1.02.8 Logic Model Template and How to Guide - 2026-02-12 - GRANTS ONLY - FINAL (2).docx

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Countering Terrorist Financing Flows In and Through Tajikistan
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DFOP0018078
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This file is a Logic Model How-To Guide and Template designed to assist applicants and grantees in developing logic models for counterterrorism (CT) grant programs administered by the Department of State Bureau of Counterterrorism. The guide fulfills the requirement under 18 FAM 301.4-2 that every program create a logic model articulating how program activities connect to stated CT program outcomes. The logic model comprises seven key components: Inputs (resources needed such as staff, equipment, and facilities), Activities (actions undertaken to address program needs such as trainings and provision of equipment), Outputs (direct tangible results such as participants trained or curricula completed), CT Outcomes (expected changes the program will achieve, drawn from the program's Notice of Funding Opportunity), Objectives (program objectives from the NOFO), Goals (high-level goals from the NOFO aligned with national security strategies and executive orders), Assumptions (factors that must occur for success), and Theory of Change (a brief statement explaining why the program activities will result in the expected outcomes, typically formatted as "If X activities, then Y outcomes").

The guide includes a blank template with column headers for Inputs, Activities, Outputs, and CT Outcomes/Objectives/Goals, along with sections for documenting Assumptions and Theory of Change. An illustrative example is provided demonstrating how a logic model for a prosecutions-based CT program would be structured, showing inputs such as staff and equipment, activities including training delivery and mentoring by legal advisors, outputs such as trained officials and completed curricula, and outcomes focused on adopting U.S.-approved legal standards for prosecuting Foreign Terrorist Organizations. The example includes corresponding assumptions regarding sustained threat levels and recipient country political will, and a theory of change stating that improved investigative and prosecution abilities will lead to increased terrorist suspect convictions. Applicants are instructed to incorporate program goals, objectives, and outcomes directly from the applicable NOFO into their proposals and Statements of Work.

Logic Model

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Logic Model How-To Guide This How-To Guide is designed to help CT grant applicants and grantees develop and refine logic models and theories of change. 18 FAM 301.4-2 requires every program to create a logic model to articulate how and why the program is expected to contribute to achieving the stated CT program outcomes.

The logic model documents expected linkages between program inputs, activities, outputs, and outcomes, and sets the foundation against which progress can be monitored and evaluated. It is a visual representation that maps and shows the sequence of related events connecting planned goals and objectives with desired outcomes.

This visual “map” depicts the logical relationships between the need for the program, the resources (inputs), and activities that will address those needs, what will be produced or delivered or who will be trained from these activities (outputs), and the changes/achievements deriving from these outputs (outcomes).

The logic model has several components, which are described below:

I. Logic Model: Components/Examples

Component
Explanation
Examples

Inputs What are the resources you need to carry out the program?

The resources you will need to carry out the program activities and deliverables.
· Staff

· Equipment

· Facilities

Activities What activities will be conducted to meet the needs or address the problem?

An action or process undertaken over a specific period by an organization. Activities convert inputs (resources) to products or services to achieve outputs and outcomes.

· Trainings

· Meetings

· Provision of equipment

Outputs What will be produced or delivered or who will participate in activities?

Direct products, services, equipment or other tangible results produced as a result of the activities.
· Participants

· Trainings completed

· Curricula completed

· Equipment delivered

CT Outcomes What changes do we expect the program to achieve?

The outcomes for this program should already be written into the program’s NOFO, and applicants should incorporate these into their proposal and, if the applicant wins the award, into a SOW. Please also copy and paste those into your logic model.
See “III. Logic Model: Example” below for illustrative CT outcomes.

Objectives

The objectives are written into the program’s NOFO, and applicants should incorporate these into their proposal and, if applicant wins the award, into a SOW. Please also copy and paste these into your logic model.

This will already be included in the NOFO, likely pulling from the National Security Strategy, Agency Strategic Plan 2026-2030, National Security Presidential Memorandum (NSPM)-2, Executive Orders, and/or other relevant, high-level strategies.

Goals

The goals should be written into the program’s NOFO, and applicants should incorporate these into their proposal and, if applicant wins the award, into a SOW. Please also copy and paste these into your logic model.

