5 THIS PROPOSAL ADDRESSES TWO KEY ITEMS LISTED UNDER THE "GOALS AND MEASURES OF S1TCCESS" FOR THE TARGETED SCIENCE TEAM ADDRESSING "MAGNETIC FLUX ROPES FROM THE SUN TO THE HELIOSPHERE", DESCRIBED IN THE NRA, NAMELY: IDENTIFY THE FORMATION MECHANISMS OF FLUX ROPES IN THE SOLAR ATMOSPHERE, UNDERSTAND THE EVOLUTIONARY PROCESSES LEADING TO ERUPTIONS CLEARLY, BY ADDRESSING THESE SCIENCE OBJECTIVES DIRECTLY, IN DETAIL, AND FOR A FULL CYCLE (AND MORE), OUR PROPOSAL COMPLIES WITH THE OBJECTIVES OF THIS ROSES ELEMENT, AND HENCE WITH THE REQUIREMENTS OF RELEVANCE TO THE OVERALL NASA SCIENCE OBJECTIVES. OUR STUDY CONSISTS OF TWO COMPONENTS. FIRST WE WILL USE SEVERAL OF THE NEWLY DEVELOPED MODULES FOR AUTOMATED FEATURE RECOGNITION, DEVELOPED TO SUPPORT THE SDO MISSION (MARTENS ET AL. 2012), FOR AN IN-DEPTH STUDY OF THE OBSERVATIONS OF FILAMENT FORMATION AND FILAMENT CHIRALITY DURING THE ENTIRE CYCLE 23. THIS WILL BE COMBINED WITH MDI MEASUREMENTS OF THE SWAMIS MODULE (A.LSO SUMMARIZED IN MARTENS ET AL. 2012, WITH REFERENCES THEREIN) OF EMERGING FLUX, AND SURFACE MAGNETIC FLUX EVOLUTION IN GENERAL. THE MEASUREMENT RESULTS OF THESE MODULES ARE DESCRIBED IN DETAIL IN THE NEXT SECTION. NEVER BEFORE HAS FILAMENT CHIRALITY BEEN OBSERVED OVER AN ENTIRE CYCLE, AND THE RESULTS ARE RATHER SURPRISING, BUT NEED TO EXPLORED IN MORE DETAIL, WHICH IS THE FIRST PART OF OUR PROPOSAL. ONCE THE OBSERVATIONS OF THE DEVELOPMENT, CHIRALITY, AND EVENTUAL ERUPTIONS OF FILAMENTS HAVE BEEN FULLY DIGESTED, THE QUESTION CAN BE ASKED TO WHAT DEGREE WE UNDERSTAND THESE OBSERVATIONS AND ARE ABLE TO REPRODUCE THEM, AND THEREFROM EVENTUALLY COME WITH PREDICTIONS FOR THE FORMATION, MAGNETIC TOPOLOGY (E.G. CHIRALITY), EVOLUTION, AND ERUPTION OF FILAMENTS. TO REPRODUCE THE OBSERVATIONS WE CHOSE A SIMULATION CODE FOR SURFACE MAGNETIC FLUX TRANSPORT, COMBINED WITH A NON-POTENTIAL FORCE-FREE CORONA. THIS GLOBAL NON-POTENTIAL (NP) CODE DEVELOPED BY CO-L'S MACKAY AND YEATES IN CLOSE COLLABORATION WITH DR. VAN BALLEGOOIJEN AT CFA (FOR A REVIEW SEE MACKAY AND YEATES 2012), HAS DEMONSTRATED ITS USEFULNESS IN A LARGE SERIES OF PAPERS. IT HAS REPRODUCED THE FORMATION AND ERUPTION OF PROMINENCES IN AGREEMENT WITH OBSERVED HEMISPHERIC PREFERENCES AND CYCLE DEPENDENCE, AND IT IS BASED UPON THE FORMATION MECHANISM BY FLUX CANCELLATION ORIGINALLY PROPOSED BY VAN BALLEGOOIJEN AND MARTENS (1989). THE CODE HAS NOT BEEN SUCCESSFUL YET THOUGH IN REPRODUCING THE ABSOLUTE NUMBERS OF FILAMENT ERUPTIONS OBSERVED ON THE DISK (YEATES, CONSTABLE, AND MARTENS 2010), AND WE PROPOSE REMEDIES FOR THAT IN HERE. THE EVOLUTION OF OUR CODE WILL