ESD260-ConstCostEstimatingGuide.pdf
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The document is the San Diego County Water Authority's Construction Cost Estimating Guidelines (Engineering Standard Document 260), developed by the Water Authority's Engineering Department in October 2009. This comprehensive guide provides a systematic approach for preparing construction cost estimates across five different estimate classes (Class 5 through Class 1), ranging from conceptual early-stage estimates to final bid-ready estimates. The guidelines are designed to standardize cost estimation practices for water infrastructure projects, offering detailed methodologies for quantifying materials, labor, equipment, and subcontractor costs, and establishing consistent procedures for applying scope and market allowances, escalation factors, and risk analysis.
The document emphasizes the importance of maintaining an accurate and up-to-date cost estimation database, recommending periodic updates to labor rates, material prices, equipment costs, and market conditions. It introduces the Water Authority's custom "Muni Escalation Model" for predicting future construction cost escalations, which uses Producer Price Indices and Monte Carlo simulation to provide more accurate inflation projections specific to the Water Authority's project types. The guidelines also provide templates and frameworks for documenting cost estimate assumptions, performing benchmarking, managing risk, and reviewing contractor bids, with the ultimate goal of creating reliable cost estimates that support effective project budgeting, scheduling, and financial planning.
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San Diego County Water Authority Engineering Department
Construction Cost Estimating Guidelines
ESD 260 October 2009
San Diego County Water Authority Engineering Department
ESD 260
Construction Cost Estimating
Guidelines
October 2009
Copyright © 2008 The San Diego County Water Authority
For additional copies, call the Water Authority’s Engineering Department at (858) 522-6855 or visit the Engineering Department office at 4677 Overland Avenue, San Diego, California, 92123.
Water Authority Construction Cost Estimating Guidelines Table of Contents
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Table of Contents
Chapter 1. Introduction ................................................................................................ 1-1 Chapter 2. Class Process and Selection ..................................................................... 2-1 Chapter 3. Class 5 Estimates – Conceptual Construction Cost Estimate or Order of
Magnitude .................................................................................................. 3-1 Chapter 4. Class 4 Estimates – Feasibility Study or Screening Construction Cost
Estimate ..................................................................................................... 4-1 Chapter 5. Class 3 Estimates – Preliminary Design Construction Cost Estimate ........ 5-1 Chapter 6. Class 2 Estimates – Design Development Construction Cost Estimate ..... 6-1 Chapter 7. Class 1 Estimates – Bid or Final Design Construction Cost Estimate ........ 7-1 Chapter 8. Material Take-off, Quantity Survey, and Overhead .................................... 8-1 Chapter 9. Evaluating Material Price Quotes ............................................................... 9-1 Chapter 10. Benchmarking ........................................................................................ 10-1 Chapter 11. Scope and Market Allowance................................................................. 11-1 Chapter 12. Escalations............................................................................................. 12-1 Chapter 13. Managing the Database ......................................................................... 13-1 Chapter 14. Basis of Construction Cost Estimate ...................................................... 14-1 Chapter 15. Risk Analysis .......................................................................................... 15-1 Chapter 16. Construction Estimate Reviews ............................................................. 16-1 Chapter 17. Evaluation of Contractor Bids ................................................................. 17-1
Appendix A. Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) ......................................................... A-1 Appendix B. Cost Capacity Curves ............................................................................. B-1 Appendix C. Material Take-off .................................................................................... C-1 Appendix D. MuniFinancial Economic Study Final Report .......................................... D-1 Appendix E. Basis of Construction Cost Estimate ...................................................... E-1 Appendix F. Risk Register ........................................................................................... F-1
Water Authority Construction Cost Estimating Guidelines Chapter 1. Introduction
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Chapter 1. Introduction
Guidelines intent
The intent of these guidelines is to improve communication and standardization for preparing construction cost estimates as a project move from feasibility through final design.
Purpose of construction cost estimates
Virtually every study or project funded by the Water Authority requires a construction cost estimate. Cost estimates are intended to:
• Provide consistent, accurate, and complete construction cost estimates for in-house designs
• Provide a basis for reviewing consultant construction cost estimates for consistency, accuracy, and completeness
• Help clearly define projects (provide feedback where design is lacking in detail or definition)
• Be accompanied by a description that defines the assumptions made and references suppliers, subcontractors, or tools in establishing the basis of the estimate
• Provide a consistent level of “scope and market allowance” (formerly referred to as “contingency”) for each class of estimate
• Establish a consistent procedure for applying escalations for future construction costs
• Provide a base for producing a construction schedule or critical path method (CPM) for establishing realistic contract construction duration for the project
• Provide a basis for negotiating a Schedule of Values for contractor payments
• Be used as an inspection tool to ensure that all work items are completed
• Provide a basis for exception management as a result of scope creep or changes in material cost or labor
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Function of construction cost estimate
The construction cost estimate will be used to:
1. Establish a construction cost estimate for the project.
2. Evaluate construction contract bids.
3. Produce a CPM for establishing a realistic construction period for inclusion in the contract documents.
4. Negotiate a Schedule of Values for construction payments after the project has bid and been awarded. (This will need to be in easily measurable quantities that eliminate debate between the contractor and the construction management team.)
