Rates Adjustment Example 8 Sep.xls
XLS spreadsheet 74 KB Posted
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- Professional, Administrative and Management Support Services Federal contract opportunity
- Solicitation number
- FA8202-08-R-1000
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Adjustment Examples - Illustration of Rates Adjustment Procedures
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Scenario details
| Rate Adjustment for NTE Labor Rates | |||||||
| Labor Escalation Scenarios | |||||||
| Scenario #1 | Scenario #2 | Scenario #3 | |||||
| CY 2011 | Index up 2.1% | Index up 2.1% | Index up 2.1% | ||||
| CY 2012 | no change | Index up .6% | Index up .6% | ||||
| CY 2013 | no change | no change | Index down 0.4% | ||||
| Scenario #1: CY 2012 Rates Adjustment (see Excel Tab "Scenario #1" to follow the math tables) | |||||||
| CY 2011 actual value is higher than CY 2011 forecasted value. NTE Labor Hour Rates CY 2012 and beyond are eligible for adjustments | |||||||
| In February 2012, the actual for CY 2011 is posted on the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) website. | |||||||
| Here is a link to the BLS website: | www.bls.gov | ||||||
| CY 2011 actual value is 4.3%, versus forecasted value of 2.2%. | |||||||
| The adjustment factor is the cumulative factor for CY 2011 actual divided by cumulative factor for CY 2011 forecast. | |||||||
| 1.061/ 1.039 = 1.021 | Since the adjustment factor is greater than 1.02 | ||||||
| the proposed Labor Hours Rates for CY 2012 through CY 2020 can be adjusted by 1.021 | |||||||
| Scenario #2: CY 2013 Rates Adjustment (See Excel Tab "Scenario #2" to follow the math tables) | |||||||
| In February 2013, the actual for CY 2012 is posted on the BLS website. | |||||||
| CY 2012 actual value is 3.1%, versus forecasted value of 2.5%. | |||||||
| The adjustment factor is the cumulative factor for CY 2012 actual divided by cumulative factor for CY 2012 forecast. | |||||||
| 1.094/1.087=1.006 | |||||||
| All rates in the Labor Category Rate Matrix (for CY 2013 through CY 2020) would NOT be adjusted upward | |||||||
| because the factor 1.006 is less than 1.02 | |||||||
| Scenario #3: CY 2014 Rates Adjustment (See Excel Tab "Scenario #3 to follow the math tables) | |||||||
| In February 2014, the actual for CY 2013 is posted on the BLS website. | |||||||
| CY 2013 actual value is 2.0%, versus forecasted value of 2.4%. | |||||||
| The adjustment factor is the cumulative factor for CY 2013 actual divided by cumulative factor for CY 2013 forecast. | |||||||
| 1.115 / 1.113 = 1.002 | |||||||
| All rates in the Labor Category Rate Matrix (for CY 2014 through CY 2020) would NOT be adjusted | |||||||
| because the factor 1.002 is less than 1.02 |
www.bls.gov
Scenario #1
| Labor Escalation | |||||||||||
| Global Insight, Inc. CEU3133640008 | |||||||||||
| Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing | |||||||||||
| Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Series ID is NAICS 3364 | |||||||||||
| CY 2011 only | |||||||||||
| (A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (E) | (F) | (G) | |||||
| Base Values (Forecast) | Actual Values | ||||||||||
| CY | Factor | % | CY | % | Factor | CY | % | Factor | Adjustment | ||
| 1999 | 19.649 | 2009 | 2.9% | 1.000 | 2009 | 2.9% | 1.000 | N/A | |||
| 2000 | 20.522 | 4.4% | 2010 | 1.7% | 1.017 | 2010 | 1.7% | 1.017 | N/A | ||
| 2001 | 21.255 | 3.6% | 2011 | 2.2% | 1.039 | 2011 | 4.3% | 1.061 | N/A | ||
