Cooperative Agreement NA08OAR4320889

This $1,050,655 Cooperative Agreement award from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Climate and Atmospheric Research Program (CFDA 11.431) will integrate NOAA's science and service assets to develop consistent, reliable, and transparent forward-looking climate information at spatial scales relevant for decision-making. The 4-year project, led by the University of Colorado, will leverage resources across NOAA and partner organizations to deliver climate projection...

This $454,546 Cooperative Agreement awarded by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) under the Climate and Atmospheric Research program (CFDA 11.431) aims to develop improved statistical and machine learning methods for combining NOAA's Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (ESP) forecasts with dynamical climate model data to enhance long-term streamflow predictions for the Colorado River Basin. The primary objectives are to (1) create multimodel combination techniques that...

This $239,986 Project Grant award from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Climate and Atmospheric Research Program (CFDA 11.431) supports a collaborative effort between the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Texas A&M University, and the University of Wisconsin-Madison to advance understanding of climate model performance and predictability. The project aims to explore how increased horizontal model resolution can improve prediction of sea surface...

This three-year, $511,918 project grant from the National Science Foundation's Geosciences program (CFDA 47.050) funds research to develop a new framework for advancing climate model representations of cloud and convective processes. The grantee, Columbia University, will conduct fully-coupled, isotope-enabled climate simulations for the Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene, and Pre-Industrial periods using an ensemble of cloud and convective parameter sets. Paleoclimate data assimilation will...

This Cooperative Agreement award, funded by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) under the Weather and Air Quality Research program (CFDA 11.459), aims to improve subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) precipitation forecasting for the contiguous United States. The $428,965 award to Utah State University will develop a new method that combines dynamically forecasted weather regimes and observed precipitation data through finite mixture models to produce enhanced S2S precipitation...

This three-year, $405,234 Project Grant from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration will fund research at the University of Colorado Boulder to develop initialization strategies for the Unified Forecast System coupled atmosphere-ocean numerical forecast model. The goal is to improve probabilistic skill scores for subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasts of 2-8 weeks by ensuring initial ensemble perturbations project onto oscillating eigenfunctions of the Koopman and Perron-Frobenius...

This three-year, $520,660 project grant from the National Science Foundation's Geosciences program (CFDA 47.050) supports research to constrain cloud and convective parameterizations in climate models using paleoclimate data assimilation. Specifically, the awardee, the University of Arizona, will conduct fully coupled, isotope-enabled climate simulations for the Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene, and pre-industrial periods using an ensemble of cloud and convective parameter sets. Paleoclimate...

This Cooperative Agreement award from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) under the Weather and Air Quality Research program (CFDA 11.459) will focus on improving real-time U.S. week 3-4 precipitation forecasts. The $254,646 project, running from February 2025 to January 2027, will leverage machine learning and explainable AI approaches to identify regions and climate states that exhibit higher predictability for subseasonal precipitation forecasts. The goal is to...

This $324,656 Cooperative Agreement award from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) under the Climate and Atmospheric Research program (CFDA 11.431) supports research to assess and improve Earth System Models' (ESMs) ability to simulate the day-to-day variability of offshore propagation of diurnal convection (OPDC) in the tropics. The overarching goal is to provide a diagnostic framework to evaluate OPDC in ESMs and identify process-level sources of biases, such as regional...

This Cooperative Agreement award from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) under the Climate and Atmospheric Research Federal Grant Program (CFDA 11.431) will develop authoritative climate projection services to support infrastructure and resource planning. The $1,442,310 award to Colorado State University, spanning June 2024 to May 2028, will conduct foundational climate science research and engage stakeholders across five key climate risk areas: western water resources,...