5. Evaluate the contractor’s baseline CPM for tracking progress throughout the project.
6. Be part of a library of saved construction cost estimates, after being conformed to the bid results, to aid in the preparation of accurate estimates for future projects.
7. The construction cost estimate is one component to developing the overall project budget.
Water Authority Construction Cost Estimating Guidelines Chapter 2. Class Process and Selection
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Chapter 2. Class Process and Selection
Classes of cost estimates
Estimates are divided into five categories that have been adapted from the Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering International (AACEI) Recommended Practices No.17R, Cost Estimate Classification System and No.18R, Cost Estimate Classification System - As Applied in Engineering, Procurement, and Construction for the Process Industry.
A project cycle typically starts at Class 5. As more information is available and the level of definition increases, the project cycle moves through Classes 4, 3, and 2 until reaching Class 1. The Water Authority goal is to establish a Class 1 estimate for all projects. Table 2-1 describes the five classes of construction cost estimates:
Table 2-1. Class Estimate Characteristics.
Class of Estimate
Level of Project
Definition (Expressed as % of Design Completion)
Typical Purpose of Estimate
Methodology:
Typical Estimating
Method
Expected Accuracy
Range: Typical +/- range
Relative to Best Index of 1 [a]
Sample Possible
Costs Based on $100 Cost Estimate
Suggested Scope and
Market Allowance
Class 5 0% to 2%
Budget Development
Conceptual or Order of Magnitude
Capacity-Based, Parametric Models, Judgment, or Analogy
L: -20% to -50%
H: +30% to +100%
$80 - $200 50%
Class 4 1% to 15% or Planning Study
Feasibility Study or Screening
Equipment-Based or Parametric Models
L: -15% to -30%
H: +20% to +50%
$85 - $150 30%
Class 3 10% to 40% or Preliminary Design
Preliminary Design
Semi-Detailed Unit Costs with Assembly Level Line Items
L: -10% to -20%
H: +10% to +30%
$90 - $130 20%
Class 2 30% to 70% or Midpoint Design
Design Development, Definitive or Control
Detailed Unit Cost with Forced Detailed Take-off
L: -5% to -15%
H: +5% to +20% $95 - $120 15%
Class 1 50% to 100% or Final Design
Bid/Tender, Detailed or Final
Detailed Unit Cost with Detailed Take-off, WBS, and CPS
L: -3% to -10%
H: +3% to +15% $97 - $115 5%
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Construction cost estimate input checklist
As a project progresses from Class 5 to Class 1, each successive Class will require an increasing amount of detail to provide a comprehensive scope of work.
Tables 2-2 and 2-3 describe the expected level of definition of the design submittal received from the designer and available for development for the project’s construction cost estimate. If the design submittal does not fall within the levels of definition below, the amount of scope and market allowance that is applied to the construction cost estimate may be affected. Terms used in Tables 2-2 and 2-3 are more precisely described in the Water Authority’s Project Management Guidelines and Design Guidelines.
Table 2-2. Construction Cost Estimate Input Checklist Based Upon Project Deliverables.
General Project Data Class 5 Class 4 Class 3 Class 2 Class 1 Project Scope Description General Complete - - -
Facility/Infrastructure Capacity Assumed Defined Defined Defined Defined
Project Location General Feasible Alternatives
Preferred Alternative Defined Defined
Soils and Hydrology None Preliminary Draft Complete -
Project Delivery Plan None Defined - - -
Project Schedule None Preliminary Draft Updated Defined
Work Breakdown Structure None Preliminary Defined Defined Defined
Contract Strategy Assumed Preliminary Preliminary Defined Defined
Table 2-3. Construction Cost Estimate Input Checklist Based Upon Project Deliverables.
Engineering Deliverables from Design Consultant
Class 5 Class 4 Class 3 Class 2 Class 1
Program Planning
Document
Feasibility study: 15%
- Design
30% - Preliminary
Design 60% - Mid point of Design 90% -
100% Final Design
Basis of design report - Draft report Comments incorporated - -
Value engineering review - Organize and coordinate
Approved comments incorporated
Construction schedule - Preliminary Updated
Updated with preliminary shutdown and tie-in plans
Complete
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Construction Cost Estimate input checklist, continued
Engineering Deliverables from Design Consultant
Class 5 Class 4 Class 3 Class 2 Class 1
Program Planning
Document
Feasibility study: 15%
- Design
30% - Preliminary Design
60% - Mid point of Design
90% - 100% Final
Design
QA/QC reviews - Preliminary Preliminary Updated Complete
Planning/environmental - Preliminary Complete - -
Property acquisition, easement, and survey requirements
- Initiated Preliminary property acquisition requirements
Complete -
Permit applications - Preliminary Submitted Complete -
O&M manuals - Preliminary Draft Updated Complete
O&M impact report - Preliminary Draft Updated Complete
Life-cycle cost analysis - Preliminary Draft Updated Complete
Site development requirements & constraints
- Preliminary Updated Complete -
Geotechnical investigation - Desk-top Draft Complete -
Environmental requirements/constraints
(EIR)
- Started Complete - -
Corrosion study - Draft Complete - -
Potholing - Draft Complete - -
Risk analysis report - Preliminary Complete - -
Hydraulic and transient (surge) analysis Draft Updated Complete - -
List of special conditions - - Draft Updated Complete
Exceptions report memorandum where deviating from Water Authority standards or BODR comments
- Preliminary Draft Updated Complete
Specifications - - Table of Contents
Complete CSI format, drafts of supplemental specifications
Complete
Process control strategy descriptions - Preliminary Complete - -
Structural, mechanical, and other calculations - Preliminary Prepared, checked, but not certified Updated Complete
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Construction Cost Estimate input checklist, continued
Engineering Deliverables from Design Consultant
Class 5 Class 4 Class 3 Class 2 Class 1
Program Planning
Document
Feasibility study:
15% -
Design
30% - Preliminary Design
60% - Mid point of Design
90% - 100% Final
Design
Equipment list - Preliminary Preliminary
Updated with data sheets and delivery schedules
Complete
Drawings - general - Preliminary
Complete vicinity and location maps, drawing list, general, and project notes. Preliminary right of way and property acquisition requirements.
