CY08'IndustryDay'--Form82-83Completion(2).ppt
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AMC Form 82/83
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| File | Type | Posted |
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| Revision Effective 1 Apr 09 to Final FY09 Uniform Rates and Rules.pdf | ||
| Revision Effective 8 Jan 09 to Final FY2009 Uniform Rates and Rules.pdf | ||
| Revision Effective 1 Jan 09 to Final FY2009 Uniform Rates and Rules.pdf | ||
| FY09 Final Rate.pdf | ||
| HTC711-08-R-0003-0001.pdf | ||
| Atch10.doc | DOC document | |
| FY09_Atch1.pdf | ||
| SF33.pdf | ||
| FY09_Solicitation_Part 15.pdf | ||
| Atch 2-9.pdf | ||
| STATEMENT OF LEASE CONFORMANCE-FY09.doc | DOC document | |
| Solicitation Cover Letter 1 May 08.pdf | ||
| LIST OF AIRCRAFT.doc | DOC document | |
| Section K.doc | DOC document | |
| Atch8a.xls | XLS spreadsheet | |
| Proposed FY09 Uniform Rates and Rules.pdf | ||
| Revised FY09 CRAF Proposed Fuel EPA.pdf | ||
| HQAMCForms82 83.xls | XLS spreadsheet | |
| FY09PresolicitaitonBriefing14MarFINAL.ppt | PPT presentation | |
| Q A.doc | DOC document | |
| CRAFFuelIndex.ppt | PPT presentation | |
| 08R0003-Draft.pdf | ||
| FY09CRAFProposedFuelEPA.pdf | ||
| MemorandumtoProspectiveOfferors.pdf |
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Headquarters Air Mobility Command Enabling the “Global” in “Global Vigilance, Reach and Power!”
FORM 82 & 83 COMPLETION
Mr. Mark Caslen Mr. Dennis Lyon
AMC / A3BC
OVERVIEW
FY09 Changes
Highlight FY08 Requirement
The Form 82 & Form 83, and Computer Flight Plan (CFP)
SIGNIFICANT FY09 CHANGES
Mode S, EHS – “… long-range aircraft must be equipped to operate in EUROCONTROL and North Atlantic Minimum Navigation Performance Specification airspace and possess the applicable VHF, Mode S (EHS) and RVSM communication and navigation capabilities.”
| Draft Solicitation, Para. 11.b., pg 86 |
| Instructions, AMC HQ Forms 82/83, Para. 3.g., pg 3 |
Enabling the “Global” in “Global Vigilance, Reach and Power!”
SIGNIFICANT FY09 CHANGES
All Carriers – Include Certified CFP for Applicable Long-Range or Short-Range Segment
“A complete response to this solicitation shall consist of the following completed documents as applicable … associated Certified Computer Flight Plan (CFP).”
Draft Solicitation, Para 2.(10), pg 74
Long-Range (3,500 NMs) -- KPIT–EDDK Short-Range (1,500 NMs) -- KPSM–TJSJ Validate Information On Forms 82 & 83 Promised Improvements For FY09
Enabling the “Global” in “Global Vigilance, Reach and Power!”
HIGHLIGHT FY08 REQUIREMENT
Operating Weight Empty – “Include standard items, crew, equipment, and supplies necessary for standard, routine CRAF operations.”
Instructions, AMC HQ Forms 82/83, Para. 2.b.4., pg 2
“Self-Support: Contractors are allowed 3% of available ACL, by weight, for necessary self-support. For ETOPS purposes, the ACL is increased to 7.5% for aircraft committed to the AE segment.”
Atch 1, Appendix 5, Para. 3.1, pg 5-3
Atch 7 is instructions on completing the Form 82/83 Atch 1 is the Performance Work Statement
FY 08 HQ AMC FORM 82 (Front)
FY 08 HQ AMC FORM 82 (Back)
FY08 HQ AMC FORM 83
Enabling the “Global” in “Global Vigilance, Reach and Power!”
SOLICITATION
Where Is It?
Posted at FedBizOps (http://www.fbo.gov) Solicitation # HTC71108R0003
Questions
HQ AMC/A3K – 618-229-4796
HQ AMC/A3B – 618-229-1751
QUESTIONS?
