Annual Population Estimates for Counties and Census Tracts

1.0 CONTRACTING OFFICE ADDRESS

The Department of Health and Human Services, National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute, Office of Acquisitions, 9609 Medical Center Drive, Room 1E124, Rockville, MD 20850, United States.

2.0 DESCRIPTION

The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS), National Institutes of Health (NIH), National Cancer Institute (NCI), Division of Cancer Control and Population Sciences (DCCPS), Surveillance Research Program (SRP) requires annual population estimates for counties and census tracts by Woods & Poole Economics, Inc., 4910 Massachusetts Ave. NW, Ste. 208, Washington D.C. 20016-4368, United States.

The response close date of the notice for this requirement is in accordance with FAR 5.203(b). This acquisition will be processed under FAR Part 12 - Acquisition for Commercial Items and will be made pursuant to the authority in FAR Part 13.106-1(b)(1); and is exempt from the requirements of FAR Part 6. The North American Industry Classification System code is 541720 and the business size standard is $20.5M.

The period of performance shall be for one (1) 12-month base period from the date of award with four (4) 12-month option periods.

The anticipated award shall be a firm fixed price purchase order for severable services.

It has been determined there are no opportunities to acquire green products or services for this procurement.

3.0 BACKGROUND

The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS), National Institutes of Health (NIH), National Cancer Institute (NCI), Division of Cancer Control and Population Sciences (DCCPS), Surveillance Research Program (SRP) has a requirement to obtain annual population estimates for counties and census tracts based on the counts produced by the US Census Bureau every calendar year. These population estimates are necessary for calculation of detailed national estimates of cancer incidence, survival and mortality.

The primary functions of the NCI, DCCPS, SRP are to: (1) plan, develop, coordinate, and maintain a comprehensive national program to measure and report periodically on cancer in the United States population, providing accurate, reliable, and detailed national estimates of cancer incidence, survival and mortality and integrates patient data with associated demographic, behavioral and medical data; (2) plan, develop and direct a quality control program which establishes, monitors, and maintains national and international collaboration and liaison with organizations and agencies that promote comparability of cancer information systems; (3) plan and direct surveillance studies that coordinate with other research efforts in the Division, Institute and other Federal agencies; and (4) develop and implement, using statistical modeling and operations research techniques, methodologies to resolve quantitative questions in cancer prevention, control, and surveillance, including analysis of trends, forecasting cancer rates, and development of models for diffusion of cancer control.

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program is a comprehensive program that the National Cancer Institute (NCI) uses to support cancer surveillance activities. SEER currently collects and publishes cancer incidence and survival data from population-based cancer registries covering approximately 34.6 percent of the U.S. population. SEER is supported by the NCI/DCCPS/SRP. SRP provides national leadership in the science of cancer surveillance as well as analytical tools and methodological expertise in collecting, analyzing, interpreting, and disseminating reliable population-based statistics.

4.0 OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this requirement is to obtain annual population estimates for counties and census tracts based on the counts produced by the US Census Bureau. These specifically-developed estimates will be used to produce cancer statistics and to monitor trends over time by county and census tract characteristics such as age, gender, race, as well as by other population socioeconomic characteristics. In addition to meeting crucial NCI data needs, these estimates will enable NCI scientists to better assess sociodemographic patterns and disparities in cancer rates.

5.0 CONTRACTOR REQUIREMENTS

For the base period, the Contractor shall perform the following tasks:

5.1 The Contractor shall compute and provide Census Tract Data 2010 to 2020 (based on 2010 geographies). The data are based on SEER county population by age and gender data through 2017. The data includes all U.S. census tracts as defined in the 2010 Census and is provided in rounded and unrounded form. The data are for every year, 2010 through 2020 (11 years of data). The data are for the following 19 age groups, for male and female separately, which will sum to total residential population (a total of 38 cohorts).

Age 0
Age 1-4
Age 5-9
Age 10-14
Age 15-19
Age 20-24
Age 25-29
Age 30-34
Age 35-39
Age 40-44
Age 45-49
Age 50-54
Age 55-59
Age 60-64
Age 65-69
Age 70-74
Age 74-79
Age 80-84
Age 85 and over

5.2 The Contractor shall compute and provide Census Tract Data for 2010 only (based on 2000 geographies) The data includes all U.S. census tracts as defined in the 2000 Census and are provided in rounded and unrounded form. The data are for 2010 (1 year of data). The data are for 19 age groups (listed in Task 5.1) for male and female separately, which will sum to total residential population (a total of 38 cohorts).

For option period 1, the Contractor shall perform the following tasks:

5.3 The Contractor shall compute and provide Census Tract Data 2010 to 2020 (based on 2010 geographies). The data are based on SEER county population by age and gender data through 2018. The data include all U.S. census tracts as defined in the 2010 Census and are provided in rounded and unrounded form. The data are for every year, 2010 through 2020 (11 years of data). The data are for 19 age groups (listed in Task 5.1) for male and female separately, which will sum to total residential population (a total of 38 cohorts).

5.4 The Contractor shall compute and provide Census Tract Data for 2010 only (based on 2000 geographies). The data includes all U.S. census tracts as defined in the 2000 Census and are provided in rounded and unrounded form. The data are for 2010 (1 year of data). The data are for 19 age groups (listed in Task 5.1) for male and female separately, which will sum to total residential population (a total of 38 cohorts).