Environmental and permit requirements
Complete right-of-way and property acquisition requirements.
Environmental and permit requirements
Drawings – piping and instrumentation - Preliminary
Complete piping and instrumentation diagrams (P&IDs)
Drawings - piping and Instrumentation - Preliminary Complete - process flow diagrams - -
Drawings – civil - Preliminary
Complete general arrangement drawings.
Preliminary details site plan, topographic and culture mapping, existing utilities, site improvements, facility layout, grading, and yard piping
Complete plans, profiles, elevations, schematics, sections, and some details
Complete
Drawings – structural - Preliminary Preliminary layouts Partially complete Complete
Drawings - mechanical - Preliminary
Complete general arrangement drawings.
Preliminary major equipment, pipe sizes, work clearances, equipment spacing, and access
Complete plans, profiles, elevations, schematics, sections, and some details
Complete
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cost estimate method:
parametric or top-down
Parametric estimating produces construction cost estimates when little information, other than basic parameters, is known about the project.
For example, a construction cost for a pipeline can be estimated given only its size, length, and general location.
A parametric estimate requires the use of construction cost estimating relationships (CERs), also known as cost models, composites, or assemblies/subassemblies, which are developed from historical data and library estimates. CERs are correlated between cost drivers and system parameters, such as design or performance requirements (a quantity of something). A CER can be used individually or grouped into models that are more complex.
A limitation of CERs is that to be most effective, one must completely understand how the CER was developed and where and how indirect costs, overhead costs, scope and market allowances, and escalation were applicable. Parametric construction cost estimating is most appropriate for Class 5 and 4 cost estimates. The parametric method is best used when the design basis has evolved very little detail, but the overall parameters have been established.
Construction cost estimate method:
definitive, detailed, unit-cost, or activity-based
Detailed, unit cost, or activity-based construction cost estimates are the most definitive of the estimate methods and use information down to the lowest level of detail available. They are also the most commonly understood and utilized estimating methods.
The accuracy of these methods depends on the accuracy of available information. A work statement and a set of drawings or specifications may be used to identify activities that make up the project, and detailed quantities are established (for example, cubic yards of excavation).
Each activity must then be further broken down so labor costs, equipment costs, material costs, and subcontract costs (or other unit cost type items) are itemized and quantified. Subtotaled, these costs form direct costs. Indirect costs, overhead costs, scope and market allowance, and escalation are then added as necessary. The estimate may be revised as known details are refined. The detailed, unit cost, or activity-based estimating methods are most used for Class 2 and 1 cost estimates.
Activity-based construction cost estimates, detailed construction cost estimates, bid construction cost estimates, construction cost estimates, and other terms imply that activities, tasks, and work packages (the lowest level of the work breakdown structure (WBS)) are well defined, quantifiable, and tracked so performance can be measured accurately.
Quantities should be objective, discreet, and measurable.
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Organization of construction cost estimates
Definitive construction cost estimates are organized according to a WBS that follows the construction schedule and can be used to compare against the schedule of values prepared by the construction contractor.
In order to achieve this objective:
• Divide the work into main elements that shall, in general, follow the construction schedule. Assign unique WBS numbers to the main elements of work. See Appendix A for an example.
• Within each main WBS (element of work), provide a detailed take-off of all items included within the main WBS. These items will constitute the sub WBS elements. See Appendix A for an example.
selection
Based on the level of information available, determine the class of the estimate and follow the instructions provided in the associated chapter:
• Chapter 3. Class 5 Construction Cost Estimates
• Chapter 4. Class 4 Construction Cost Estimates
• Chapter 5. Class 3 Construction Cost Estimates
• Chapter 6. Class 2 Construction Cost Estimates
• Chapter 7. Class 1 Construction Cost Estimates Figure 2-1 describes the construction cost estimating process flow.
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Construction Cost Estimate selection, continued
Figure 2-1. Construction Cost Estimating Process Flow.