UNKNOWN-0.ppt Headquarters Air Mobility Command
CRAF EMPLOYMENT
OVERVIEW
The Genesis of CRAF
Activation Process
Capability
Trends
CRAF Access to a Combat AOR (Anti-Access)
DOD Authority Over CRAF Assets
CRAF--
CAN’T GO TO WAR WITHOUT ‘EM
Supporting War-Fighter For 53 Years
War Plans Rely on CRAF:
Long Range Int’l Capability – 202+ MPM/D In Stage III
“Example” OPLAN - 52K+ STons Bulk Cargo In Stage III
Approximately 73% Pax Moved By CRAF During GWOT FY03; Approximately 93% For OEF/OIF
Great Capability – But With Limitations
CRAF has been supporting the war-fighter for over 50 years now, and the DOD heavily relies upon CRAF to execute the war plans.
Sir, you and the rest of the GOSC understand the importance of CRAF and what capabilities it brings, but before you are a couple examples
For instance, just the international, long-range segment of CRAF provides a robust capability of providing slightly over 202 million-passenger-miles per day
The cargo capability of CRAF is similarly impressive such that planners for an “example” OPLAN count on CRAF to move over 52,000 short tons of bulk cargo.
May I caution you not to be misled by these statistics? Because as impressive as they are, and as much as we rely on CRAF to execute the war plans, it all comes with limitations, which will be discussed as this brief unfolds.
THE GENESIS OF CRAF
Established 1951 – Presidential Executive Order 10219
National Airlift Policy 1987 (Presidential NSDD 280)
Recognizes That Commercial Airlift Augments Organic Military Airlift, Does Not Substitute For It
Protects Those National Security Interests Contained Within the Commercial Air Carrier Industry
Economical Method to Meet DOD Airlift Requirements in Excess of Organic Capability – But Not “Free”
DOD Funds Indemnification – War Risk Insurance
Limits to Employment Capability – Carrier Has OPCON
Transload Ops Routinely Required Based On Threat
Business Relationship – Financial Incentive for CRAF Participation
CRAF established w/ Truman Administration
Reagan Administration re-affirmed CRAF’s importance w/ 1987 Presidential Nat’l Security Decision Directive, which created the National Airlift Policy
MUST understand CRAF augments organic capability, it does NOT, nor was it ever intended to, substitute for organic capability.
Other non-direct and “non-dollar” costs to keep CRAF viable:
War Risk Insurance – DOT writes the policy, DOD reimburses DOT, and gov’t fund pays for loss. One B-747-400 loss will wipe out fund
Carrier continues to have OPCON, limiting assurance job will get done
“Right to refuse” - at both company and at aircraft captain levels;
Carrier switching out equipment (i.e., substitute MD-11 for B-777 if latter has mx problems);
Carrier sets up tech stops between APOE and APOD.
Joint Pubs, theater war plans, and AMC and USTC OMNIBUS all identify transload doctrine
Carriers’ decision to participate in CRAF based on an economic decision, balancing risk of activation with peacetime incentives
GSA City Pairs; World-wide Express; Domestic Express; Peacetime business interrelated to MV Point System
VOLUNTARY PROGRAM
CRAF Participation Is A Business Decision
Carrier’s Goal – Maintain / Expand Market Share & Profitability
“Profit” Driven
Participation Rate Financial Incentives
Loss of Aircraft While Activated Will Impact Air Carrier Participation Decisions
Air Carriers “Sign Up” Via Annual Contract
No Guarantee They Will Sign Up ‘Next Year’
Crews Are Volunteers – Not Obligated To DOD
In the previous slide, we mentioned CRAF participation is a “business decision”. Air carriers want to expand their market share, and at a minimum, maintain what they have.
The decision-making process whether or not to participate in CRAF is, to a large degree, profit driven. The carriers’ participation rate is directly attributable to the financial incentives
Any loss of aircraft, whether to a MANPAD, a terrorist/war event while on the ground (RPG attack for instance), or the like – by any air carrier – will have serious repercussions throughout the industry affecting continued CRAF participation. Through conversations with the carriers, we believe the flow would come close to shutting down.
Must never forget a driving factor for the air carriers – expand, or at least maintain, market share, and posture to ensure continued profitability
Air carriers answer first and foremost to share holders and Board of Directors
Carriers contribute those resources that benefit their financial goals, not necessarily what meets DOD requirements
Air carriers decide whether or not to participate on an annual (FY) basis
Events from previous year, and incentives included in gov’t’s contract proposal affects participation renewal decisions, and to what level of participation the company will agree to.