| 2002 | 22.086 | 3.9% | 2012 | 2.5% | 1.065 | 2012 | 1.021 | ||||
| 2003 | 22.931 | 3.8% | 2013 | 2.4% | 1.091 | 2013 | 1.021 | ||||
| 2004 | 23.926 | 4.3% | 2014 | 2.3% | 1.116 | 2014 | 1.021 | ||||
| 2005 | 24.803 | 3.7% | 2015 | 2.3% | 1.142 | 2015 | 1.021 | ||||
| 2006 | 26.265 | 5.9% | 2016 | 2.2% | 1.167 | 2016 | 1.021 | ||||
| 2007 | 28.379 | 8.0% | 2017 | 2.2% | 1.192 | 2017 | 1.021 | ||||
| 2008 | 29.764 | 4.9% | 2018 | 2.1% | 1.218 | 2018 | 1.021 | ||||
| 2009 | 30.635 | 2.9% | 2019 | 2.1% | 1.243 | 2019 | 1.021 | ||||
| 2010 | 31.157 | 1.7% | 2020 | 2.1% | 1.269 | 2020 | 1.021 | ||||
| 2011 | 31.833 | 2.2% | |||||||||
| 2012 | 32.615 | 2.5% | CY 2011 Actual Cum Factor | 1.061 | |||||||
| 2013 | 33.395 | 2.4% | CY 2011 Forecast Cum Factor | 1.039 | CY 2012 | ||||||
| 2014 | 34.173 | 2.3% | Computed Adjustment Factor | 1.0205509106 | |||||||
| 2015 | 34.954 | 2.3% | (1.051/1.039=1.021) | ||||||||
| 2016 | 35.733 | 2.2% | |||||||||
| 2017 | 36.521 | 2.2% | |||||||||
| 2018 | 37.306 | 2.1% | |||||||||
| Notes: | In Columns (B) and (C), the labor index is normalized to CY 2009. The factors in Column (C) establish the forecast for CY 2009 - CY 2020. | ||||||||||
| Columns (E) and (F) will be populated year-by-year, as the actual values become available. | |||||||||||
| For example, in CY 2011, the actual value is 3.3% as opposed to the 2.2% forecast value. The adjustment would be the factor | |||||||||||
| in Column (F) divided by the factor in Column (C), or 1.061/ 1.039 = 1.011. | |||||||||||
| All rates in the Labor Category Rate Matrix (for CY 2012 through CY 2020) would be adjusted upward by a factor of 1.021. |
Scenario #2
| Labor Escalation | |||||||||
| Global Insight, Inc. CEU3133640008 | |||||||||
| Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing | |||||||||
| Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Series ID is NAICS 3364 | |||||||||
| CY11, CY12, CY13: Up, Down, Up | |||||||||
| (A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (E) | (F) | (G) | |||
| Base Values (Forecast) | Actual Values | ||||||||
| CY 2012 | CY | % | Factor | CY | % | Factor | Adjustment | ||
| 2009 | 2.9% | 1.000 | 2009 | 2.9% | 1.000 | N/A | |||
| 2010 | 1.7% | 1.017 | 2010 | 1.7% | 1.017 | N/A | |||
| 2011 | 2.2% | 1.039 | 2011 | 4.3% | 1.061 | N/A | |||
| 2012 | 2.5% | 1.065 | 2012 | 1.021 | |||||
| 2013 | 2.4% | 1.091 | 2013 | 1.021 | |||||
| 2014 | 2.3% | 1.116 | 2014 | 1.021 | |||||
| 2015 | 2.3% | 1.142 | 2015 | 1.021 | |||||
| 2016 | 2.2% | 1.167 | 2016 | 1.021 | |||||
| 2017 | 2.2% | 1.192 | 2017 | 1.021 | |||||
| 2018 | 2.1% | 1.218 | 2018 | 1.021 | |||||
| 2019 | 2.1% | 1.243 | 2019 | 1.021 | |||||
| 2020 | 2.1% | 1.269 | 2020 | 1.021 | |||||
| (A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (E) | (F) | (G) | |||
| Base Values (Forecast) | Actual Values | ||||||||
| CY 2013 | CY | % | Factor | CY | % | Factor | Adjustment | ||
| 2009 | 2.9% | 1.000 | 2009 | 2.9% | 1.000 | N/A | |||
| 2010 | 1.7% | 1.017 | 2010 | 1.7% | 1.017 | N/A | |||
| 2011 | 4.3% | 1.061 | 2011 | 4.3% | 1.061 | N/A | |||
| 2012 | 2.5% | 1.087 | 2012 | 3.1% | 1.094 | N/A | |||
| 2013 | 2.4% | 1.113 | 2013 | 1.006 | |||||
| 2014 | 2.3% | 1.139 | 2014 | 1.006 | |||||
| 2015 | 2.3% | 1.165 | 2015 | 1.006 | |||||
| 2016 | 2.2% | 1.191 | 2016 | 1.006 | |||||
| 2017 | 2.2% | 1.217 | 2017 | 1.006 | |||||
| 2018 | 2.1% | 1.243 | 2018 | 1.006 | |||||
| 2019 | 2.1% | 1.269 | 2019 | 1.006 | |||||