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Additional processes
For instructions on how to complete specific processes within the various classes of construction cost estimates, refer to the associated chapter:
• Chapter 8. Material Take-off, Quantity Survey, and Overhead
• Chapter 9. Evaluating Material Price Quotes
• Chapter 10. Benchmarking
• Chapter 11. Scope and Market Allowance
• Chapter 12. Escalations
• Chapter 13. Managing the Database
• Chapter 14. Basis of Construction Cost Estimate
• Chapter 15. Risk Analysis
• Chapter 16. Construction Cost Estimate Reviews
• Chapter 17. Evaluation of Contractor Bids
Water Authority Construction Cost Estimating Guidelines Chapter 3. Class 5 Estimates
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Chapter 3. Class 5 Estimates – Conceptual Construction Cost Estimate or Order of Magnitude
Description
Class 5 construction cost estimates are generally prepared based on very limited information, and subsequently have wide accuracy ranges. As such, some companies and organizations have elected to determine that due to the inherent inaccuracies, such estimates cannot be classified in a conventional and systematic manner. Class 5 construction cost estimates, due to the requirements of end use, may be prepared within a very limited amount of time and with little effort expended – sometimes requiring less than an hour to prepare.
Often, little more than proposed facility type, general location, and capacity are known at the time of estimate preparation.
Level of project definition required
0% to 2% of full project definition.
End usage Class 5 construction cost estimates are prepared for any number of strategic business planning purposes, such as, but not limited to, market studies, assessment of initial viability, evaluation of alternate schemes, project screening, and project location studies.
cost estimating methods used
Class 5 construction cost estimates usually use statistical estimating methods such as cost/capacity curves and factors (for example, assumed pipe size), and other parametric and modeling techniques.
The Water Authority typically uses cost/capacity curves for conceptual estimating. See Appendix B for an example.
Parametric construction cost estimating is a process of using various factors to develop an estimate. The factors are based on engineering parameters, developed from historical databases and library estimates, construction practices, and engineering/construction technology. Parameters include physical properties that describe project definition characteristics (for example, pipeline size, pump station capacity, and horsepower).
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Expected accuracy range
Typical accuracy ranges for Class 5 construction cost estimates are - 20% to -50% on the low side, and +30% to +100% on the high side, depending on the technological complexity of the project and the inclusion of the appropriate scope and market allowance determination. Ranges could exceed those shown in unusual circumstances.
process
Complete the following steps to prepare the Class 5 construction cost estimate:
Step Action
1. Apply parametric cost curves (periodically maintain and update database).
2. Apply 50% scope and market allowance, performing risk analysis as a scope and market allowance alternative.
3. Apply escalation, utilizing the Muni Model.
Note: Construction cost estimates prepared by the design contractor shall take into account the current climate of the construction industry in the Water Authority’s service area to avoid cost estimating errors stemming from local influences.
Water Authority Construction Cost Estimating Guidelines Chapter 4. Class 4 Construction Cost Estimates
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Chapter 4. Class 4 Construction Cost Estimates – Feasibility Study or Screening Estimate
Description Class 4 construction cost estimates are generally prepared based on limited information and subsequently have wide accuracy ranges.
They are typically used along with other considerations outside this “Guideline” for project screening, determination of feasibility and concept evaluation. Typically, design definition and engineering are from 1% to 15% complete, and would include, at a minimum, the following types of information: linear footage of pipe, size of pipe, same consideration of pressure class, same consideration of construction conditions (rural vs. urban), etc.
definition
1% to 15% of full project definition.
End usage Class 4 construction cost estimates are prepared for a number of purposes, such as, but not limited to, portion of project planning, portion of project screening at more developed stages, portion of alternative scheme analysis, portion of confirmation of economic and/or technical feasibility, or approval to proceed to the next stage.
estimating methods used
Class 4 construction cost estimates usually use unit cost factors, but for elements where these are lacking, may use statistical estimating methods such as cost/capacity curves and factors, and other parametric and modeling techniques. See Appendix B for an example of cost/capacity curves. In addition, unit rate estimates can be used based upon similar projects, by using a schedule of values, and by escalating to present value (for example, costs per linear-foot, per diameter-inch of pipe).
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accuracy range
Typical accuracy ranges for Class 4 construction cost estimates are - 15% to -30% on the low side, and +20% to +50% on the high side, depending on the technological complexity of the project, appropriate reference information, and the inclusion of an appropriate scope and market allowance determination. Ranges could exceed those shown in unusual circumstances.
process
Complete the following steps to prepare the Class 4 construction cost
1. Perform material take-off.
2. Apply unit cost factors using the unit cost schedule of values database (periodically maintain and update database).
3. Apply 30% scope and market allowance, performing risk analysis as a scope and market allowance alternative.
4. Apply escalation, utilizing the Muni Model.
Note: Construction cost estimates prepared by the design contractor shall take into account the current climate of the construction industry
Water Authority Construction Cost Estimating Guidelines Chapter 5. Class 3 Construction Cost Estimates
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Chapter 5. Class 3 Construction Cost Estimates – Preliminary Design Estimate
Description Class 3 construction cost estimates are generally prepared to confirm project construction costs initially set at the Class 5 level. Typically, design definition and engineering are from 10% to 40% complete, and would include, at a minimum, the following: preliminary piping and instrument diagrams, plot plan, and developed layout drawings. See Table 2-3 for more details.
definition
10% to 40% of full project definition.
