 publication within two-three years after completion of funding.

C. Type of Funding Instrument

The funding instrument for non-Federal applicants will be a Cooperative Agreement.

NOAA cooperative research activities provide financial support to enhance the public benefits to be derived from these research activities and engage NOAA scientists and other personnel for frequent consultation and advice. Preference will be given to those proposals utilizing operational NWP models, operational forecast products and services that include interactions with NCEP scientists and/or NOAA scientists, demonstrate adequacy of the metrics proposed for testing and evaluation, and quantify the potential impact of the project on NCEP’s operations. Preference will be afforded to applicants who are proposing to work in partnership with NCEP modeling centers (see Sections V.A.1. and V.A.3.).

NOAA envisions that project testing and evaluation will involve close collaboration, facilitated by the NWS staff, between program-funded researchers and operational center forecasters and point(s) of contact. For example, operational forecasters may actually run or utilize output from the experimental technique during their operational shifts or at other times, and they may then provide direct feedback to the researchers for possible modifications.

If the applicant is a university that has a NOAA Joint or Cooperative Institute (CI), the institution is encouraged to submit a proposal on behalf of the CI. The proposal must specify the name of the CI, its award number, and the NOAA-approved research theme applicable to the work to be performed in the proposal’s project narrative. The proposal will use the facilities and administrative rate (F&A or Indirect cost rate) associated with the main CI award.

If the proposal is selected for funding, NOAA will notify the university that a separate competitive award will be issued with its own award number. However, the competitive award will include a Special Award Condition (SAC) that evidences the link between it and the CI award. The SAC would provide that: (1) the university has submitted the proposal on behalf of the CI; (2) the existing university/NOAA Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) will be incorporated by reference into the terms of the competitive award; and (3) any progress report(s) for the competitive award must follow the timetable of and be submitted by the CI directly to the funding program. Copies of these progress reports will be attached to the CI’s performance report as an appendix.

III. Eligibility Information

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 12 of 23

A. Eligible Applicants

Eligible applicants are institutions of higher education and federally funded educational institutions such as the Naval Postgraduate School. This restriction is needed because the results of the collaboration are to be incorporated in processes which ensure academic multidisciplinary peer review as well as federal review of scientific validity for use in operations. Federal applicants from federally funded educational institutions must demonstrate that they have legal authority to receive funds from another federal agency in excess of their appropriation. Because this announcement is not proposing to procure goods or services from applicants, the Economy Act (31 U.S.C. 1535) is not an appropriate legal basis.

B. Cost Sharing or Matching Requirement

No cost sharing is required under this program.

C. Other Criteria that Affect Eligibility

Collaboration with PIs at different universities is allowed, but there must be a single application from a lead university with subawards to the participants from other institutions.

Other arrangements will not be considered. Proposals should clearly state the role of each PI in the proposal. Except for researchers who are associate, assistant, or full professors at the Naval Postgraduate School or other federally funded educational institutions, federal government employees are not allowed to be listed as PIs or receive funding, although collaboration between the academic community and NOAA within the project is required.

While an eligible organization may submit more than one application (from different principal investigators per II.A.), the Selecting Official may require that proposals be combined to increase the cost-benefit to the public.

IV. Application and Submission Information

A. Address to Request Application Package

The standard application package is available at http://www.grants.gov.

B. Content and Form of Application

1. Letters of Intent (LOI) The purpose of the LOI process is to help expedite the proposal review activities and, therefore, is of considerable value to both NOAA and the proposer. An applicant must submit an LOI by the indicated LOI deadline in order to be eligible to submit a full application. If an LOI is not submitted on a timely basis, a full Federal Funding Opportunity

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 13 of 23 application will not be considered and will be returned to the applicant without review. The LOI should identify the Competition being targeted, principal investigator’s and co-investigators’ names and institutions, and summarize anticipated project scope and yearly budget, and be no more than 2 pages in length. For this announcement, the Program Office will not provide feedback for the Letters of Intent.

2. Applications Proposals should total no more than 25 pages in length, single spaced including the title page and abstract. The description of the project should total no more than 15 pages in length.

Descriptions exceeding the 15 page limit will only be reviewed up to the page limit. Excess material will not be reviewed and may result in the proposal receiving a lower score. It is strongly recommended that Times New Roman 12 point font, or an equivalent size, be used.