Although the company is contractually obligated to the gov’t, the crew members are not. Union relationships and work rules, albeit somewhat modified during CRAF activation, still allow for the captain to exercise “right of refusal” at any point.
CRAF SEGMENTS
Each Player Critical to Completing the Team Roster
Specialized Roles
Int’l Long & Short Range
21 Pax Carriers
16 Cargo Carriers
Nat’l - Domestic & Alaskan
4 Pax Carriers
2 Cargo Carriers
Aeromedical Evacuation
2 Carriers, Exclusively B-767s
Must not get this confused with the different stages (Stage I, Stage II, and Stage III) of CRAF – this slide reflects the segments of CRAF
(See B/U slide # xyz for reflection of total number of tails in each segment, and the ston or pax capability.)
CRAF brings a lot of capability to the war-fighter, and together field an awesome capability
But not every player can be a quarterback – cannot efficiently utilize a Domestic carrier (Southwest Airlines) in an international role, so there are inherent limitations.
Not everything in CRAF is a B-747 offloading 330 passengers in Kuwait.
Again, the equipment committed to CRAF is designed to meet civilian requirements, not necessarily military utilization; and what is offered by the air carriers may not be exactly what the DOD needs.
“National” segment does little for international, long-range capability; designed more to move resources within CONUS and/or Alaska
Wary of the “two” carriers currently participating in the AE segment, Delta Air Lines and US Airways.
US Airways in bankruptcy, and threatening possibility of liquidation; Delta on verge of bankruptcy.
United Airlines submitted participation proposal to FY05 solicitation – but their financial health is in jeopardy as well.
ACTIVATION
Activation (can be ‘selective’):
Minimum of 30 Days – 15 Days Notice to De-activate
Pay For A Minimum Of 8 Hours Per Day – Regardless Of Use (Approx $1.46B Per Month For Stage III Pax)
Tasked Same As Organic – Through TACC; Although Air Carriers Retain ‘Right to Refuse’
Request
Approve
Direct
Implement
Work historical timelines here – and have b/u slide available.
You’re familiar with the Stages of CRAF activation, Stage I, Stage II, and Stage III. In addition to activating the different stages of CRAF, the Commander, USTC also can select what portions of that particular stage to activate – a “selective activation” if you would.
For instance, in the Feb ’03 CRAF activation, only Stage I was activated, and in that Stage the Long-range, International Passenger capability was targeted.
Desire for all CRAF stage activation to be preceded by “warning order” prior to execution order, or “Activation Message.”
Upon receipt of the activation message, the carriers have 24 hours (Stages I and II) or 48 hours (Stage III) to have their aircraft ready for positioning.
Must be tasked w/ specific mission w/in 72 hours or affected tail numbers are automatically released back to the air carrier and cannot be re-activated for a period of five days.
RELIANCE ON CRAF
(MRS 05 – Stage III)
PERCENT CONTRIBUTION
37%
63%
93%
7%
Civil Aviation Is A Prime “People Mover”
Based on long-range international ops / JCS requirements.
Overall capability.
Chart1
Pax Pax
Cargo Cargo
Military
Civil
CATEGORY
Sheet1
Pax Cargo
Military 7 63
Civil 93 37
Sheet1
0 0
0 0
Military
Civil
CATEGORY
Sheet2
Sheet3
OVERSIZE & OUTSIZE CARGO
No Outsize Capability
Cannot Airlift US Army’s Blackhawk, Patriot, Tracked Vehicles, etc.
Limited Oversize Capability
Primary LIMFACs Are Cargo Door Size and Floor Strength
Capability Varies By Carrier, Aircraft Type (MDS) and Tail Number of Similar Aircraft Types
Specialized Materiel Handling Equipment Required
Increased Ground Times (Up To 5 Hrs For Cargo Handling)
B-747F Twice As Efficient Carrying Bulk vs. Oversize
There is no outsize cargo capability in CRAF; for instance, cannot carry US Army’s high priority cargo such as US Army’s Blackhawk helicopter, Patriot Missile Battery, and tracked vehicles
Oversize cargo capability is limited:
Non-standard cargo loading doors – visor (i.e., 35 of 82 B-747Fs), side loading doors of differing dimensions – affect pallet buildup.