End usage Class 3 construction cost estimates are part of the total project budget and are prepared as part of “Preliminary Design” efforts. They maybe used to adjust the construction portion of the project budget until replaced by more detailed construction cost estimates.
estimating methods used
Class 3 construction cost estimates usually involve more deterministic estimating methods than statistical methods. They usually include a high degree of unit cost line items, although some elements may have sufficient definition to incorporate a first WBS-based Class 1-like approach. Factoring and other statistical methods may be used to estimate less-significant areas of the project. The Water Authority has moved towards developing library estimates within the HeavyBid software. (HeavyBid software is a standard detailed commercially-available cost estimating software package ordinarily used by contractors to prepare their bid estimates. Use of this package assures that the cost estimate is prepared in the way a contractor would, and not in the typical way a consulting engineer would.) These estimates can be recovered, quantities changed, and labor, equipment, material, and subcontract values updated quickly to give a very detailed, preliminary construction cost estimate.
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accuracy range
Typical accuracy ranges for Class 3 construction cost estimates are - 10% to -20% on the low side, and +10% to +30% on the high side, depending on the technological complexity of the project, appropriate reference information, and the inclusion of an appropriate scope and process
Complete the following steps to prepare the Class 3 construction cost
1.
To the extent that information is available, follow the same process as Class 1. Where information is missing, follow the same process as Class 4.
2. Apply 20% scope and market allowance, performing risk analysis as a scope and market allowance alternative.
3. Apply escalation, utilizing the Muni Model.
Note: Construction cost estimates prepared by the design contractor shall take into account the current climate of the construction industry
Water Authority Construction Cost Estimating Guidelines Chapter 6. Class 2 Construction Cost Estimates
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Chapter 6. Class 2 Construction Cost Estimates – Design Development Estimate
Description Class 2 construction cost estimates are generally prepared to confirm the construction cost as the job progresses to the mid-point of design in order to verify that design progress is still within scope and budget.
Typically, engineering and design support services are from 30% to 70% complete. See Table 2-3 for details on what to include in a Class 2 estimate.
definition
30% to 70% of full project definition.
End usage Class 2 construction cost estimates are typically prepared as part of the “mid-level” design effort.
Estimating methods used
Class 2 construction cost estimates virtually always involve a high degree of definitive estimating methods. Class 2 estimates are prepared in detail, and may involve thousands of cost line items. For those areas of the project still undefined, an assumed level of detail take-off (forced detail) may be developed to use as line items in the estimate instead of relying on factoring methods.
accuracy range
Typical accuracy ranges for Class 2 construction cost estimates are - 5% to -15% on the low side, and +5% to +20% on the high side, depending on the technological complexity of the project, appropriate reference information, and the inclusion of an appropriate scope and
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cost estimate process
Complete the following steps to prepare the Class 2 construction cost
1.
To the extent that information is available, follow the same process as Class 1. Where information is missing, follow the same process as Class 4.
2. Apply 15% scope and market allowance, performing risk analysis as a scope and market allowance alternative.
3. Apply escalation, utilizing the Muni Model.
Note: Construction cost estimates prepared by the design contractor shall take into account the current climate of the construction industry
Water Authority Construction Cost Estimating Guidelines Chapter 7. Class 1 Construction Cost Estimates
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Chapter 7. Class 1 Construction Cost Estimates – Bid or Final Design Estimate
Description Class 1 construction cost estimates are generally prepared for as much of the total project as possible. The parts of the project estimated at this level of detail will typically be used by the Water Authority to establish the “advertised construction cost estimate” for projects. The updated construction cost estimate is often referred to as the current control estimate and it becomes the baseline for the actual construction cost/schedule control of the project. Class 1 construction cost estimates may be used as a fair price estimate or check estimate to compare against a contractor’s bid estimate, or to evaluate/dispute claims. Typically, the design is 100% complete, and would include virtually all engineering and design documentation of the project, and complete project execution and commissioning plans.
definition required
100% of full project definition (complete, bid-ready plans and specifications).
End usage Class 1 construction cost estimates are typically prepared to form a current control estimate to be used as the final control baseline against which bid costs will be evaluated, and form a part of the change order control program. They may be used to evaluate bid checking, to support contractor negotiations, or for claim evaluations and dispute resolution.
estimating methods used
Class 1 construction cost estimates involve the highest degree of definitive estimating methods and require a great amount of effort.
Class 1 construction cost estimates are prepared in great detail, and thus may only be performed on the most important or costly areas of the project if time and/or estimating resources are limited. All items in the construction cost estimate are usually unit cost line items based on actual design quantities.
12/14/2009 7-2 REV 01
accuracy range
Typical accuracy ranges for Class 1 construction cost estimates are - 3% to -10% on the low side, and +3% to +15% on the high side, depending on the technological complexity of the project, appropriate reference information, and the inclusion of an appropriate scope and process
Complete the following steps to prepare the Class 1 construction cost
1. Perform detailed quantity and material take-off.
2. Develop WBS (develop construction crews).
3. Estimate production rates.
4. Obtain material and permanent equipment quotes from suppliers.
5. Estimate direct costs using productivity, the costs database, and quotes.
6. Develop construction schedule.
7. Estimate indirect costs using the cost database and construction schedule.
8. Apply 5% scope and market allowance.
9. Apply escalation, utilizing the Muni Model.
Note: Construction cost estimates prepared by the design contractor shall take into account the current climate of the construction industry
Water Authority Cost Estimating Guidelines Chapter 8. Construction Material Take-Off
Chapter 8. Construction Material Take-off, Quantity Survey, and Overhead
Material quantities and labor activities
The construction material take-off, or quantity survey, is the process of quantifying the materials quantities and labor activities that are within the scope of project construction. Material take-off establishes the scope of project construction and allows for early request for quotes from suppliers as it may take two or three weeks to get a response for pricing. The material take-off must be as accurate as possible, and should be based on all available engineering and design data.