Federally mandated forms, tables of contents, and any letters of support are not included within the page count, but all other information is. Each proposal must be dated and contain page numbers.

Multi-year proposals up to a maximum of two years will be considered; however, funding beyond the first year will be strictly dependent upon satisfactory performance and the availability of funds. The starting date is expected to be September 1, 2016, unless otherwise directed by the NGGPS and HFIP Program Manager. The Program Manager may delay the start of selected awards due to budgetary or other exigent circumstances.

The application elements listed below are required before an award can be made. Failure to submit elements a, d, and e by the deadline will result in the application not being reviewed if the omissions are not corrected prior to the deadline. The program office will make an effort to notify the applicant of any omissions, but there is no guarantee this can occur prior to the application deadline. Proposals not meeting the content requirements listed in this section may be rejected and returned to the applicant. The aforementioned application elements are as follows:

a. Title Page. The title page must be officially authorized by the institutional representative.

The PIs and institutional representative(s) should be identified by full name, title, organization, telephone number, and address. Please include the correct email for the principal investigator and any other proposal manager. The title page should clearly indicate which project areas are being addressed and the total amount of requested funding per year.

Federal funds should be listed for each budget period.

b. Abstract Page. An abstract should be included and should contain an introduction of the problem, rationale, and a brief summary of work to be completed. Abstracts must identify the name of the Competition that is being targeted and must include a paragraph describing the work’s relevance to the Competition that is being targeted. The abstract should appear on

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 14 of 23 a separate page, headed with the proposal title, institution's investigators, total proposed cost, and budget period as well as the NOAA organizations sought for collaboration.

c. Results from Prior Research. The results of relevant projects supported by NOAA and other agencies should be described, including their relation to the currently proposed work.

Prior research that demonstrated the potential to favorably impact and/or successfully transition to operational environmental modeling and data assimilation system(s) should be emphasized. Reference to each prior research award should include the title, agency, award number, PIs, period of award, and total award. This section should be a brief summary and should not exceed two pages total.

d. Project Description. The proposed project must be completely described in a statement of work including identification of the problem, scientific objectives, proposed methodology that includes a testing and evaluation approach, metric(s) for success, project deliverables, and a time line with key milestones. The statement of work should also include relevance to the priorities of the R2O Initiative; maturity of science and operational applicability as described Sections I. A and I. B.; scientific merit; proposed technology transfer (if any), and cost effectiveness of research. Benefits of the proposed project to improve operational environmental forecasts should be discussed. A year-by-year summary of proposed work milestones must be included. Specific collaboration with NOAA scientists and technical personnel should be detailed. The project description should be no more than 15 pages in length. Descriptions exceeding the 15 page limit will only be reviewed up to the page limit.

Excess material will not be reviewed and may result in the proposal receiving a lower score.

e. Budget and Proposed Budget Justification. Applicants must submit a Standard Form (SF) 424, Application for Federal Assistance, including a detailed budget using the SF 424A, Budget Information--Non-Construction Programs. (The forms are available on grants.gov.)

Please pay careful attention to show the yearly budget breakout on the SF 424A for two-year proposals. In addition, the body of the proposal should include a separate table showing total and annual budgets (if multi-year) corresponding with the project description.

Additional text to justify expenses should be included as necessary. PIs are strongly encouraged to plan and budget during each year of the project for attendance of a yearly workshop at NCEP in College Park, Maryland to describe their work. At the time of submission, each competitive proposal application package submitted by a NOAA Cooperative Institute (CI) PI that has been approved by the University must include a cover letter describing the intent to incorporate the terms of the CI Memorandum of Agreement (MOA). The cover letter will specify the name of the Cooperative Institute, the current CI cooperative agreement number, and the NOAA-approved research theme and task that applies to the proposal.

f. Vitae. Abbreviated curriculum vitae are sought with each proposal. Reference lists should be limited to all publications in the last three years with up to five other relevant papers.

g. Current and Pending Support. For each investigator, submit a list which includes project

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 15 of 23 title, supporting agency with grant number, investigator months, dollar value, and duration.