Floor strengths differ between aircraft type (or MDS), and even by tail numbers of the same aircraft type (MDS) – affect pallet gross weight
All vehicles must be palletized prior to loading (or a “floor” of pallets created in cargo hold, over which vehicle is driven and then tied down)
Vehicles limited to HUMVEE-size vehicles and limited weight (no armored HUMVEEs), a selection of M-9 series 5-ton trucks (and these limited to visor B-747 only); no tracked vehicles.
[[MHE required to load pallets of vehicles – no roll-on/roll-off capability increased ground times (approximately twice std organic fleet ground time).]]
TRENDS IN THE CRAF FLEET
Air Carrier Industry Is Characterized By Volatile Economic Performance (PanAm, Braniff, TWA, US Air, United, Delta)
Fleet Composition - Right-Size Their Fleet
Passenger – Migrating To Low-Cost Carriers (LCC)
25% Today, Expect 40% In 10 Years (Load Factors)
Impact: Most LCC’s Do Not Operate Internationally-Capable Aircraft (B-767, B-777, MD-11)
Increased MOGs & Closure Times, Decreased Throughput
Legacy Carriers Reducing Fleets – Less International Capacity
Cargo – Stable to Minimal Growth In the Next 10 Years
Code Sharing Increasing Each Year – Disincentive For Air Carriers to Expand International, Long-Range Fleets
We’re all familiar with the names of air carriers on this slide – but haven’t seen the particular tail flash of 3 carriers. For good reason, Pan Am, Braniff and TWA no longer exist. United & US Air are in bankruptcy and there is talk of the latter liquidating, and Delta is on the verge of bankruptcy.
Let’s put some numbers to US Air, United and Delta capabilities currently in CRAF, Stage III:
In the next 10 years, we’ll see a continuing shift in passenger fleet composition. Already, about 25% of the market has transformed to a low-cost carrier structure, and predications indicate that will continue to about 40% by 2014.
What this means is that carriers are shifting to a fleet that no longer is long-range international capable, nor able to carry 340 troops at a time.
Obvious fallout is increased MOGs, longer closure times, and decreased throughput
In the next 10 years there will be little change in the cargo carriers that will impact CRAF capability.
As the major carriers transition to a LCC structure and their international, long-range capability is decreased, they will make up for it by code-sharing their seats with other foreign carriers with international, long-range capable aircraft. These aircraft are not available to the DOD as CRAF participants due to several different laws which direct the DOD to use US-flagged carriers.
Tails – Pax Tails – AE Capability - Pax Capability – AE
US Air 9 10 2,160 1,650
Delta 23 35 4,989 7,070
United 127 28,960
Total 159 45 36,109 8,720
Tails – Pax Tails – AE Capability - Pax Capability – AE
US Air 9 10 2,160 1,650
Delta 23 35 4,989 7,070
United 127 28,960
Total 159 45 36,109 8,720
CRAF ACCESS TO A
COMBAT AOR
TRANSCOM/AMC/CC Stated Position: “CRAF Will Not Be Asked To Go Where We Would Continue To Send Organic Aircraft Based On Threat and Risk Assessment”
ADUSD (TP) and AF/XP/XO Supports This Position
Not “Zero Risk” Operation
COCOM Intel & AMC TWG Evaluates Every Mission – Demonstrated Threat; AMC/A3 Decides Go/No-Go
Theater Ballistic Missile Rings, CBRNE, MANPADs
Transload Operations Required
JP 3-17 & 4-0, TRANSCOM & AMC OMNIBUS State The Need For Transload Ops When Employing CRAF Into Areas w/ Unacceptable Threat Levels
No Domestic / Int’l Stds for Chemical “Cleanliness”
CRAF will not be sent into known/demonstrated high risk areas – OSD, AF, USTC, AMC positions
Covenant w/ air carriers, w/ which they use to project “risk”. Remember, CRAF participation is a business decision, where risk is balanced against financial incentives. Increase risk – may reduce/lose future participation.
DOD realizes there is a degree of risk in every mission. Theater Intel, in concert with AMC TWG evaluates risk in each theater. Working to evaluate risk airport by airport, instead of country-wide, or large geographic region-wide.
AMC makes final determination whether or not adequate protection afforded to the CRAF carrier.
Joint Pubs, Warplans, and COCOM / MAJCOM OMNIBUS language acknowledge transload doctrine – CRAF will not go to the FEBA, or where threat is too high.