BE DRIVEN BY OBSERVATIONS OF FLUX EMERGENCE, FIRST THOSE DERIVED FROM KITT PEAK DATA, AND IN FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BY THOSE AUTOMATICALLY ANALYZED BY SWAMIS FROM MDI DATA. WHAT CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS PROJECT IF ITS OBJECTIVES ARE ACCOMPLISHED? FIRST, WE WILL BE ABLE TO DETERMINE INITIAL CONDITIONS FOR THE SIMULATION OF CME'S IN THEIR INTERPLANETARY JOURNEYS, ANOTHER SPECIFIC OBJECTIVE OF THIS PROGRAM ELEMENT: "UNDERSTAND THE EVOLUTION OF FLUX ROPES IN THE INTERPLANETARY MEDIUM, AND IN PARTICULAR, RELATE THE FLUX ROPE IMF AT 1 AU TO SOLAR OBSERVATIONS." THE MAGNETIC TOPOLOGY OF FLUX ROPES IS VERY LIKELY PRESERVED AS THEY TRAVEL THROUGH THE HELIOSPHERE, AND HENCE A CORRECT DETERMINATION OF THEIR INITIAL STATUS IS INDISPENSABLE. SECOND, IF OUR SIMULATIONS ARE SUCCESSFUL FOR AN ENTIRE CYCLE THAT WILL PROVIDE STRONG INDIRECT SUPPORT FOR THE VAN BALLEGOOIJENMARTENS FLUX CANCELLATION MECHANISM AS THE MAIN PHYSICAL DRIVER OF FILAMENT FORMATION, ALTHOUGH Other Administrative Action $0 4/22/20 Not listed THIS PROPOSAL ADDRESSES TWO KEY ITEMS LISTED UNDER THE "GOALS AND MEASURES OF S1TCCESS" FOR THE TARGETED SCIENCE TEAM ADDRESSING "MAGNETIC FLUX ROPES FROM THE SUN TO THE HELIOSPHERE" DESCRIBED IN THE NRA NAMELY: IDENTIFY THE FORMATION MECHANISMS OF FLUX ROPES IN THE SOLAR ATMOSPHERE UNDERSTAND THE EVOLUTIONARY PROCESSES LEADING TO ERUPTIONS CLEARLY BY ADDRESSING THESE SCIENCE OBJECTIVES DIRECTLY IN DETAIL AND FOR A FULL CYCLE (AND MORE) OUR PROPOSAL COMPLIES WITH THE OBJECTIVES OF THIS ROSES ELEMENT AND HENCE WITH THE REQUIREMENTS OF RELEVANCE TO THE OVERALL NASA SCIENCE OBJECTIVES. OUR STUDY CONSISTS OF TWO COMPONENTS. FIRST WE WILL USE SEVERAL OF THE NEWLY DEVELOPED MODULES FOR AUTOMATED FEATURE RECOGNITION DEVELOPED TO SUPPORT THE SDO MISSION (MARTENS ET AL. 2012) FOR AN IN-DEPTH STUDY OF THE OBSERVATIONS OF FILAMENT FORMATION AND FILAMENT CHIRALITY DURING THE ENTIRE CYCLE 23. THIS WILL BE COMBINED WITH MDI MEASUREMENTS OF THE SWAMIS MODULE (A.LSO SUMMARIZED IN MARTENS ET AL. 2012 WITH REFERENCES THEREIN) OF EMERGING FLUX AND SURFACE MAGNETIC FLUX EVOLUTION IN GENERAL. THE MEASUREMENT RESULTS OF THESE MODULES ARE DESCRIBED IN DETAIL IN THE NEXT SECTION. NEVER BEFORE HAS FILAMENT CHIRALITY BEEN OBSERVED OVER AN ENTIRE CYCLE AND THE RESULTS ARE RATHER SURPRISING BUT NEED TO EXPLORED IN MORE DETAIL WHICH IS THE FIRST PART OF OUR PROPOSAL. ONCE THE OBSERVATIONS OF THE DEVELOPMENT CHIRALITY AND EVENTUAL ERUPTIONS OF FILAMENTS HAVE BEEN FULLY DIGESTED THE QUESTION CAN BE ASKED TO WHAT DEGREE WE UNDERSTAND