Intent to Sole Source.pdf

Special Notice: Intent to Sole Source Global Economic Modeling

July 1, 2026 Contracting Office: Treasury Common Services Center (TCSC), 200 3rd St Parkersburg, WV 26101

SS-OIA-26-041

The Treasury Common Services Center (TCSC), on behalf of Office of Intelligence and Analysis (OIA)), intends to contract with Oxford Economics USA, Inc., New York, on a sole source basis. Oxford Economics USA, Inc. has developed a global forecasting and simulation model that uniquely meets OIA’s needs. This information is proprietary in nature and is not available from other sources.

OIA has a demonstrated need for a global interdependent macroeconomic model to support its analyses of an array of economic/global financial/energy/international trade topics – and indeed is required to strengthen its econometrics capabilities in FY26, based on the inclusion of OIA’s econometrics initiative in both its FY26 legislative authorization and appropriation. To enhance OIA’s ability to quantify how policies, trends, and events affect the economic interests of the United States, as well as those of our partners and adversaries, our primary need is for the customizable analysis of national and regional economies and international capital flows that Oxford’s Global Economic Industry Model provides.

OIA economists anticipate using Oxford’s model to inform our global and regional economic analysis, including by addressing key data gaps; anticipating the direct impacts of policies, trends, and events;

forecasting and evaluating indirect or collateral effects on global markets; and validating or challenging claims observed in other information channels. OIA’s analysis goes to policymakers at the highest levels of the US government.

Over the past two decades, Oxford Economics has developed a global forecasting and simulation model that uniquely meets OIA’s needs. Only a handful of firms offer similar services, and none are able to provide the coverage (85 core countries and a model extension that creates proxy models for 108 additional countries), depth (models that incorporate over 70,000 equations), and data fidelity (at least monthly updates by a team of over 550 economists) that Oxford offers.

The period of performance for the purchase order/contract is anticipated to be one 12-month base period and one 12-month option period.

NO SOLICITATION IS AVAILABLE. A request for more information, or a copy of the solicitation, will not be considered an affirmative response to this Special Notice. Telephone responses or inquiries to this Special Notice will not be accepted.

All responsible sources may submit a capability statement, proposal, or quotation, which shall be considered by the agency. Treasury Common Services Center will consider responses received no later than 07/10/2026. Responses shall be submitted electronically to starla.kalb@treasury.gov, SS- OIA-26-041 /Attn: Starla Kalb. Responses must include sufficient evidence that clearly shows your company is capable of providing the requirement described in this notice. Responses received will be evaluated; however, a determination by the Government not to compete the proposed procurement based upon responses to this notice is solely within the discretion of the Government. If no written response is received by the aforementioned deadline that clearly demonstrates an ability to meet all requirements, and that is more advantageous to the Government, Treasury Common Services Center will make award on a sole source basis to Oxford Economics USA, Inc.

NAICS: 518210

Product Service Code: 7A21

Qualified Contractors must provide the following:

1. The name and location of your company, contact information, and identify your business size (Small Business, Small Disadvantaged Business, 8(a), Service Disabled Veteran Owned Small Business, HUBZone, Women Owned Small Business, Other than Small Business etc.). Please ensure contact information includes the name of the point of contact, email address, and telephone number, should the Government have questions regarding individual responses.

2. UEI Number.

3. Specific details of the product(s) that your company offers in regard to this notice.

4. Whether your content is available through a Government contract vehicle or Open Market.

5. A brief capabilities statement (not to exceed 5 pages) that includes a description of your company's standard line of business, as well as a list of customers to whom your company currently provides the specific required content.

The following file extensions are not allowable and application materials/data submitted with these extensions cannot be considered:

.bat, .cab, .cmd, .com, .cpl, .dot, .dotx, .exe, .hqx, .hta, .mim, .mp3, .mp4, .pif, .rar, .scr, .vbs, .uu, .uue, .vbs, .wsf, xxe,.wmv, html, mhtml, and .zip files

The allowable Microsoft Office and Adobe PDF file types as follows:

Microsoft Office (.doc, .docx, .xls, .xlsx, .ppt, .pptx) and Adobe PDF (.pdf) are acceptable.

No other information regarding this Special Notice will be provided at this time.