N0018919RZ086_NMRP_Scope_and_Mandatory_Requirements_.docx

This is a Sources Sought Notice from the Chief of Naval Operations - OPNAV N81 Assessments Division seeking information on potential firms qualified to provide services in support of the Naval Munitions Requirements Process (NMRP) mission.

The scope and mandatory requirements are as follows:

The scope of work required by this contract includes mathematical model development and modification, software coding, database development and management, validation and verification, data entry, requirements computation, assessment of results, development of visualization tools, documentation (including direct support for the OPNAV N81 SharePoint website), and on-call munitions inventory requirements analysis and sufficiency assessments. This effort provides the analytical base for the Department of the Navy’s (DON’s) ordnance requirements and is used for Program Objectives Memorandum (POM) / budget development, weapon program assessments and Fleet readiness assessments.

The NMRP requires several specialized technical disciplines under one service contract to successfully complete all phases; highly analytic/applied mathematics discipline, application of analytic techniques and modeling warfare concepts-of-operations, experience in the NMRP modeling suite or significant experience in mathematical modeling methods (including Monte Carlo simulation and Markov Chain sampling), data collection and analysis work in programs of similar complexity and scope, an understanding of naval weapon systems, computer science, software design, visual techniques and technical documentation.

The effort will require the Contractor to have significant experience in Navy and Marine Corps operations and particularly the determination of ordnance inventory requirements. Knowledge of warfighter concepts is essential in order to provide the proper level of support in identifying inconsistencies and making change recommendations regarding employment concepts, techniques, tactics and procedures (TTPs), threat systems and weapon performance, to name a few.

The effort under this contract is generally divided into four phases:

1. Data gathering and management: The purpose of this annual function is to review, collect and develop warfighter, programmatic and threat input data for the purposes of updating or reviewing the standing requirement and its supporting database. OPNAV N81 documents the beginning of the cycle with the issuance of the database development review (DDR) tasking order. This tasking order establishes a supporting framework of information providers throughout the naval enterprise to facilitate the broad involvement and execution of this comprehensive process. The contractor must load new or updated past-cycle data into the system software and perform multiple model runs in order to analyze and identify inconsistencies, conflicts or unusual occurrences with the methodology and assumption updates. New/evolving techniques, tactics and procedures often require the application of new mathematical expressions leading to new/modified computer code. Model output, which is at great variance from previous results, is examined in detail in order to identify the cause and rationale for the deviations. Conflicting or unsubstantiated input issues are documented for tracking purposes, stand-by positions are developed to keep the process on track while the issues are returned to the provider for resolution or the working group for adjudication. In addition to the tasking order, the NMRP team bears a significant responsibility to evaluate theater threat, intel threat estimates, threat encounters probabilities and threat exposure assessments. The contract team is responsible for maintaining the tools developed to aid the Combatant Commander, Joint Staff and military service’s scenario threat development, priority and assignment process.

2. Computation and modeling: The contractor shall develop a software development program to be applied to all software created or modified during the course of the contract. The contractor must understand the principles of applied math and computational techniques upon which the NMRP system software was designed and be able to operate and make changes to the system software modeling code. Multiple mathematical models optimize and tailor the computational techniques across the diverse mission areas of the Navy such as integrated air and missile defense (IAMD), anti-submarine warfare (ASW), surface warfare (SuW), mine warfare, maritime patrol and reconnaissance, fixed wing and rotary wing strike warfare, expeditionary warfare and close air support. All of the models will be made available to the servicing contractor in a "ready to use" status. All changes to the models and the methodologies that the contractor makes during the period of performance of the contract must be thoroughly tested and documented by the contractor and provided as a deliverable to OPNAV N81 at the completion of each cycle and at the end of the contract. Developing the operationally relevant mathematical techniques and modifying the system software code is one of the most demanding aspects of the NMRP.

3. Output presentation: The contractor must be able to: (1) precisely, effectively, and quickly display statistical data using graphs, charts, and tables, (2) transform detailed model outputs into more manageable statistics that are then available for analysis, (3) present those statistics in user-defined and user-formatted reports, and (4) develop tools to enhance the understanding and assessment of the output products, including interactive tools such as dashboards. The qualitative display of quantitative data is essential to operationalizing key information to Navy senior leadership to aid in quick and informed decision-making. Where appropriate, the contractor shall suggest ways to the Government for making the NMRP and its products more meaningful and operationally relevant.

4. Studies/assessment and analysis: As part of the OPNAV N81 POM Warfighting Capability and Capacity Assessment and Wholeness Process, the NMRP team will lead the development of a POM munitions inventory - warfighter risk assessment and a detailed “deep-dive” munitions inventory assessment. The NMRP provides munitions studies, root-cause analysis, combat load out baselines and stockpile forecasts, assessment dashboards and other analytic tools as required to support warfighter and programmatic decisions and to answer leadership questions regarding inventory requirements and warfighter risk. Often, information is needed about the impact of a possible database or assumption change. Information of this type is satisfied by modifying the approved database to incorporate the desired change and re-running the model.

Lastly, the NMRP requires constant, secure collaboration between the vendor and OPNAV N81. On day one of the contract, the service provider must possess the required security clearances, secret DoD facility clearance, and more importantly, secure connectivity with N81 (especially for large data transfers and SharePoint management). Due to the nature of the work and the volume of data generated, secret Internet protocol network (SIPRNet) connectivity will be required upon award of contract to enable the transfer of classified data between OPNAV N81 and the contractor.