THESE OBSERVATIONS AND ARE ABLE TO REPRODUCE THEM AND THEREFROM EVENTUALLY COME WITH PREDICTIONS FOR THE FORMATION MAGNETIC TOPOLOGY (E.G. CHIRALITY) EVOLUTION AND ERUPTION OF FILAMENTS. TO REPRODUCE THE OBSERVATIONS WE CHOSE A SIMULATION CODE FOR SURFACE MAGNETIC FLUX TRANSPORT COMBINED WITH A NON-POTENTIAL FORCE-FREE CORONA. THIS GLOBAL NON-POTENTIAL (NP) CODE DEVELOPED BY CO-L'S MACKAY AND YEATES IN CLOSE COLLABORATION WITH DR. VAN BALLEGOOIJEN AT CFA (FOR A REVIEW SEE MACKAY AND YEATES 2012) HAS DEMONSTRATED ITS USEFULNESS IN A LARGE SERIES OF PAPERS. IT HAS REPRODUCED THE FORMATION AND ERUPTION OF PROMINENCES IN AGREEMENT WITH OBSERVED HEMISPHERIC PREFERENCES AND CYCLE DEPENDENCE AND IT IS BASED UPON THE FORMATION MECHANISM BY FLUX CANCELLATION ORIGINALLY PROPOSED BY VAN BALLEGOOIJEN AND MARTENS (1989). THE CODE HAS NOT BEEN SUCCESSFUL YET THOUGH IN REPRODUCING THE ABSOLUTE NUMBERS OF FILAMENT ERUPTIONS OBSERVED ON THE DISK (YEATES CONSTABLE AND MARTENS 2010) AND WE PROPOSE REMEDIES FOR THAT IN HERE. THE EVOLUTION OF OUR CODE WILL BE DRIVEN BY OBSERVATIONS OF FLUX EMERGENCE FIRST THOSE DERIVED FROM KITT PEAK DATA AND IN FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BY THOSE AUTOMATICALLY ANALYZED BY SWAMIS FROM MDI DATA. WHAT CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS PROJECT IF ITS OBJECTIVES ARE ACCOMPLISHED? FIRST WE WILL BE ABLE TO DETERMINE INITIAL CONDITIONS FOR THE SIMULATION OF CME'S IN THEIR INTERPLANETARY JOURNEYS ANOTHER SPECIFIC OBJECTIVE OF THIS PROGRAM ELEMENT: "UNDERSTAND THE EVOLUTION OF FLUX ROPES IN THE INTERPLANETARY MEDIUM AND IN PARTICULAR RELATE THE FLUX ROPE IMF AT 1 AU TO SOLAR OBSERVATIONS." THE MAGNETIC TOPOLOGY OF FLUX ROPES IS VERY LIKELY PRESERVED AS THEY TRAVEL THROUGH THE HELIOSPHERE AND HENCE A CORRECT DETERMINATION OF THEIR INITIAL STATUS IS INDISPENSABLE. SECOND IF OUR SIMULATIONS ARE SUCCESSFUL FOR AN ENTIRE CYCLE THAT WILL PROVIDE STRONG INDIRECT SUPPORT FOR THE VAN BALLEGOOIJENMARTENS FLUX CANCELLATION MECHANISM AS THE MAIN PHYSICAL DRIVER OF FILAMENT FORMATION ALTHOUGH $0 4/22/20 4 THIS PROPOSAL ADDRESSES TWO KEY ITEMS LISTED UNDER THE "GOALS AND MEASURES OF S1TCCESS" FOR THE TARGETED SCIENCE TEAM ADDRESSING "MAGNETIC FLUX ROPES FROM THE SUN TO THE HELIOSPHERE", DESCRIBED IN THE NRA, NAMELY: IDENTIFY THE FORMATION MECHANISMS OF FLUX ROPES IN THE SOLAR ATMOSPHERE, UNDERSTAND THE EVOLUTIONARY PROCESSES LEADING TO ERUPTIONS CLEARLY, BY ADDRESSING THESE SCIENCE OBJECTIVES DIRECTLY, IN DETAIL, AND FOR A FULL CYCLE (AND MORE), OUR PROPOSAL COMPLIES WITH THE OBJECTIVES OF THIS ROSES ELEMENT, AND HENCE WITH