OK, we understand it is possible to change language in regulations, in warplans, in MAJCOM-level directives. But if a CRAF carrier is exposed to a chemical event, what then? Has the DOD just bought it’s first B-747 static display? And the long-term implications to the CRAF program will likely be minimal participation, or at worst, its dissolution.
There are not domestic nor int’l cleanliness standards established. If that B-747 lands at a contaminated field declared “safe” for off-load ops, to what standard has the field been cleaned to? Will the int’l community accept that standard?
Once the B-747 leaves that airfield, it will again be transiting the capitals of the world – the Frankfurts, the Madrids, the Londons, the Sydneys, the Hong Kongs. Will these host nations allow it to land?
No air carrier will accept that risk, and instead, will elect to not participate, or if in the middle of a contract year, elect to exercise it’s right of refusal.
DOD AUTHORITY OVER
CRAF ASSETS
No Statutory Authority to Force Air Carriers Into Harm’s Way – Work Rules May Restrict Crewing Any Aircraft Scheduled For ‘High Risk Missions’
FAA Rules Still Govern Under Activation
FAA Country Restrictions (OIF - SFAR 77)
Air Carriers Unwilling to Accept Increased Risk
Following DS/DS, Two Air Carriers Did Not Renew Their CRAF Participation
Company and Captain “Refusals” During OIF & DS/DS
Expecting CRAF To Meet Unrealistic Expectations Potential For Adverse Mission Impact
Last law that authorized US to nationalize industrial assets such as aircraft (50 App. USC Section 2081 (Section 201 of the Defense Production Act of 1950 [DPA]) was repealed in 1950s.
Special Federal Aviation Regulation (SFAR)-77: Limits civil air carrier operations into Iraq (restricted overflight only, no landing). Similar FARs have been issued during previous hostilities, and we anticipate them being issued for future hostilities.
LIMFAC: Air carriers still have to comply w/ SFARs as they are published, so no guarantee carriers will have FAA “permission” to fly into forward areas.
Following DS/DS, American Airlines renewed their CRAF participation with only one aircraft and United Air Lines withdrew completely from the program – this action imposed a lost capability of 88 airframes, and 26,303 passenger seats.
During DS/DS, two carriers exercised “right of refusal” – brought flow to a halt for approximately 24 hours, and even then, several carriers returned to operations but only during daylight hours, and other carriers didn’t return to operations until after the cease fire (* IAW legal confines of the contract.*)
During OIF, several instances of captains refusing to fly msns from ISB to AOR (* IAW legal confines of the contract.*)
We have to keep sight of the fact the CRAF is composed of civilian airlines, crewed by civilians, and if we put undue expectations on their contribution to the execution of war plans, we set ourselves up for failure
Some of you may understand that US-flagged carriers can now fly into Iraqi airspace. That’s true, but there are several significant restrictions in place that first must be met:
Compelling need validated by requesting gov’t agency, with accompanying plan to mitigate risk to be approved by FAA
Carrier assumes all risk; will indemnify gov’t for all losses, to include cargo and personnel; will assume risk for crew and hull
Changes have been in place since April, and even today, no air carrier has come forward willing to meet these restrictions. The risk of losing an aircraft is just too huge.
DOD AUTHORITY OVER
CRAF ASSETS (Con’t)
No Authorization / Law to Nationalize Airlines
Challenges to Enacting Nationalization Legislation
Air Carriers & Unions Opposed
No Mechanism to “Nationalize” Crews
US-Registered, but Foreign-Owned Aircraft
Dealing w/ Civilian Companies and Personnel
Expecting CRAF To Meet Unrealistic Expectations Potential For Adverse Mission Impact
Currently there is no legislative authority allowing for the “nationalization” of CRAF carriers, and there is no interest in the Congress or in the industry to get such language instituted
Although existing CRAF contracts dictate that when an air carrier responds to the solicitation, they are stating aircraft being identified for participation will be allowed to do so – “permission granted” if you will, from the agency/bank holding the lease – which may be an off-shore entity.