The quantity survey can be divided into two categories. The first category includes quantities of material or work scope that are required to shape project construction (for example, earthworks, clearing and grubbing, stock piling top soil, excavation and back fill; or concrete requiring formwork, reinforcing steel concrete and embeds).
The second category includes definite material to be purchased for installation into the project construction (for example, valves, pipe, pumps, doors, and concrete).
Quantity calculation and pricing
After the scope has been analyzed and broken down into the construction tasks, each task must be quantified prior to pricing.
Equal emphasis should be placed on both accurate quantity calculation and accurate pricing. Quantities should be shown in standard units of measure and should be consistent with the design units (cubic yard/metric). Although others can provide quantities within the project team, the overall responsibility for accuracy of construction quantities remains with the cost-estimating group.
Where meaningful supplier quotes are difficult to obtain, such as fabricated steel pipe specials, fabrication cost models may be appropriate. Databased material costs and subcontract values from previous recent project bids are good sources of current prices.
Having detailed material take-offs and work breakdown structures makes it easy to obtain material and subcontract values.
Sub-contractor work activities
When evaluating the scope of work, it is important that work activities that will be performed by sub-contractors be identified. Examples of these activities are drill and blasting, welding, painting, landscaping, and electrical and instrumentation work.
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design detail
The detail to which the construction quantities are prepared for each task is dependent on the level of design detail. Quantity calculations beyond design details are often necessary to determine a reasonable price to complete the overall scope of the construction cost estimate.
Project construction notes should be added at the appropriate level to explain the basis for the quantity calculations, to show allowances, and to note quantities determined by cost engineering judgment that will be reconciled upon further development of the design. These notes should also be reflected in the Basis of Construction Cost Estimate conveying the estimator’s assumptions and thought processes.
WBS codes The Water Authority construction cost estimates shall be organized by using WBS codes. Quantities grouped under the project WBS should be definable and easily measurable. Lump sum is not an easily measurable quantity, becomes subjective for payment purposes, and therefore is not acceptable for WBS-based estimates. Sub-codes or subcategories should define he next level of activity with greater detail or as a greater number of smaller activities. A WBS is like an organizational chart, or statement of work, for a project that is easily interfaced between the cost estimate, the construction schedule, and the schedule of values for payments. The structure should follow the order in which the project is constructed. See Appendix A for an example.
Materials pricing
Once the construction material take-off (with items that will be purchased) has been performed, it can be sent out for pricing. This will allow the estimate to continue with identification of construction crews, and the establishment of production rates and the cost of work items. Obtaining pricing on materials is not always easy for design estimating, as nothing is actually being purchased. There is reluctance by suppliers to give realistic pricing. If they give pricing, this is usually a budget number. If the bill of material is fairly complete, there is a greater chance to peak a supplier’s interest and receive material pricing. Other sources of information are from suppliers’ websites, historical pricing, talking with project construction management teams, and asking for copies of invoices if materials on hand are paid for as part of a monthly progress payment. If all else fails, build a model and estimate fabrication costs. It is important to maintain industry connections that can be used to obtain material pricing, while keeping a supplier interested by giving updates on the progress of the project through the design phase to the tender phase.
See Appendix C for an example
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Overhead
Construction cost overhead can be divided into two categories: site overhead and head office overhead.
Site overhead Site overhead is the cost of the contractor’s onsite construction management team. Under Mobilization in the Water Authority’s Standard Specifications, Section 01505, there are fifteen items that could be considered site overhead items. These are treated as direct costs as a bid item is provided with the bid schedule. These items are:
• Mobilization of contractor’s plant and equipment. Mobilization is always a Water Authority bid schedule item. The description of items covered under mobilization is defined in the Water Authority’s Standard Specifications, Section 01505. This is shown as a direct cost item as an allowance is made in the bid schedule as either a dollar value or a not-to-exceed percentage of the bid total value.
• Installation of temporary construction power, lighting, and other temporary facilities.
• Development of a construction water supply.
• Providing and maintaining a field office for the contractor.
• Providing and maintaining a field office for the engineer.
• Providing onsite sanitary facilities and potable water facilities.
• Arranging for, and erection of, contractor's work and storage yard.
• Obtaining and maintaining all required permits, insurances, and bonds.
• Posting all OSHA required notices and establishment of safety programs.
• Having the contractor's superintendent present at the job site full time, at all times when the construction is in progress.
• Submitting a CPM Construction Schedule.
• Submitting a Schedule of Values.
• Maintaining the site in a clean, safe, and orderly condition.
• Demobilization and cleanup.
• Photographic documentation of the site and access conditions prior to start of, and at the completion of, construction.