THE REQUIREMENTS OF RELEVANCE TO THE OVERALL NASA SCIENCE OBJECTIVES. OUR STUDY CONSISTS OF TWO COMPONENTS. FIRST WE WILL USE SEVERAL OF THE NEWLY DEVELOPED MODULES FOR AUTOMATED FEATURE RECOGNITION, DEVELOPED TO SUPPORT THE SDO MISSION (MARTENS ET AL. 2012), FOR AN IN-DEPTH STUDY OF THE OBSERVATIONS OF FILAMENT FORMATION AND FILAMENT CHIRALITY DURING THE ENTIRE CYCLE 23. THIS WILL BE COMBINED WITH MDI MEASUREMENTS OF THE SWAMIS MODULE (A.LSO SUMMARIZED IN MARTENS ET AL. 2012, WITH REFERENCES THEREIN) OF EMERGING FLUX, AND SURFACE MAGNETIC FLUX EVOLUTION IN GENERAL. THE MEASUREMENT RESULTS OF THESE MODULES ARE DESCRIBED IN DETAIL IN THE NEXT SECTION. NEVER BEFORE HAS FILAMENT CHIRALITY BEEN OBSERVED OVER AN ENTIRE CYCLE, AND THE RESULTS ARE RATHER SURPRISING, BUT NEED TO EXPLORED IN MORE DETAIL, WHICH IS THE FIRST PART OF OUR PROPOSAL. ONCE THE OBSERVATIONS OF THE DEVELOPMENT, CHIRALITY, AND EVENTUAL ERUPTIONS OF FILAMENTS HAVE BEEN FULLY DIGESTED, THE QUESTION CAN BE ASKED TO WHAT DEGREE WE UNDERSTAND THESE OBSERVATIONS AND ARE ABLE TO REPRODUCE THEM, AND THEREFROM EVENTUALLY COME WITH PREDICTIONS FOR THE FORMATION, MAGNETIC TOPOLOGY (E.G. CHIRALITY), EVOLUTION, AND ERUPTION OF FILAMENTS. TO REPRODUCE THE OBSERVATIONS WE CHOSE A SIMULATION CODE FOR SURFACE MAGNETIC FLUX TRANSPORT, COMBINED WITH A NON-POTENTIAL FORCE-FREE CORONA. THIS GLOBAL NON-POTENTIAL (NP) CODE DEVELOPED BY CO-L'S MACKAY AND YEATES IN CLOSE COLLABORATION WITH DR. VAN BALLEGOOIJEN AT CFA (FOR A REVIEW SEE MACKAY AND YEATES 2012), HAS DEMONSTRATED ITS USEFULNESS IN A LARGE SERIES OF PAPERS. IT HAS REPRODUCED THE FORMATION AND ERUPTION OF PROMINENCES IN AGREEMENT WITH OBSERVED HEMISPHERIC PREFERENCES AND CYCLE DEPENDENCE, AND IT IS BASED UPON THE FORMATION MECHANISM BY FLUX CANCELLATION ORIGINALLY PROPOSED BY VAN BALLEGOOIJEN AND MARTENS (1989). THE CODE HAS NOT BEEN SUCCESSFUL YET THOUGH IN REPRODUCING THE ABSOLUTE NUMBERS OF FILAMENT ERUPTIONS OBSERVED ON THE DISK (YEATES, CONSTABLE, AND MARTENS 2010), AND WE PROPOSE REMEDIES FOR THAT IN HERE. THE EVOLUTION OF OUR CODE WILL BE DRIVEN BY OBSERVATIONS OF FLUX EMERGENCE, FIRST THOSE DERIVED FROM KITT PEAK DATA, AND IN FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BY THOSE AUTOMATICALLY ANALYZED BY SWAMIS FROM MDI DATA. WHAT CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS PROJECT IF ITS OBJECTIVES ARE ACCOMPLISHED? FIRST, WE WILL BE ABLE TO DETERMINE INITIAL CONDITIONS FOR THE SIMULATION OF CME'S IN THEIR INTERPLANETARY JOURNEYS, ANOTHER SPECIFIC OBJECTIVE OF THIS PROGRAM ELEMENT: "UNDERSTAND THE EVOLUTION OF FLUX ROPES IN THE