This National Science Foundation (NSF) Integrative Activities (CFDA 47.083) Project Grant award of $290,165 to the University of Hawaii (UH) at Manoa will support a collaborative research project to improve subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting of extreme hydrometeorological events and their impacts in Hawaii. The project aims to deepen the understanding of intraseasonal climate variability in the central Pacific and develop an S2S forecast system for events like heavy rainfall, flooding, and droughts in Hawaii.
The work will be conducted in partnership with researchers at the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego. Key objectives include clarifying the impact of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on Hawaii's hydroclimate and evaluating the accuracy of S2S forecasts in the central Pacific. The project will also create an S2S forecast system for Hawaii by downscaling real-time ensemble weather forecasts to support emergency planning and preparedness. This award spans 24 months from January 1, 2024 to December 31, 2025 and does not include any planned sub-awards.
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