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Site overhead, continued
With all the items covered above, the only remaining indirect onsite overhead is the contractor’s project management team, supervision site vehicles, and any special requirement items. On smaller projects, the above list of mobilization requirements may be substantially reduced due to the project’s duration and size, and the project may essentially be run from the head office with a superintendent or foreman running the site from a storage container or pickup truck.
Head office overhead
Head office overhead is a fixed percentage that each job is assessed in order to operate the head office. An expected range of head office overhead charge against a project would be between 5% to 6%.
Profit is the amount of expected investment return for the risk and investment in the execution of a project. If the profit level is too low, the contractor can get into a cash-flow crunch due to the retentions being held until project completion. If the profit margin is too high, then the contractor does not get the project. An expected level of success for a civil engineering contractor in a normal market could be around one in seven projects bid. Winning more than this means the contractor is too cheap or the market is flush. Winning less than this means the contractor needs to reassess his/her performance and expectations, or the market is tight.
The measurement of risk for the contractor is the amount of exposure, which is usually in the form of labor cost exposure as a percentage of the project versus the cost of material or subcontracted work. In order to assess this, there are several ways to measure this. Table 8-1 shows the markup template from the Water Authority’s HeavyBid construction cost estimating software.
Table 8-1. HeavyBid Cost Estimating Template.
Item Cost Basis % Markup Markup
Labor $1,057,157 50% $526,579
Burden $760,987 50% $380,494
Permanent Material $6,403,192 7% $448,223
Construction Material $594,653 7% $38,476
Subcontract $2,386,498 3% $71,595
Equipment Operating Expense $366,947 5% $18,347
Company Equipment $175,500 5% $8,775
Rented Equipment $4,584 5% $229 Miscellaneous - - - Totals $11,700,518 12.76% $1,492,718
Water Authority Construction Cost Estimating Guidelines Chapter 9. Evaluating Material Price Quotes
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Chapter 9. Evaluating Material Price Quotes
Overview Early in the development of a construction cost estimate, it is a good idea to request specific price quotes from the suppliers of particular material(s) that will be used on a project. This includes large diameter pipe, valves, and large mechanical equipment (for example, pumps, motors, and generators). This list should be developed early in the process, so suppliers can prepare and return their quotes before completion of the estimates (it may take suppliers a couple of weeks to return their quotes). Exactly how this is handled depends both on the class of the estimate and on the kind of material.
Price quotes per class of construction cost estimate
This type of itemization is not done for Class 5 construction cost estimates.
For Class 4 construction cost estimates, a general description of the material/equipment will be all that is available.
Building from Class 3 construction cost estimates on towards a Class 1 construction cost estimates, more and more of the items become increasingly well defined.
For a full Class 1 construction cost estimate, each item should be fully defined by a detailed specification. Additionally, by the time a Class 1 level is reached, it will be possible to “bundle” items into packages to be supplied by a single supplier, to take advantage of prices that may not be available for single item purchasers.
Large diameter pipe price quotes
It is important to distinguish between large diameter pipe construction prices and other material/equipment construction prices. For other equipment, it is generally suitable to accept the supplier’s quote at face value. For pipe, the price quoted by a supplier tends to include market factor markups that are accounted for separately in the Water Authority’s process, and so those factors need to be discounted from the supplier’s quote. The preferred method to produce a true cost-based estimate is to calculate the cost of pipe based on the supplier’s costs, break it down back into basic raw steel cost, and add in the labor costs, equipment costs, etc. incurred by the manufacturer. This can then be compared with the supplier’s price quote to understand the current market markup conditions.
Price quote documentation
Complete documentation of all price quote information should be retained as part of the supporting documentation for the construction cost estimate.
Water Authority Construction Cost Estimating Guidelines Chapter 10. Benchmarking
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Chapter 10. Benchmarking
Overview Benchmarking is the process that allows individual aspects of cost to be analyzed or compared to historical construction cost. Construction cost benchmarking is continually done through the design and construction phases.
Benchmarking serves three purposes:
• To perform a quick “reality check” of your bottoms-up Class 3, 2, or 1 construction cost estimates by verifying that the breakdown of costs into labor, materials, etc., conforms more-or-less to actual past construction project costs
• To create Class 5 or 4 construction cost estimates by referring to records of past actual construction costs for similar projects
• To evaluate your construction cost estimating ability by comparing the actual bid results to your estimate
Benchmarking use
A detailed construction cost estimate with accurate quantities/units, along with labor, material, equipment, and subcontract values can easily be benchmarked against previous library estimates to compare relationships and look for anomalies. The level of accuracy needed for benchmarking is limited when a construction cost estimate includes allowances with lump sum values and little or no supporting documentation. As the level of estimate becomes definitive, benchmarking is a tool to help identify inconsistencies.
Historical (benchmarked) cost applied to the construction cost estimate is identified. For example, small tools and equipment cost may have been added at each activity level based on a percentage of labor. In addition, a major subcontract trade may have a limited amount of defined scope and the cost may be based on historical contract values of similar projects. Finally, the overall project value can be benchmarked to a recent, completed construction project with similar characteristics such as flows, horsepower, and/or design loads.
Comparing historical cost is not limited to the benchmarking of material, labor, and equipment dollars associated with each activity alone. The length of time of the duration of an activity or the total project can also be benchmarked. Project cost can be inflated by conservative production rates, which in turn, affects the indirect cost or the cost of managing the project from start to finish.