INTERPLANETARY MEDIUM, AND IN PARTICULAR, RELATE THE FLUX ROPE IMF AT 1 AU TO SOLAR OBSERVATIONS." THE MAGNETIC TOPOLOGY OF FLUX ROPES IS VERY LIKELY PRESERVED AS THEY TRAVEL THROUGH THE HELIOSPHERE, AND HENCE A CORRECT DETERMINATION OF THEIR INITIAL STATUS IS INDISPENSABLE. SECOND, IF OUR SIMULATIONS ARE SUCCESSFUL FOR AN ENTIRE CYCLE THAT WILL PROVIDE STRONG INDIRECT SUPPORT FOR THE VAN BALLEGOOIJENMARTENS FLUX CANCELLATION MECHANISM AS THE MAIN PHYSICAL DRIVER OF FILAMENT FORMATION, ALTHOUGH Other Administrative Action $0 5/2/19 Not listed THIS PROPOSAL ADDRESSES TWO KEY ITEMS LISTED UNDER THE "GOALS AND MEASURES OF S1TCCESS" FOR THE TARGETED SCIENCE TEAM ADDRESSING "MAGNETIC FLUX ROPES FROM THE SUN TO THE HELIOSPHERE" DESCRIBED IN THE NRA NAMELY: IDENTIFY THE FORMATION MECHANISMS OF FLUX ROPES IN THE SOLAR ATMOSPHERE UNDERSTAND THE EVOLUTIONARY PROCESSES LEADING TO ERUPTIONS CLEARLY BY ADDRESSING THESE SCIENCE OBJECTIVES DIRECTLY IN DETAIL AND FOR A FULL CYCLE (AND MORE) OUR PROPOSAL COMPLIES WITH THE OBJECTIVES OF THIS ROSES ELEMENT AND HENCE WITH THE REQUIREMENTS OF RELEVANCE TO THE OVERALL NASA SCIENCE OBJECTIVES. OUR STUDY CONSISTS OF TWO COMPONENTS. FIRST WE WILL USE SEVERAL OF THE NEWLY DEVELOPED MODULES FOR AUTOMATED FEATURE RECOGNITION DEVELOPED TO SUPPORT THE SDO MISSION (MARTENS ET AL. 2012) FOR AN IN-DEPTH STUDY OF THE OBSERVATIONS OF FILAMENT FORMATION AND FILAMENT CHIRALITY DURING THE ENTIRE CYCLE 23. THIS WILL BE COMBINED WITH MDI MEASUREMENTS OF THE SWAMIS MODULE (A.LSO SUMMARIZED IN MARTENS ET AL. 2012 WITH REFERENCES THEREIN) OF EMERGING FLUX AND SURFACE MAGNETIC FLUX EVOLUTION IN GENERAL. THE MEASUREMENT RESULTS OF THESE MODULES ARE DESCRIBED IN DETAIL IN THE NEXT SECTION. NEVER BEFORE HAS FILAMENT CHIRALITY BEEN OBSERVED OVER AN ENTIRE CYCLE AND THE RESULTS ARE RATHER SURPRISING BUT NEED TO EXPLORED IN MORE DETAIL WHICH IS THE FIRST PART OF OUR PROPOSAL. ONCE THE OBSERVATIONS OF THE DEVELOPMENT CHIRALITY AND EVENTUAL ERUPTIONS OF FILAMENTS HAVE BEEN FULLY DIGESTED THE QUESTION CAN BE ASKED TO WHAT DEGREE WE UNDERSTAND THESE OBSERVATIONS AND ARE ABLE TO REPRODUCE THEM AND THEREFROM EVENTUALLY COME WITH PREDICTIONS FOR THE FORMATION MAGNETIC TOPOLOGY (E.G. CHIRALITY) EVOLUTION AND ERUPTION OF FILAMENTS. TO REPRODUCE THE OBSERVATIONS WE CHOSE A SIMULATION CODE FOR SURFACE MAGNETIC FLUX TRANSPORT COMBINED WITH A NON-POTENTIAL FORCE-FREE CORONA. THIS GLOBAL NON-POTENTIAL (NP) CODE DEVELOPED BY CO-L'S MACKAY AND YEATES IN CLOSE COLLABORATION WITH DR. VAN BALLEGOOIJEN AT CFA (FOR A REVIEW SEE MACKAY AND YEATES 2012) HAS DEMONSTRATED ITS USEFULNESS IN