Requested values should be listed for pending support.

h. This program does not require any NEPA questions to be answered as part of the application.

i. If your proposed activities do not generate any environmental data, your application is still required to have a data sharing plan. Such a data sharing plan could include the statement that “this project will not generate any environmental data”. The data sharing plan does not count towards the 15-page maximum for the project description. See section VI. B. 4. for detailed administrative and national policy requirements on the data sharing plan.

j. Also required as part of the NOAA Standard Non-Construction Application Package:

Standard Form 424B (Assurances - Non-Construction Programs), and Form CD-511 (Certification Regarding Lobbying). Standard Form LLL (Disclosure of Lobbying Activities) is optional.

C. Unique entity identifier and System for Award Management (SAM)

D. Submission Dates and Times

The deadline for receipt of proposals at the NOAA/NWS office is 5:00PM EST February 29, 2016 unless directed otherwise through a change to this announcement in grants.gov. For proposals submitted through grants.gov, a date and time receipt indication is included and will be the basis of determining timeliness. Hard copy proposals must be postmarked or provided to a delivery service no later than 5:00PM EST February 29, 2016.

Proposals received after the deadline will be rejected and returned to the sender without further consideration.

Letters of Intent are required for this announcement. LOI’s must be received by email to christopher.hedge@noaa.gov by 5:00 EST, January 19, 2016. The LOI's represent the interest by prospective applicants. An applicant must submit an LOI by this deadline in order to be eligible to submit a full application. If a LOI is not submitted on a timely basis, a full application will not be considered and will be returned to the applicant without review.

For this announcement, the Program Office will not provide feedback for the Letters of Intent.

E. Intergovernmental Review

Applications under this program are not subject to Executive Order 12372, Intergovernmental Review of Federal Programs.

F. Funding Restrictions

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 16 of 23

Funding beyond the first year will be dependent upon satisfactory performance and the continued availability of funds. No more than one award per Principal Investigator will be awarded under this competition.

G. Other Submission Requirements

Proposals should be submitted through http://www.grants.gov. For organizations without internet access, proposals may be sent to: Christopher Hedge, NOAA/NWS, 1325 East- West Highway, Room 15328, Silver Spring, MD 20910, phone: 301-427-9242, email:

christopher.hedge@noaa.gov. Letters of intent should be emailed to christopher.hedge@noaa.gov. Federally funded education institutions such as the Naval Postgraduate School must submit proposals by email to christopher.hedge@noaa.gov.

V. Application Review Information

A. Evaluation Criteria

The R2O reviewers will base their recommendations regarding each proposal upon the extent to which the following criteria (listed with assigned weights) are satisfied:

1. Importance and/or relevance and applicability of proposed project to the program goals (30 points): This criterion ascertains whether there is intrinsic value in the proposed work and/or relevance to NOAA, Federal, regional, State or local activities. For the NGGPS and HFIP competitions, this includes the following questions:

a. What is the likelihood of the proposed science activities to improve operational environmental analyses and/or forecasts?

b. Are proposed research activities easily transitioned to development of NGGPS (for NGGPS competition), to improvement of HWRF (for HFIP competition), or to enabling of effective operational assimilation of environmental observations in a reasonable time frame, e.g., within two to three years upon completion of funding?

c. What is the degree of collaboration with NCEP (Environmental Modeling Center and/or National Hurricane Center), NOAA research labs, and other NOAA personnel throughout the project?

d. What is the level of planning by researchers to test and evaluate proposed modeling advancements to meet operational model and/or data assimilation skill standards for potential transition into operations successfully and efficiently?

2. Technical/Scientific Merit (30 points): This criterion assesses whether the approach is technically sound and innovative, if the methods are appropriate, and whether there are clear

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 17 of 23 project goals and objectives. For the NGGPS and HFIP competitions, this includes:

a. What is the intrinsic scientific value and maturity of the subject and the study proposed as they relate to the specific science priorities?

b. Were focused scientific objectives and strategies, including data management considerations, and project milestones used?

3. Overall Qualification of Applicants (25 points): This criterion ascertains whether the applicant possesses the necessary expertise, experience, computing resources and administrative resources to accomplish the project. For the NGGPS and HFIP competitions, this includes:

a. Do PIs have required expertise and experience to carry out proposed work?

b. Do PIs clearly document past scientific collaborations with operational modeling scientists or operational weather forecasters that contained potential to improve operational forecasts?

c. Have past interactions with NOAA been successful?

d. Are researchers likely to maintain effective and consistent interactions with EMC, NHC, and other NWS and/or NOAA modeling scientists or operational weather forecasters throughout the course of the proposed research program?

e. Have researchers demonstrated the ability to conduct successful research?