| 2020 | 2.1% | 1.295 | 2020 | 1.006 | |||||
| Note: the Forecast for CY 2011 is re-baselined from 2.2% to 4.3% - one year later. | |||||||||
| Re-baseing | In the event that the Actual Value for CY2011 was less than the Forecasted value, it will take 2 years (or more) before | ||||||||
| the CY 2011 Actual Value is re-baselined into the Forecast | |||||||||
| CY 2011 Actual Cum Factor | 1.094 | ||||||||
| CY 2011 Forecast Cum Factor | 1.087 | ||||||||
| Computed Adjustment Factor | 1.0058496206 | ||||||||
| (1.094/1.087=1.006) |
Scenario #3
| Labor Escalation | |||||||||
| Global Insight, Inc. CEU3133640008 | |||||||||
| Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing | |||||||||
| Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Series ID is NAICS 3364 | |||||||||
| CY11, CY12, CY13: Down, Up, Down | |||||||||
| (A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (E) | (F) | (G) | |||
| Base Values (Forecast) | Actual Values | ||||||||
| CY2012 | CY | % | Factor | CY | % | Factor | Adjustment | ||
| Rates Adjustment | 2009 | 2.9% | 1.000 | 2009 | 2.9% | 1.000 | N/A | ||
| 2010 | 1.7% | 1.017 | 2010 | 1.7% | 1.017 | N/A | |||
| 2011 | 2.2% | 1.039 | 2011 | 4.3% | 1.061 | N/A | |||
| 2012 | 2.5% | 1.065 | 2012 | 1.021 | |||||
| 2013 | 2.4% | 1.091 | 2013 | 1.021 | |||||
| See Scenario #1 | 2014 | 2.3% | 1.116 | 2014 | 1.021 | ||||
| 2015 | 2.3% | 1.142 | 2015 | 1.021 | |||||
| 2016 | 2.2% | 1.167 | 2016 | 1.021 | |||||
| 2017 | 2.2% | 1.192 | 2017 | 1.021 | |||||
| 2018 | 2.1% | 1.218 | 2018 | 1.021 | |||||
| 2019 | 2.1% | 1.243 | 2019 | 1.021 | |||||
| 2020 | 2.1% | 1.269 | 2020 | 1.021 | |||||
| (A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (E) | (F) | (G) | |||
| Base Values (Forecast) | Actual Values | ||||||||
| CY2013 | |||||||||
| Rates Adjustment | CY | % | Factor | CY | % | Factor | Adjustment | ||
| 2009 | 2.9% | 1.000 | 2009 | 2.9% | 1.000 | N/A | |||
| 2010 | 1.7% | 1.017 | 2010 | 1.7% | 1.017 | N/A | |||
| 2011 | 4.3% | 1.061 | 2011 | 4.3% | 1.061 | N/A | |||
| 2012 | 2.5% | 1.087 | 2012 | 3.1% | 1.094 | N/A | |||
| See Scenario #2 | 2013 | 2.4% | 1.113 | 2013 | 1.006 | ||||
| 2014 | 2.3% | 1.139 | 2014 | 1.006 | |||||
| 2015 | 2.3% | 1.165 | 2015 | 1.006 | |||||
| 2016 | 2.2% | 1.191 | 2016 | 1.006 | |||||
| 2017 | 2.2% | 1.217 | 2017 | 1.006 | |||||
| 2018 | 2.1% | 1.243 | 2018 | 1.006 | |||||
| 2019 | 2.1% | 1.269 | 2019 | 1.006 | |||||
| 2020 | 2.1% | 1.295 | 2020 | 1.006 | |||||
| Re-baselined | |||||||||
| (A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (E) | (F) | (G) | |||
| Base Values (Forecast) | Actual Values | ||||||||
| CY2014 | CY | % | Factor | CY | % | Factor | Adjustment | ||
| Rates Adjustment | 2009 | 2.9% | 1.000 | 2009 | 2.9% | 1.000 | N/A | ||
| 2010 | 1.7% | 1.017 | 2010 | 1.7% | 1.017 | N/A | |||
| 2011 | 4.3% | 1.061 | 2011 | 4.3% | 1.061 | N/A | |||
| 2012 | 2.5% | 1.087 | 2012 | 3.1% | 1.094 | N/A | |||
| 2013 | 2.4% | 1.113 | 2013 | 2.0% | 1.115 | N/A | |||
| 2014 | 2.3% | 1.139 | 2014 | 1.002 | |||||
| 2015 | 2.3% | 1.165 | 2015 | 1.002 | |||||
| 2016 | 2.2% | 1.191 | 2016 | 1.002 | |||||
| 2017 | 2.2% | 1.217 | 2017 | 1.002 | |||||
| 2018 | 2.1% | 1.243 | 2018 | 1.002 | |||||
| 2019 | 2.1% | 1.269 | 2019 | 1.002 | |||||
| 2020 | 2.1% | 1.295 | 2020 | 1.002 | |||||
| CY 2013 Actual Cum Factor | 1.115 | ||||||||
| CY 2013 Forecast Cum Factor | 1.113 | ||||||||
| Computed Adjustment Factor | 1.002 |
File details come from the government source that posted it. Updated .