A LARGE SERIES OF PAPERS. IT HAS REPRODUCED THE FORMATION AND ERUPTION OF PROMINENCES IN AGREEMENT WITH OBSERVED HEMISPHERIC PREFERENCES AND CYCLE DEPENDENCE AND IT IS BASED UPON THE FORMATION MECHANISM BY FLUX CANCELLATION ORIGINALLY PROPOSED BY VAN BALLEGOOIJEN AND MARTENS (1989). THE CODE HAS NOT BEEN SUCCESSFUL YET THOUGH IN REPRODUCING THE ABSOLUTE NUMBERS OF FILAMENT ERUPTIONS OBSERVED ON THE DISK (YEATES CONSTABLE AND MARTENS 2010) AND WE PROPOSE REMEDIES FOR THAT IN HERE. THE EVOLUTION OF OUR CODE WILL BE DRIVEN BY OBSERVATIONS OF FLUX EMERGENCE FIRST THOSE DERIVED FROM KITT PEAK DATA AND IN FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BY THOSE AUTOMATICALLY ANALYZED BY SWAMIS FROM MDI DATA. WHAT CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS PROJECT IF ITS OBJECTIVES ARE ACCOMPLISHED? FIRST WE WILL BE ABLE TO DETERMINE INITIAL CONDITIONS FOR THE SIMULATION OF CME'S IN THEIR INTERPLANETARY JOURNEYS ANOTHER SPECIFIC OBJECTIVE OF THIS PROGRAM ELEMENT: "UNDERSTAND THE EVOLUTION OF FLUX ROPES IN THE INTERPLANETARY MEDIUM AND IN PARTICULAR RELATE THE FLUX ROPE IMF AT 1 AU TO SOLAR OBSERVATIONS." THE MAGNETIC TOPOLOGY OF FLUX ROPES IS VERY LIKELY PRESERVED AS THEY TRAVEL THROUGH THE HELIOSPHERE AND HENCE A CORRECT DETERMINATION OF THEIR INITIAL STATUS IS INDISPENSABLE. SECOND IF OUR SIMULATIONS ARE SUCCESSFUL FOR AN ENTIRE CYCLE THAT WILL PROVIDE STRONG INDIRECT SUPPORT FOR THE VAN BALLEGOOIJENMARTENS FLUX CANCELLATION MECHANISM AS THE MAIN PHYSICAL DRIVER OF FILAMENT FORMATION ALTHOUGH $0 5/2/19 3 THIS PROPOSAL ADDRESSES TWO KEY ITEMS LISTED UNDER THE "GOALS AND MEASURES OF S1TCCESS" FOR THE TARGETED SCIENCE TEAM ADDRESSING "MAGNETIC FLUX ROPES FROM THE SUN TO THE HELIOSPHERE", DESCRIBED IN THE NRA, NAMELY: IDENTIFY THE FORMATION MECHANISMS OF FLUX ROPES IN THE SOLAR ATMOSPHERE, UNDERSTAND THE EVOLUTIONARY PROCESSES LEADING TO ERUPTIONS CLEARLY, BY ADDRESSING THESE SCIENCE OBJECTIVES DIRECTLY, IN DETAIL, AND FOR A FULL CYCLE (AND MORE), OUR PROPOSAL COMPLIES WITH THE OBJECTIVES OF THIS ROSES ELEMENT, AND HENCE WITH THE REQUIREMENTS OF RELEVANCE TO THE OVERALL NASA SCIENCE OBJECTIVES. OUR STUDY CONSISTS OF TWO COMPONENTS. FIRST WE WILL USE SEVERAL OF THE NEWLY DEVELOPED MODULES FOR AUTOMATED FEATURE RECOGNITION, DEVELOPED TO SUPPORT THE SDO MISSION (MARTENS ET AL. 2012), FOR AN IN-DEPTH STUDY OF THE OBSERVATIONS OF FILAMENT FORMATION AND FILAMENT CHIRALITY DURING THE ENTIRE CYCLE 23. THIS WILL BE COMBINED WITH MDI MEASUREMENTS OF THE SWAMIS MODULE (A.LSO SUMMARIZED IN MARTENS ET AL. 2012, WITH REFERENCES THEREIN) OF EMERGING FLUX, AND SURFACE