4. Project Costs (15 points): This criterion evaluates the budget to determine if it is realistic and commensurate with the project needs and time-frame. For the NGGPS and HFIP competitions, this includes:

a. Do researchers demonstrate the ability to build upon existing expertise/capabilities?

b. Is there a high ratio of operationally useful results versus proposed costs?

5. Outreach and Education (0 points):

This criterion assesses whether the project provides a focused and effective education and outreach strategy regarding NOAA's mission to protect the Nation's natural resources. The NGGPS and HFIP competitions do not use this criterion.

B. Review and Selection Process

An initial administrative review/screening is conducted to determine compliance with requirements and for completeness. All proposals will be evaluated and scored individually by at least three professionally and technically qualified reviewers in accordance with the assigned weights of the above evaluation criteria by independent peer mail review and/or by independent peer panel reviews. Three to ten NOAA and other federal laboratories and agency experts, primarily representing operational environmental modeling, data assimilation, service improvements and forecast communities, may be used in this process.

The merit reviewers' ratings and comments are used to produce a rank order of the proposals

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 18 of 23 for final consideration by the R2O program office. A separate rank order will be produced for each competition: NGGPS and HFIP. The Selecting Official selects proposals after considering the peer panel reviews and selection factors listed below. In making the final selections, the Selecting Official will award in rank order unless the proposal is justified to be selected out of rank order based upon one or more of the selection factors that can be influenced by strategic imperatives of the R2O initiative.

C. Selection Factors

Merit review ratings shall provide a rank order to the Selecting Official for final funding recommendations. The Selecting Official shall award in the rank order unless the proposal is justified to be selected out of rank order based upon one or more of the following factors:

1. Availability of funding.

2. Balance/distribution of funds by (a) geographical balance, (b) type of institutions, (c) type of partners, (d) research areas, and (e) project types.

3. Duplication of other projects funded or considered for funding by NOAA/federal agencies.

4. Program priorities and policy factors.

5. Applicant's prior award performance.

6. Partnerships with and participation of targeted groups.

7. Adequacy of information necessary for NOAA staff to make a NEPA determination and draft necessary documentation before recommendations for funding are made to the Grants Officer.

D. Anticipated Announcement and Award Dates

Subject to the availability of funds, review of proposals will occur during March-April 2016, and funding should begin by September 2016 for most approved projects. Assumed start date for funded projects will be September 1, 2016, unless otherwise directed by the NGGPS and HFIP Program Manager.

VI. Award Administration Information

A. Award Notices

Successful applicants will receive notification that their application has been recommended for funding by the NOAA Grants Management Division. This notification is not an authorization to begin performance of the project. Official notification of funding from the NOAA grants officer is the authorization that allows the project to begin.

Notification will be issued to the Authorizing Official of the project either electronically or in hard copy. Unsuccessful applicants will be notified that their proposals were not selected

Federal Funding Opportunity Page 19 of 23 for recommendation by the program office.

B. Administrative and National Policy Requirements

1. The Department of Commerce Pre-Award Notification Requirements for Grants and Cooperative Agreements: Administrative and national policy requirements for all Department of Commerce awards are contained in the Department of Commerce Pre-Award Notification Requirements for Grants and Cooperative Agreements contained in the Federal Register notice of December 30, 2014 (79 FR 78390). A copy of the notice may be obtained at http://www.gpoaccess.gov/fr/search.html.

2. Limitation of Liability: In no event will NOAA or the Department of Commerce be responsible for application preparation costs. Publication of this announcement does not oblige NOAA to award any specific project or to obligate any available funds.

3. National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA): NOAA must analyze the potential environmental impacts, as required by the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA), for applicant projects or proposals which are seeking NOAA federal funding opportunities.

Detailed information on NOAA compliance with NEPA can be found at the following NOAA NEPA website: http://www.nepa.noaa.gov/, including our NOAA Administrative Order 216-6 for NEPA, http://www.osec.doc.gov/bmi/daos/216-6.htm, and the Council on Environmental Quality implementation regulations, http://ceq.eh.doe.gov/nepa/regs/ceq/toc_ceq.htm.