But after a CRAF activation, the lessor may rewrite the lease limiting the air carrier to prevent use the aircraft as a CRAF participant, limiting future participation rates in subsequent FYs
HERE’S WHAT YOU HAVE
Organic Fleet
We Own Fleet
We Control Support Infrastructure
We Have OPCON
Authority to Put Mission Into Harm’s Way
UCMJ Authority Over Crew
Fleet Equipped & Crews Trained for Combat
HAZMAT Carried In Cargo Bay
CRAF Fleet
Airline / Bank Owns Fleet
Airline Controls Support Infrastructure
Airline Has OPCON
If Mission Directed Into Harm’s Way, Airline / Crew Can Refuse
Fleet Not Equipped, Nor Crews Trained For Combat
No HAZMAT In Cabin
AUGMENTATION, NOT SUBSTITUTION
Cannot plan for war w/ CRAF resources the same way you can plan for war w/ organic assets.
With organic assets, war fighter has immediate access to combat-specialized fleet and infrastructure to support flying mission into harm’s way, and authority over crew. Additionally, HAZMAT can be carried in cargo area with troops, so they deplane ready for mission
With CRAF fleet, war fighter has access to logistics-orientated (cargo & pax movement) fleet, but with contractual and real-world limitations.
CRAF fleet control influenced by third party, whether that be a bank or lessor, or perhaps a Board of Directors or Shareholders.
CRAF fleet is more dependent on materiel handling equipment (air stairs, belt loaders, etc.), and other support equipment.
If mission is directed into harm’s way – either perceived or real – airline may refuse, or captain may refuse mission.
No HAZMAT in cabin - troops cannot have their ammo, etc. with them, but have to marry up with it from aircraft’s belly prior to mission execution.
Again, the CRAF augments the organic fleet, it isn’t a substitution for ‘grey tails.’
CRAF – GREAT CAPABILITY WITHIN ITS CONSTRUCT
CRAF Provides Airlift For:
93 Percent of Passenger Movement
37 Percent of Air Cargo Movement
Augmentation Capability That Enables DOD To Meet Its Transportation Requirements …
… With Limitations
Civilian Operators Not Under Complete DOD Control
Focus Is Civilian, Commercial Business
Employed Within Proper Construct, CRAF Provides Reliable, Sustainable & Predictable Support to the War-Fighters
QUESTIONS?
BACK UP SLIDES
Activation (can be ‘selective’):
Minimum of 30 Days – 15 Days Notice to De-activate
Pay For A Minimum Of 8 Hours Per Day – Regardless Of Use (Approx $1.46B Per Month For Stage III Pax)
Stage I = $165M Per Month; Stage II = $535M Per Month
30 Days x 8 Hrs/Day x 500 Miles/Hr = 120,000 Miles/Aircraft
Tasked Same As Organic – Through TACC; Although Air Carriers Retain ‘Right to Refuse’
(Work historical timelines here – and have b/u slide available.)
You’re familiar with the Stages of CRAF activation, Stage I, Stage II, and Stage III. In addition to activating the different stages of CRAF, the Commander, USTC also can select what portions of that particular stage to activate – a “surgical activation” if you would.
For instance, in the Feb ’03 CRAF activation, only Stage I was activated, and in that Stage the Long-range, International Passenger capability was targeted.
Desire for all CRAF stage activation to be preceded by “warning order” prior to execution order, or “Activation Message.”
Upon receipt of the activation message, the carriers have 24 hours (Stages I and II) or 48 hours (Stage III) to have their aircraft ready for positioning.
Must be tasked w/ specific mission w/in 72 hours or affected tail numbers are automatically released back to the air carrier and cannot be re-activated for a period of five days.