This will already be included in the NOFO, likely pulling from the National Security Strategy, Agency Strategic Plan 2026-2030, National Security Presidential Memorandum (NSPM)-2, Executive Orders, and/or other relevant, high-level strategies.

Assumptions What factors need to occur, or which recipients or grantees need to be involved, for the program to be successful?

Beliefs that the program and the people involved have about the ways in which the program will work. Assumptions frequently involve: the country’s political, social, economic, and security conditions; skills and knowledge level of intended recipients; organizational expertise; anticipated level of engagement by recipients, etc. If these hypotheses do not hold true, they can affect the progress or success of a program.
· Recipients will be motivated to engage in the program activities.

· Staff will have the necessary skills and knowledge to deliver the program effectively.

· Recipient country organizations will collaborate and support the program.

· Relevant policies and regulations will remain stable throughout the program duration.

Theory of Change
A brief statement that ties a logic model together by summarizing why, based on available evidence and consideration of other possible paths, the changes described in the model are expected to occur. It explains why we believe our program activities will result in particular outcomes. These can be written as “If X (activities), then Y (outcomes).”
See “III. Logic Model: Example” below for illustrative CT outcomes.

U.S Department of State Bureau of Counterterrorism February 2026

II. Logic Model: Template Use the template below to fill in each column to develop the logic model for your program.

Inputs

Activities

Outputs

CT Outcomes

Objectives
Goals

Which resources will you need to carry out the program?

Which activities will be conducted to meet the needs or address the problem?

What will be produced or delivered or who will participate in activities?

[Add from the NOFO into proposal and, if applicant wins the award, into a SOW]

What are the changes we expect the program to achieve?

[Add from the NOFO into proposal and, if applicant wins the award, into a SOW]

[Add from the NOFO into proposal and, if applicant wins the award, into a SOW]

Assumptions: Which factors need to occur, or which recipients or grantees need to be involved, for the program to be successful?

Theory of Change: Why do we think the particular changes described in our logic model are expected to occur?

III. Logic Model: Example The following is an illustrative example of a logic model intended to provide additional guidance to applicants in preparing their proposals’ logic model. Applicants should therefore view this as a reference tool rather than as a substitute to use in place of developing their own logic model.

Inputs

Activities

Outputs

CT Outcomes

Objectives
Goals

Staff Equipment Facilities Implementers Training and technical assistance activities are provided.

Needs assessment conducted.

Resident Legal Advisors, Intermittent Legal Advisors provide mentoring to recipient country officials.

Events on prosecutions across recipient country organizations are coordinated.

Priority recipient country officials complete training courses.

A curriculum is developed based on a needs assessment.

Priority recipient country officials complete mentorship.

Prosecutions (CT Standard Outcome) - Outcome 1: Adopt U.S.-approved legal standards and practices enabling the prosecution of Foreign Terrorist Organizations (FTOs) and other terrorist actors that threaten the U.S. homeland, persons, and facilities.

Prosecutions (CT Standard Outcome) – Outcome 2: Protect U.S. citizens and interests by strengthening the prosecution of FTOs and other terrorist actors, consistent with U.S.-approved legal standards and practices.

This will already be included in the NOFO, likely pulling from the National Security Strategy, Agency Strategic Plan 2026-2030, National Security Presidential Memorandum (NSPM)-2, Executive Orders, and/or other relevant, high-level strategies.

This will already be included in the NOFO, likely pulling from the National Security Strategy, Agency Strategic Plan 2026-2030, National Security Presidential Memorandum (NSPM)-2, Executive Orders, and/or other relevant, high-level strategies.

Assumptions:

The threat of terrorism affecting the recipient country and the surrounding region will remain at or near levels experienced at the start of the program.

CT, DoS, and the U.S. government will continue to prioritize CT prosecutions programming.

Recipient country’s political will in support of the program will remain strong.

Theory of Change:

If recipient country officials’ abilities to investigate and prosecute terrorist crimes are improved under a strengthened prosecutions-based legislative framework, then successful conviction of terrorist suspects will increase.

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