MAGNETIC FLUX EVOLUTION IN GENERAL. THE MEASUREMENT RESULTS OF THESE MODULES ARE DESCRIBED IN DETAIL IN THE NEXT SECTION. NEVER BEFORE HAS FILAMENT CHIRALITY BEEN OBSERVED OVER AN ENTIRE CYCLE, AND THE RESULTS ARE RATHER SURPRISING, BUT NEED TO EXPLORED IN MORE DETAIL, WHICH IS THE FIRST PART OF OUR PROPOSAL. ONCE THE OBSERVATIONS OF THE DEVELOPMENT, CHIRALITY, AND EVENTUAL ERUPTIONS OF FILAMENTS HAVE BEEN FULLY DIGESTED, THE QUESTION CAN BE ASKED TO WHAT DEGREE WE UNDERSTAND THESE OBSERVATIONS AND ARE ABLE TO REPRODUCE THEM, AND THEREFROM EVENTUALLY COME WITH PREDICTIONS FOR THE FORMATION, MAGNETIC TOPOLOGY (E.G. CHIRALITY), EVOLUTION, AND ERUPTION OF FILAMENTS. TO REPRODUCE THE OBSERVATIONS WE CHOSE A SIMULATION CODE FOR SURFACE MAGNETIC FLUX TRANSPORT, COMBINED WITH A NON-POTENTIAL FORCE-FREE CORONA. THIS GLOBAL NON-POTENTIAL (NP) CODE DEVELOPED BY CO-L'S MACKAY AND YEATES IN CLOSE COLLABORATION WITH DR. VAN BALLEGOOIJEN AT CFA (FOR A REVIEW SEE MACKAY AND YEATES 2012), HAS DEMONSTRATED ITS USEFULNESS IN A LARGE SERIES OF PAPERS. IT HAS REPRODUCED THE FORMATION AND ERUPTION OF PROMINENCES IN AGREEMENT WITH OBSERVED HEMISPHERIC PREFERENCES AND CYCLE DEPENDENCE, AND IT IS BASED UPON THE FORMATION MECHANISM BY FLUX CANCELLATION ORIGINALLY PROPOSED BY VAN BALLEGOOIJEN AND MARTENS (1989). THE CODE HAS NOT BEEN SUCCESSFUL YET THOUGH IN REPRODUCING THE ABSOLUTE NUMBERS OF FILAMENT ERUPTIONS OBSERVED ON THE DISK (YEATES, CONSTABLE, AND MARTENS 2010), AND WE PROPOSE REMEDIES FOR THAT IN HERE. THE EVOLUTION OF OUR CODE WILL BE DRIVEN BY OBSERVATIONS OF FLUX EMERGENCE, FIRST THOSE DERIVED FROM KITT PEAK DATA, AND IN FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BY THOSE AUTOMATICALLY ANALYZED BY SWAMIS FROM MDI DATA. WHAT CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS PROJECT IF ITS OBJECTIVES ARE ACCOMPLISHED? FIRST, WE WILL BE ABLE TO DETERMINE INITIAL CONDITIONS FOR THE SIMULATION OF CME'S IN THEIR INTERPLANETARY JOURNEYS, ANOTHER SPECIFIC OBJECTIVE OF THIS PROGRAM ELEMENT: "UNDERSTAND THE EVOLUTION OF FLUX ROPES IN THE INTERPLANETARY MEDIUM, AND IN PARTICULAR, RELATE THE FLUX ROPE IMF AT 1 AU TO SOLAR OBSERVATIONS." THE MAGNETIC TOPOLOGY OF FLUX ROPES IS VERY LIKELY PRESERVED AS THEY TRAVEL THROUGH THE HELIOSPHERE, AND HENCE A CORRECT DETERMINATION OF THEIR INITIAL STATUS IS INDISPENSABLE. SECOND, IF OUR SIMULATIONS ARE SUCCESSFUL FOR AN ENTIRE CYCLE THAT WILL PROVIDE STRONG INDIRECT SUPPORT FOR THE VAN BALLEGOOIJENMARTENS FLUX CANCELLATION MECHANISM AS THE MAIN PHYSICAL DRIVER OF FILAMENT FORMATION, ALTHOUGH Other Administrative Action $0 5/4/18