For option period 2, the Contractor shall perform the following tasks:

5.5 The Contractor shall compute and provide Census Tract Data 2010 to 2020 (based on 2010 geographies). The data are based on SEER county population by age and gender data through 2019. The data include all U.S. census tracts as defined in the 2010 Census and are provided in rounded and unrounded form. The data are for every year, 2010 through 2020 (11 years of data). The data are for 19 age groups (listed in Task 5.1) for male and female separately, which will sum to total residential population (a total of 38 cohorts).

5.6 The Contractor shall compute and provide Census Tract Data for 2010 only (based on 2000 geographies). The data includes all U.S. census tracts as defined in the 2000 Census and are provided in rounded and unrounded form. The data are for 2010 (1 year of data). The data are for 19 age groups (listed in Task 5.1) for male and female separately, which will sum to total residential population (a total of 38 cohorts).

For option period 3, the Contractor shall perform the following tasks:

5.7 The Contractor shall compute and provide Intercensal Census Tract Data 2010 to 2020 (based on 2010 geographies). The data are based on SEER county population by age and gender data through 2020. The data include all U.S. census tracts as defined in the 2010 Census and are provided in rounded and unrounded form. The data are for every year, 2010 through 2020 (11 years of data). The data are for 19 age groups (listed in Task 5.1) for male and female separately, which will sum to total residential population (a total of 38 cohorts).

5.8 The Contractor shall compute and provide Intercensal Census Tract Data 2010 to 2020 (based on 2020 geographies). The data are based on SEER county population by age and gender data through 2020. The data include all U.S. census tracts as defined in the 2010 Census and are provided in rounded and unrounded form. The data are for every year, 2010 through 2020 (11 years of data). The data are for 19 age groups (listed in Task 5.1) for male and female separately, which will sum to total residential population (a total of 38 cohorts).

5.9 The Contractor shall compute and provide Census Tract Data 2020 to 2030 (based on 2020 geographies). The data are based on SEER county population by age and gender data through 2020. The data include all U.S. census tracts as defined in the 2020 Census and are provided in rounded and unrounded form. The data are for every year, 2020 through 2030 (11 years of data). The data are for 19 age groups (listed in Task 5.1) for male and female separately, which will sum to total residential population (a total of 38 cohorts).

For option period 4, the Contractor shall perform the following tasks:

5.10 The Contractor shall compute and provide Census Tract Data 2020 to 2030 (based on 2020 geographies). The data are based on SEER county population by age and gender data through 2021. The data include all U.S. census tracts as defined in the 2020 Census and are provided in rounded and unrounded form. The data are for every year, 2020 through 2030 (11 years of data). The data are for 19 age groups (listed in Task 5.1) for male and female separately, which will sum to total residential population (a total of 38 cohorts).

5.11 The Contractor shall compute and provide Census Tract Data for 2020 (based on 2010 geographies). The data includes all U.S. census tracts as defined in the 2010 Census and are provided in rounded and unrounded form. The data are for 2020 (1 year of data). The data are for 19 age groups (listed in Task 5.1) for male and female separately, which will sum to total residential population (a total of 38 cohorts).

6.0 PLACE OF PERFORMANCE

All work shall be performed at the Contractor's facility.

7.0 REPORT(S)/DELIVERABLES

All Population Data associated with each task shall be in Excel Format and delivered on a Compact Disk (CD) sent via standard mail to the National Cancer Institute, 9609 Medical Center Drive, Room 4E446, Rockville, MD 20852, within 60 days after award.

8.0 UNIQUE QUALIFICATIONS OF THE CONTRACTOR

Woods & Poole Economics, Inc. specializes in developing detailed data sets and forecasts that are used by researchers as input to a wide range demographic, economic, planning, and modeling applications. Woods & Poole Economics has over 30 years of extensive experience producing intercensal estimates of the state and country populations by single year of age, gender and detailed racial/ethnic group. The population estimates and other time series data they produce are used by demographers, economists, and researchers in the military, federal government, state and local government, universities and institutions nationwide.

Woods & Poole Economics is the only entity in the United States that estimates and maintains detailed population component time series data for small geographical areas from 1970 to 2030. An important feature of the population time series data created by Woods & Poole Economics that is crucial to the needs of the SRP at NCI is that it is consistent across racial/ethnic definition changes, geographic boundary changes, and decennial Census results since 1970.

Woods & Poole Economics previously developed the methodology and expertise to produce customized population estimates for the SRP. These previous estimates have been used by the SRP extensively and successfully to produce required annual cancer statistics for presentation to the NCI Director, on NCI websites, and appear in numerous publications, software applications, and data sets available to the public. The current requirement will be facilitated using the same methodology and expertise in order to assure consistency with earlier datasets and timely delivery. Any change in vendor would not be scientifically comparable to previous findings and would be disruptive to the overall project.

This notice is not a request for competitive quotations. However, if any interested party, especially a small business, believes it can meet the above requirement, it may submit a proposal or quote for the Government to consider. The response and any other information furnished must be in writing and must contain material in enough detail to allow NCI to determine if the party can perform the requirement. All responses and questions must be submitted via email to Adam Hernandez, Contract Specialist at adam.hernandez@nih.gov. Responses are due no later than 11:00 A.M. EST on Friday, April 5, 2019 (04/05/2019). A determination by the Government not to compete this proposed requirement based upon responses to this notice is solely within the discretion of the Government. Information received will be considered solely for determining whether to conduct a competitive procurement. To receive an award, Contractors must be registered and have valid certification in the System for Award Management (SAM) through SAM.gov, and have Representations and Certifications filled out.

Reference: 75N91019Q00039 on all correspondence.

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