Computation:
30 days x 8 hours/day x 500 miles/hour = 120,000 miles/per aircraft
FY05 rate = $0.09149/miles
Stage I costs = $165M; Stage II costs = $535M
Legacy Carriers Reducing Fleets – Less International Capacity
Legacy Carriers Have Lost 10% Of TRANSCON Capability
LCC’s Has Grown From 7% To 23% Of Market In Same Time Period (1997-2003)
Current Trend Will Cost Legacy Carriers Further Market Share Loss And Fleet Downsizing
LCC Fleets Predominately Comprised of B-737 or A-319 Aircraft
Code Sharing Increasing Each Year – Not Promoting Expansion of Long Range, International Fleets – Need Back-Up Slide Data
(Con’t)
Activation
World Events Driving Towards Increased Activation Potential and Frequency (Longer Activation Periods)
Air Carriers Are Activation Adverse
Scheduled Service Providers Lose Market Share (American & United Withdrew From CRAF Following DS Activation)
Air Carrier Pressure to NOT Activate Stage III During DS
Continued / Frequent Activation Increases Risk
Carriers Will No Longer Participate In Program, or Participate At Reduced Levels
CRAF STAGES & CAPABILITY --
CARRIERS’ PARTICIPATION @ EACH LEVEL
Stage I Stage II Stage III
Passenger Aircraft 50 154 441
No of Pax (400 # ea.) 10,929 35,438 93, 429
Cargo Aircraft 31 74 244
Cargo Amt (stons) 2,574 5,931 16,998
54.5 MTM/D
(MRS 05 – Stage III)
CAPABILITY COMPARISON BULK VS. OVERSIZE
B-747 Twice As Efficient At Carrying Bulk Vs. Oversize
1 B-747s on the ground at one time
5+00 hour ground time
5 aircraft per day (24 hours / 5.00 = 4.8)
59 tons per aircraft
295 tons per day of oversize cargo only
1 B-747 on the ground at one time
4+00 hour ground time
6 aircraft per day (24 hours / 4.00 = 6)
98 tons per aircraft
588 tons per day of bulk cargo only
DESERT STORM
ACTIVATION / DEACTIVATION
8 Aug 90 – First Volunteer Civil Aircraft Departs U.S.
9 Aug 90 – CRAF Activation Seriously Considered
11 Aug 90 – CRAF Activation Warning Message Sent
17 Aug 90 – CRAF Activation Message Released
18 Aug 90 – CRAF Stage I Activated
21 Cargo & 17 Passenger Aircraft Available For Call-Up
17 Jan 91 – CRAF Stage II Activated
Call-Up of Cargo Only to Support Air War
10 Mar 91 – Stage II Passenger Aircraft Called Up
18 Mar 91 – Cargo Aircraft in Stage II Call-Up Released
17 May 01 – CRAF Stage II Deactivated
24 May 01 – CRAF Stage I Deactivated
OP IRAQI FREEDOM
8 Feb 03, 1736Z – CRAF Activation Warning Message Released
8 Feb 03, 2257Z – CRAF Activation Message Released, with Activation Effective At 2222Z.
18 Jun 03, 0001Z – CRAF Deactivated
CRAF--
CAN’T GO TO WAR WITHOUT ‘EM
Supporting War-Fighter For 53 Years
War Plans Rely on CRAF:
Long Range Int’l Capability – 202+ MPM/D In Stage III
“Example” OPLAN - 52K+ STons Bulk Cargo In Stage III
OEF/OIF
Pax = ~93%
Cargo = ~37%
GWOT FY03
Pax = ~73%
Cargo = ~9%
Great Capability – But With Limitations
CRAF has been supporting the war-fighter for over 50 years now, and the DOD heavily relies upon CRAF to execute the war plans.
Sir, you and the rest of the GOSC understand the importance of CRAF and what capabilities it brings, but before you are a couple examples
For instance, just the international, long-range segment of CRAF provides a robust capability of providing slightly over 202 million-passenger-miles per day
The cargo capability of CRAF is similarly impressive such that planners for an “example” OPLAN count on CRAF to move over 52,000 short tons of bulk cargo.
And with a snap-shot in time, there are over 1,000 aircraft participating in the CRAF program.
May I caution you not to be misled by these statistics? Because as impressive as they are, and as much as we rely on CRAF to execute the war plans, it all comes with limitations, which will be discussed as this brief unfolds.
CAPABILITY
Let’s Assume a 16 PAA Flying Squadron…
CRAF I Adds Over 5 Squadron Equivalents
CRAF II Adds Over 18 Squadron Equivalents
CRAF III Adds Nearly 58 Squadron Equivalents
CRAF Can Rapidly “Super Size” AMC’s Capability
Maj Gen Volcheff doesn’t like this chart!!
Daily Slide
CARGO PAX TOTAL 2 Feb 03 Activity CARGO PAX
CRAF I 31 47 78 MISSIONS IN THE SYSTEM 34 32
CRAF II 77 135 212 ORIGINATING MISSIONS/REQ 13/13 11/13*
CRAF III 252 433 685
New Grid
CRAF I CRAF II CRAF III
PAX 50 154 441
CARGO 32 74 244
AE 0 25 45
TOTALS 82 253 730
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File details come from the government source that posted it. Updated .