FDA Statistical and Mathematical Methods 2015-2016

The Food and Drug Administration established this Master IDIQ to support the Center for Tobacco Products in developing and validating mathematical and statistical methods, including system dynamics models, agent-based models, and bioinformatics analytics for text mining, and to perform statistical analysis of tobacco enforcement and compliance data under the Tobacco Control Act. Ordering closed September 9, 2020, more than five years ago; this vehicle is no longer active.

All 11 task orders went to Impaq International, LLC, the sole awardee, with no competitive opportunities available. The combined potential value of $4.8 million has been fully obligated. Task-order values ranged from approximately $105,000 (Identifying Tobacco Retailers Near Schools) to $1.3 million (High Performance Computing for Large Scale Modeling and Simulation), with most orders in the $250,000 to $450,000 range. All orders were firm fixed price and funded exclusively by the FDA Center for Tobacco Products.

Ordering activity concentrated in 2016 and 2017, with three task orders awarded each year. A single large order for high-performance computing and modeling work in 2017 represented roughly 27 percent of the vehicle's total value. Subsequent years saw sharply reduced activity—one order in 2018, one in 2019, and one final order in 2020 before the vehicle expired.

Work scopes across delivered task orders centered on statistical review and analysis of tobacco retail compliance data, identification of retailers near schools, system dynamics model development, dynamic network analysis methodology, statistical models of tobacco documents, and computational methods for large-scale modeling. All work was performed on firm fixed-price delivery orders with completion dates between 2016 and 2022.

This vehicle presents no current pursuit opportunity due to the closed ordering period and the exclusive awardee history. Firms interested in FDA tobacco product analysis capabilities may explore other contract vehicles or future solicitations for similar work.

The objective of this Master IDIQ is to support the Food and Drug Administration's (FDA) Center for Tobacco Products (CTP) in conducting a thorough scientific analysis of mathematical and statistical methods and algorithms (e.g. system dynamics models, agent-based models, and bioinformatics methods for text analytics and topic modeling), validate existing and develop new mathematical and statistical methods and algorithms, assess the overlap of data collection procedures and statistical analysis requirements, and data quality validation and statistical analyses of data resulting from CTP's enforcement activities. The fulfillment of the objectives of this contract will aid CTP in the implementation of the Tobacco Control Act.