Other methods of identifying a project benchmark are described in this chapter.
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Direct cost vs.
indirect cost
Provide a method of benchmarking the project’s indirect cost in terms that are clear and meaningful. For example, true indirect cost items that are not directly associated with the execution and site management of a project should be identified. The indirect cost should not include percentages of direct cost items such as material tax, labor factors, material adjustments, and labor burden or workmen’s compensation and onsite management. Tables 10-1 and 10-2 show examples of direct and indirect cost summaries.
Actual costs Fundamentally, the actual construction costs of completed projects are the best guide to benchmarking. These actual costs are analyzed into the components that are useful for each class of estimate for future projects:
• For use in future Class 5 construction cost estimates, note the actual “cost curve” data such as total project cost per diameter-inch, per linear foot for a pipeline, or total project cost per horsepower for a pump station.
• For use in future Class 4 construction cost estimates, note the bid costs (“unit costs”) for the various work items.
• For use in future bottoms-up (Classes 3, 2, or 1) construction cost estimates, the actual bid results will need to be de-constructed by a detailed analysis. Based on the bid costs, and any other information listed in the bid (such as material supplier costs or subcontractor costs), break the bid down into the individual components used in a bottoms-up cost estimate (such as direct labor, material quotes, subcontractor quotes, indirect costs, and overhead and mark-up costs). Use these breakdowns to further determine basic input factors such as productivity rates for labor and equipment. These are useful as good basic input data (that is, production rates) for your next construction cost estimate, and as a quick reality check of your next construction cost estimate. For example, if you have “constructed” a pipeline job composed of 80% labor costs, but the benchmark of previous actual bids is only 30% labor costs, it is a sign that you need to do some quality control review of your construction cost estimate.
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Table 10-1. Construction Cost Estimate Recap – Bid Quantities (Site Expenses).
Cost Item Direct Indirect Total % of Total
Labor $982,776.68 $518,170.87 $1,500,947.55 9.617%
Burden $726,596.80 $333,304.79 $1,059,901.59 6.791%
Labor + Burden $1,709,373.48 $851,475.66 $2,560,849.14 16.408%
Permanent Material $7,122,498.51 $0 $7,122,498.51 45.635%
Construction Material $515,673.75 $42,573.78 $558,247.53 3.577%
Equipment $853,190.93 $114,533.76 $967,724.69 6.200%
Subcontract $4,140,640.87 $0 $4,140,640.87 26.530%
Other $257,530.00 $0 $257,530.00 1.650%
Total Cost $14,598,907.54 $1,008,583.20 $15,607,490.74 100.00%
% of Total 93.538% 6.462% 100.00% -
Table 10-2. Construction Cost Estimate Markup – Indirect Costs (Off-site Expenses).
Markup on Resource Costs $2,008,709.36 12.8702%
Cost Add-ons $0 0%
Head Office Overhead – 5% of Total $780,374.54 5.0000%
All Risk Insurance – 0.9000% of Cost, Markup, and Previous Add-ons
$166,273.89 1.0653%
Bond from Summary Table $78,302.52 0.5017%
Markup, Add-on, and Bond Totals $3,033,660.31 19.4372%
(% of Cost)
Cost + Markup $18,641,151.05 -
From the example in Table 10-1, the benchmarked relationship to notice is the indirect cost for site expenses, which includes onsite supervision. In this example, the indirect site expenses are 6.462%.
For Water Authority-type heavy civil works projects, these expenses should be in the range of 6 to 8%.
From the example in Table 10-2, the benchmarked relationship to notice is the offsite indirect costs and markup compared to the onsite costs. For heavy civil projects, this markup is usually in the range of 18 to 22%. The example shown is 19.437%, which is within the expected benchmarked range. Variations occur depending on the amount of material cost and subcontract work in the estimate, versus the amount of self-performed work.
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Markup vs.
risk
Too often, markup is applied as an arbitrary percentage for overhead and profit, without considering the risk exposure within the estimate.
The exposure, or risk, can be measured as the amount of work that is self-performed versus subcontracted (where someone else is carrying the risk). Risk is usually seen as the amount of burdened labor costs in relationship to the other resources within the estimate. If the value of material and/or subcontract values are high, then the burden labor is lower and the risk and consequently the amount of markup will be lower. Table 10-3 shows an example markup calculated based upon risk exposure. This table is from the HCSS HeavyBid cost estimating software. To obtain a markup, the estimator applies percentages against resource totals as a measure of risk.
From Table 10-3, benchmarked percentages are used as a way of measuring risk exposure and consequently a markup is calculated.
As shown in Table 10-3, markup on resource costs is 12.87%.
Table 10-3. Bid Summary (Markup)*.
Item Cost % Markup Markup
Labor $1,500,948 50% $750,474
Burden $1,059,902 50% $529951
Permanent Material $7,122,499 7% $498,575
Construction Material $815,778 7% $57,104
Subcontract $4,140,641 3% $124,219
Equipment Operating Expense $688,631 5% $34,432
Company Owned Equipment (rent) $276,819 5% $13,841
Outside rental Equipment $2,275 5% $114
Total $15,607,493 12.87% $2,008,709 *Markup…
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